PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AD Vagos W vs Benfica W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 52-95
6-21 17-32 18-23 11-19
Position#12
Record1-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game81.2
AD Vagos W
Portugal
vs
Benfica W 🏆
Portugal
Position#2
Record11-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game53.7
PortugalLFB WomenRound 14· Pavilhao Municipal de Vagos
Women2024-25
Meetings · AD Vagos W v Benfica W
12 Jan 2025
AD V52
BENF95
18 Dec 2022
AD V53
BENF86
15 Jan 2022
AD V61
BENF71
03 Apr 2021
AD V50
BENF72
30 Dec 2020
AD V64
BENF55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AD Vagos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AD Vagos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
59avg 53
H26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
54-66
54
66
-12
48avg 53
H17/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
53-78
53
78
-25
44avg 53
H24/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
68avg 53
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 53
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 53
A08/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
54-85
54
85
-31
40avg 53
H14/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
52-67
52
67
-15
44avg 53
A18/12
LFB Women
Braga W
#6
L
55-68
55
68
-13
48avg 53
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Imortal W
#7
L
62-96
62
96
-34
50avg 53
A05/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-21
18-12
8-22
20-11
10-23
15-17
9-15
9-28
15-17
13-16
16-17
14-29
21-19
12-28
31-14
8-29
25-15
15-15
21-33
19-18
21-11
23-26
22-22
14-30
8-13
15-23
17-19
13-17
13-13
5-19
21-18
15-20
7-16
16-11
17-21
13-30
11-31
16-21
22-14
142.2Avg total
62.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.581.2142.7-19.78%
Season at home (6)58.880.0138.8-21.20%
Season away (6)64.282.3146.5-18.217%
Last 10 (10)62.479.8142.2-17.410%
Last 5 (5)61.678.6140.2-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)58.873.8132.6-15.018%
vs Similar (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Besiktas W
#5
L
55-76
55
76
-21
38avg 63
H21/11
EuroCup Women
Natacao W
#11
W
101-40
101
40
+61
105avg 63
H24/11
LFB Women
San Giovanni W
#21
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 63
H27/11
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
101-65
101
65
+36
104avg 63
A01/12
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
75avg 63
H04/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 63
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
90-33
90
33
+57
90avg 63
H15/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#15
W
65-47
65
47
+18
56avg 63
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
43avg 63
A29/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
91-47
91
47
+44
94avg 63
H05/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
17-21
9-18
12-17
23-14
20-8
28-11
30-7
15-21
20-25
21-11
11-22
20-17
32-16
30-14
19-18
14-26
16-9
26-10
19-15
18-24
16-28
14-13
20-12
26-2
25-11
16-14
23-6
17-18
12-10
16-11
20-8
15-9
13-12
11-14
21-22
25-18
23-11
27-8
16-10
135.4Avg total
77.3Scored
58.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.953.7133.6+26.285%
Season at home (7)88.645.9134.4+42.7100%
Season away (6)69.862.8132.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)77.358.1135.4+19.270%
Last 5 (5)74.852.2127.0+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.670.7129.3-12.129%
vs Similar (3)57.052.0109.0+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.354.6131.9+22.883%
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.2-9.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.4+5.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.2-9.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.4+5.4
AD Vagos WBenfica W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AD Vagos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H24/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H14/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A18/12
LFB Women
Braga W
#6
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Imortal W
#7
L
24-61
24
61
-37
A05/01
LFB Women
70.7Avg total
29.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.637.565.1-9.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.736.664.3-8.97%-
Last 30 away (15)27.538.465.9-10.913%-
Last 10 (10)29.241.570.7-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)26.839.866.6-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.937.665.5-9.711%-
vs Similar (1)25.036.061.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas W
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/11
EuroCup Women
Natacao W
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H24/11
LFB Women
San Giovanni W
#21
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H27/11
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A01/12
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H04/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
51-13
51
13
+38
H15/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A29/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/01
LFB Women
70.4Avg total
38.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.166.1+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.427.465.8+10.981%-
Last 30 away (14)33.433.166.5+0.264%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.070.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.666.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.638.069.6-6.429%-
vs Similar (3)33.728.762.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.028.067.0+11.089%-
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AD Vagos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AD Vagos W: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.717.0
40.8%
43.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.3
30.6%
29.8%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.2%12.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.0
43.4%
43.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.3
37.1%
29.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
72.2%15.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AD Vagos W
LLLLWLLLLL
Benfica W
WWWWLWWLWL
#12
League position
#2
-21.2
Net rating
+26.5
79.4
Offensive rating
103.9
100.6
Defensive rating
77.3
42.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
36.2%
27.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.6%
3-point %
37.1%
64.1%
Assist %
65.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence79.4 · 103.9Defence100.6 · 77.3Shooting42.3% · 47.7%3-point %30.6% · 37.1%Ball care27.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ AD Vagos W   ■ Benfica W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AD Vagos W wins
7
Benfica W wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Benfica W v AD Vagos W78-46
18/12/22AD Vagos W v Benfica W53-86
05/10/22Benfica W v AD Vagos W78-37
15/01/22AD Vagos W v Benfica W61-71
10/10/21Benfica W v AD Vagos W58-51
10/04/21Benfica W v AD Vagos W93-78
03/04/21AD Vagos W v Benfica W50-72
30/12/20AD Vagos W v Benfica W64-55
05/10/20Benfica W v AD Vagos W59-66
AD Vagos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AImortal W62-96
22/12/24ABraga W55-68
18/12/24AUniao Sportiva W52-67
14/12/24HCAB Madeira W54-85
08/12/24ANatacao W85-77
04/12/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W69-92
30/11/24AGalitos W78-90
24/11/24HGdessa Barreiro W53-78
17/11/24HSanjoanense W54-66
26/10/24HBarcelos W62-79
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HUniao Sportiva W91-47
29/12/24ABarcelos W60-57
22/12/24AUniao Sportiva W65-47
15/12/24HSanjoanense W90-33
08/12/24AImortal W68-77
04/12/24HEsgueira W75-60
01/12/24ACAB Madeira W101-65
27/11/24HSan Giovanni W67-79
24/11/24HNatacao W101-40
21/11/24HBesiktas W55-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AD Vagos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game61.558.864.2
Allowed / game81.280.082.3
Point differential-19.7-21.2-18.2
Avg total142.7138.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game79.988.669.8
Allowed / game53.745.962.8
Point differential+26.2+42.7+7.0
Avg total133.6134.4132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W1312192%75.262.2+12.9
2 Benfica W1311285%79.953.7+26.2
3 Galitos W1410471%66.065.1+0.9
4 Uniao Sportiva W149564%64.064.6-0.6
5 Gdessa Barreiro W138562%69.564.8+4.8
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W137654%71.659.9+11.7
7 Imortal W147750%72.970.9+2.0
8 Barcelos W146843%68.573.4-4.9
9 Sanjoanense W145936%66.973.1-6.3
10 CAB Madeira W1221017%66.374.6-8.2
11 Natacao W1421214%61.079.7-18.7
12 AD Vagos W121118%61.581.2-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AD Vagos W617181152
Benfica W2132231995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.