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AD Vagos W vs CAB Madeira W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 54-85
14-30 8-13 15-23 17-19
Position#12
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game80.7
AD Vagos W
Portugal
vs
CAB Madeira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#9
Record1-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game77.2
PortugalLFB WomenRound 11· Pavilhao Municipal de Vagos
Women2024-25
Meetings · AD Vagos W v CAB Madeira W
14 Dec 2024
AD V54
CAB 85
01 Nov 2022
AD V68
CAB 78
09 Apr 2022
AD V81
CAB 53
19 Mar 2022
AD V52
CAB 50
28 Feb 2021
AD V66
CAB 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AD Vagos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AD Vagos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Natacao W
#9
L
49-61
49
61
-12
no box
A26/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
57avg 56
A06/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 56
H13/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
46-78
46
78
-32
39avg 56
A20/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
59avg 56
H26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
54-66
54
66
-12
48avg 56
H17/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
53-78
53
78
-25
44avg 56
H24/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
68avg 56
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 56
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 56
A08/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
8-7
12-16
17-19
12-25
18-18
14-22
18-21
12-17
8-22
15-25
26-16
8-23
11-19
19-18
8-18
19-24
17-21
18-12
8-22
20-11
10-23
15-17
9-15
9-28
15-17
13-16
16-17
14-29
21-19
12-28
31-14
8-29
25-15
15-15
21-33
19-18
21-11
23-26
22-22
140.6Avg total
61.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.380.7144.0-17.311%
Season at home (5)59.879.0138.8-19.20%
Season away (4)67.882.8150.5-15.025%
Last 10 (10)61.978.7140.6-16.810%
Last 5 (5)67.880.6148.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)57.072.4129.4-15.418%
vs Similar (2)67.060.5127.5+6.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CAB Madeira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB Madeira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 55
A05/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
61-70
61
70
-9
50avg 55
A12/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
54-77
54
77
-23
38avg 55
H19/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
27avg 55
A26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 55
A01/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
61-69
61
69
-8
43avg 55
A09/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
57avg 55
H17/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
84-96
84
96
-12
75avg 55
A24/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
65-101
65
101
-36
52avg 55
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
66-56
66
56
+10
68avg 55
H07/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-15
9-19
18-21
20-21
14-21
10-11
17-17
16-20
12-21
11-16
15-20
18-22
13-24
16-19
19-11
20-14
13-23
16-16
15-18
12-16
17-17
8-20
24-16
13-20
6-22
17-21
26-16
15-22
21-31
18-17
30-26
17-20
16-32
14-30
18-19
14-5
22-20
16-12
14-19
141.8Avg total
64.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.677.2141.8-12.610%
Season at home (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
Season away (6)66.576.5143.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)64.677.2141.8-12.610%
Last 5 (5)67.680.2147.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)62.575.6138.1-13.117%
vs Similar (6)67.769.0136.7-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.471.6146.0+2.860%
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.0-9.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
AD Vagos WCAB Madeira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AD Vagos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Natacao W
#9
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A26/03
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A06/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H13/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A20/10
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H24/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/12
LFB Women
68.2Avg total
28.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.636.163.6-8.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.935.963.7-8.07%-
Last 30 away (15)27.336.363.5-9.020%-
Last 10 (10)28.739.568.2-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.336.663.9-9.411%-
vs Similar (2)31.528.059.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CAB Madeira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB Madeira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/10
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A26/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A01/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H17/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A24/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H07/12
LFB Women
72.3Avg total
31.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.438.370.7-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.935.968.8-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)32.040.372.3-8.319%-
Last 10 (10)31.540.872.3-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)30.641.071.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.139.270.2-8.122%-
vs Similar (6)33.335.068.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AD Vagos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AD Vagos W: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.0
43.5%
43.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.14.9
28.6%
29.8%14.7
🏀 Free throws19.711.8
59.9%
72.2%11.8
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira W: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.0
44.2%
43.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.6
27.1%
29.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.4
77.0%
72.2%11.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AD Vagos W
WLLLLLLLLL
CAB Madeira W
WLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#9
-22.4
Net rating
-19.9
81.8
Offensive rating
85.0
104.2
Defensive rating
104.9
43.3%
Effective FG%
42.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
25.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.6%
3-point %
27.1%
67.5%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 85.0Defence104.2 · 104.9Shooting43.3% · 42.9%3-point %28.6% · 27.1%Ball care25.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds26.9% · 24.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ AD Vagos W   ■ CAB Madeira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AD Vagos W wins
4
CAB Madeira W wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23CAB Madeira W v AD Vagos W80-56
01/11/22AD Vagos W v CAB Madeira W68-78
09/04/22AD Vagos W v CAB Madeira W81-53
02/04/22CAB Madeira W v AD Vagos W65-69
19/03/22AD Vagos W v CAB Madeira W52-50
05/12/21CAB Madeira W v AD Vagos W52-68
11/03/21CAB Madeira W v AD Vagos W75-54
28/02/21AD Vagos W v CAB Madeira W66-79
AD Vagos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ANatacao W85-77
04/12/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W69-92
30/11/24AGalitos W78-90
24/11/24HGdessa Barreiro W53-78
17/11/24HSanjoanense W54-66
26/10/24HBarcelos W62-79
20/10/24ABenfica W46-78
13/10/24HImortal W61-80
06/10/24AEsgueira W62-86
26/03/23ANatacao W49-61
CAB Madeira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HUniao Sportiva W66-56
01/12/24HBenfica W65-101
24/11/24AImortal W84-96
17/11/24HEsgueira W62-79
09/11/24ABarcelos W61-69
01/11/24ASanjoanense W64-71
26/10/24ANatacao W66-76
19/10/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W54-77
12/10/24AGalitos W61-70
05/10/24AGdessa Barreiro W63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AD Vagos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game63.359.867.8
Allowed / game80.779.082.8
Point differential-17.3-19.2-15.0
Avg total144.0138.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW10%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game64.661.866.5
Allowed / game77.278.276.5
Point differential-12.6-16.5-10.0
Avg total141.8140.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W109190%76.163.6+12.5
2 Benfica W108280%79.856.1+23.7
3 Galitos W107370%66.566.6-0.1
4 Uniao Sportiva W96367%65.664.7+0.9
5 Gdessa Barreiro W106460%69.766.1+3.6
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W105550%69.660.3+9.3
7 Imortal W105550%74.773.5+1.2
8 Barcelos W105550%66.170.5-4.4
9 Sanjoanense W104640%67.068.9-1.9
10 Natacao W102820%64.080.5-16.5
11 AD Vagos W91811%63.380.7-17.3
12 CAB Madeira W101910%64.677.2-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AD Vagos W148151754
CAB Madeira W3013231985
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