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Barcelos W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-58
19-16 20-16 14-13 17-13
Position#7
Record9-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game74.4
Barcelos W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Natacao W
Portugal
Position#8
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game68.7
PortugalLFB WomenRound 22· Escola Secundaria de Barcelos
Women2023-24
Meetings · Barcelos W v Natacao W
02 Mar 2025
BARC74
NATA59
17 Mar 2024
BARC70
NATA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#4
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 61
A07/01
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 61
A13/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Benfica W
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
50avg 61
A21/01
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 61
H03/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
67avg 61
A18/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 61
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 61
H03/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 61
H10/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-17
12-18
13-16
17-8
11-24
18-18
21-14
28-18
20-19
20-13
13-21
13-18
20-25
14-24
24-10
16-12
16-22
16-19
12-17
19-17
14-9
28-23
22-25
21-19
15-13
20-17
24-16
14-19
17-22
21-27
11-15
24-23
23-19
19-11
24-20
25-20
18-25
16-21
16-19
145.8Avg total
73.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.674.4146.0-2.843%
Season at home (10)70.971.9142.8-1.030%
Season away (11)72.376.6148.9-4.455%
Last 10 (10)73.272.6145.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)78.276.0154.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.375.1138.4-11.810%
vs Similar (4)73.078.8151.8-5.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.770.9153.6+11.9100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 51
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 51
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 51
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
26avg 51
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
30avg 51
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
61-54
61
54
+7
43avg 51
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
39avg 51
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 51
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
70-64
70
64
+6
68avg 51
H02/03
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
80-66
80
66
+14
66avg 51
H09/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
12-18
8-10
9-22
12-14
5-10
12-16
8-23
21-15
13-18
18-16
19-9
11-11
11-21
15-22
12-16
16-19
28-11
18-14
12-18
13-22
21-13
20-11
14-14
15-26
23-18
23-15
19-24
15-9
125.4Avg total
59.4Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)62.268.7130.9-6.448%
Season at home (11)62.267.3129.5-5.145%
Season away (10)62.370.2132.5-7.950%
Last 10 (10)59.466.0125.4-6.650%
Last 5 (5)67.265.4132.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.169.5128.6-10.433%
vs Similar (10)66.566.1132.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
Barcelos WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/01
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A13/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Benfica W
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A21/01
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H03/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/02
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H10/03
LFB Women
73.0Avg total
36.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)36.038.374.4-2.341%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.535.472.9+2.160%-
Last 30 away (12)34.840.875.6-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.273.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.437.268.6-5.830%-
vs Similar (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.438.079.4+3.471%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H08/02
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/02
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A18/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H02/03
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/03
LFB Women
62.0Avg total
31.3Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.664.2-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.329.961.2+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.135.267.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)31.330.762.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.869.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.934.463.4-5.528%-
vs Similar (10)36.930.867.7+6.160%-
vs Weaker (1)26.020.046.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.517.7
44.8%
43.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.0
29.3%
28.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
72.6%15.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.712.5
36.0%
43.3%25.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.4
28.8%
28.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
72.6%11.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos W
LWLWWLLWWL
Natacao W
WWWLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#8
+0.1
Net rating
-8.6
93.3
Offensive rating
81.6
93.1
Defensive rating
90.2
44.5%
Effective FG%
39.1%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
21.8%
Turnover %
20.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.3%
3-point %
28.8%
53.4%
Assist %
52.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 81.6Defence93.1 · 90.2Shooting44.5% · 39.1%3-point %29.3% · 28.8%Ball care21.8% · 20.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Barcelos W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Barcelos W wins
0
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Natacao W v Barcelos W82-84
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HCAB Madeira W75-85
03/03/24HCDEFF W90-73
25/02/24AUniao Sportiva W63-83
18/02/24AGalitos W80-65
03/02/24HACD Ferragudo W83-74
21/01/24ABenfica W60-70
14/01/24AQuinta Dos Lombos W71-77
13/01/24AImortal W81-71
07/01/24AQuinta Dos Lombos W67-64
22/12/23HEsgueira W62-64
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HCDEFF W80-66
02/03/24HCAB Madeira W70-64
25/02/24AGalitos W71-65
18/02/24AUniao Sportiva W54-78
11/02/24AACD Ferragudo W61-54
08/02/24HEsgueira W46-64
03/02/24HBenfica W41-64
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%30%55%
Points / game71.670.972.3
Allowed / game74.471.976.6
Point differential-2.8-1.0-4.4
Avg total146.0142.8148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%45%50%
Points / game62.262.262.3
Allowed / game68.767.370.2
Point differential-6.4-5.1-7.9
Avg total130.9129.5132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W2118386%71.357.2+14.1
2 Gdessa Barreiro W2116576%65.857.0+8.8
3 Benfica W2115671%66.260.8+5.4
4 Esgueira W2114767%68.662.1+6.5
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W2113862%67.360.9+6.4
6 Imortal W21111052%64.763.8+0.9
7 Natacao W21101148%62.268.7-6.4
8 Barcelos W2191243%71.674.4-2.8
9 CAB Madeira W2181338%63.969.6-5.7
10 Galitos W2151624%58.967.3-8.4
11 CDEFF W2141719%64.073.1-9.1
12 ACD Ferragudo W2131814%61.370.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelos W1920141770
Natacao W1616131358
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