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AD Vagos W vs Barcelos W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-79
19-24 17-21 18-12 8-22
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.3
Allowed / game81.3
AD Vagos W
Portugal
vs
Barcelos W 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game54.7
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalLFB WomenRound 4· Pavilhao Municipal de Vagos
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AD Vagos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AD Vagos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#8
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
no box
H29/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
54-64
54
64
-10
no box
H04/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
no box
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
no box
A26/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
65-50
65
50
+15
no box
H05/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
no box
H19/03
LFB Women
Natacao W
#9
L
49-61
49
61
-12
no box
A26/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
57avg 49
A06/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 49
H13/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
46-78
46
78
-32
39avg 49
A20/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
8-12
20-15
18-17
21-20
10-17
17-15
6-12
20-26
7-19
10-18
19-17
3-24
15-19
16-22
12-11
22-11
21-11
16-9
6-19
5-14
12-17
15-10
13-16
12-19
8-7
12-16
17-19
12-25
18-18
14-22
18-21
12-17
8-22
15-25
26-16
8-23
11-19
19-18
8-18
127.9Avg total
56.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)56.381.3137.7-25.00%
Season at home (1)61.080.0141.0-19.00%
Season away (2)54.082.0136.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)56.671.3127.9-14.720%
Last 5 (5)52.672.4125.0-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.270.1124.3-15.916%
vs Similar (4)71.059.8130.8+11.275%
vs Weaker (1)90.044.0134.0+46.0100%
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
67avg 57
A18/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 57
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 57
H03/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 57
H10/03
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
70-58
70
58
+12
60avg 57
H17/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 57
H30/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
34avg 57
A06/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-103
41
103
-62
16avg 57
A06/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
58-46
58
46
+12
39avg 57
H13/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 57
H20/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-13
20-17
24-16
14-19
17-22
21-27
11-15
24-23
23-19
19-11
24-20
25-20
18-25
16-21
16-19
19-16
20-16
14-13
17-13
10-21
16-20
18-21
17-9
9-14
14-22
13-16
17-17
8-20
14-32
12-29
7-22
18-10
10-12
17-10
13-14
23-15
17-24
13-15
12-25
138.8Avg total
65.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)54.776.0130.7-21.333%
Season at home (2)61.562.5124.0-1.050%
Season away (1)41.0103.0144.0-62.00%
Last 10 (10)65.673.2138.8-7.640%
Last 5 (5)55.673.6129.2-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.976.6137.6-15.77%
vs Similar (5)70.072.2142.2-2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.169.2150.4+11.9100%
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
AD Vagos WBarcelos W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AD Vagos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#8
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H29/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H04/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#7
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H05/03
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H19/03
LFB Women
Natacao W
#9
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A26/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H13/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A20/10
LFB Women
61.1Avg total
25.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.733.661.3-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.331.760.9-2.427%-
Last 30 away (15)26.135.561.6-9.520%-
Last 10 (10)25.136.061.1-10.910%-
Last 5 (5)21.236.257.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)25.834.860.6-9.012%-
vs Similar (4)34.029.563.5+4.575%-
vs Weaker (1)49.019.068.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H10/03
LFB Women
Natacao W
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H30/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A06/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A06/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H13/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H20/10
LFB Women
71.7Avg total
33.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.738.072.7-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.334.971.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (14)33.141.274.3-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.538.271.7-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)27.838.065.8-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.438.668.9-8.229%-
vs Similar (5)36.836.873.6+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.137.278.4+3.975%-
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AD Vagos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AD Vagos W: 55.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.3
44.0%
43.4%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.73.3
21.3%
29.8%10.0
🏀 Free throws20.38.3
41.0%
72.2%8.3
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.114.3
38.5%
43.4%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.7
27.7%
29.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.113.1
76.6%
72.2%13.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AD Vagos W
LLLLLWLLLW
Barcelos W
LWLLLWLWLW
#12
League position
#8
-34.3
Net rating
-9.2
73.5
Offensive rating
82.5
107.8
Defensive rating
91.6
40.7%
Effective FG%
39.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
27.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
21.3%
3-point %
27.7%
70.8%
Assist %
52.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence73.5 · 82.5Defence107.8 · 91.6Shooting40.7% · 39.8%3-point %21.3% · 27.7%Ball care27.0% · 21.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ AD Vagos W   ■ Barcelos W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AD Vagos W wins
0
Barcelos W wins
No previous meetings.
AD Vagos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ABenfica W46-78
13/10/24HImortal W61-80
06/10/24AEsgueira W62-86
26/03/23ANatacao W49-61
19/03/23HGdessa Barreiro W45-57
05/03/23HGalitos W65-50
26/02/23ACDEFF W46-76
25/02/23ACAB Madeira W56-80
04/02/23HEsgueira W54-64
29/01/23HImortal W82-81 OT
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HUniao Sportiva W65-79
13/10/24HSanjoanense W58-46
06/10/24ABenfica W41-103
06/04/24ABenfica W53-69
30/03/24HBenfica W61-71
17/03/24HNatacao W70-58
10/03/24HCAB Madeira W75-85
03/03/24HCDEFF W90-73
25/02/24AUniao Sportiva W63-83
18/02/24AGalitos W80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AD Vagos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game56.361.054.0
Allowed / game81.380.082.0
Point differential-25.0-19.0-28.0
Avg total137.7141.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game54.761.541.0
Allowed / game76.062.5103.0
Point differential-21.3-1.0-62.0
Avg total130.7124.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W330100%72.760.7+12.0
2 Uniao Sportiva W330100%72.764.0+8.7
3 Benfica W32167%78.747.7+31.0
4 Quinta Dos Lombos W32167%73.354.7+18.7
5 Imortal W32167%74.769.3+5.3
6 Galitos W32167%63.360.7+2.7
7 Sanjoanense W32167%65.063.0+2.0
8 Gdessa Barreiro W31233%68.068.7-0.7
9 Barcelos W31233%54.776.0-21.3
10 Natacao W41325%61.272.2-11.0
11 CAB Madeira W4040%61.075.0-14.0
12 AD Vagos W3030%56.381.3-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AD Vagos W191718862
Barcelos W2421122279
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