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AD Vagos W vs Esgueira W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 46-69
12-21 13-19 9-19 12-10
Position#12
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game81.9
AD Vagos W
Portugal
vs
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record14-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game61.3
PortugalLFB WomenRound 12· Pavilhao Municipal de Vagos
Women2024-25
Meetings · AD Vagos W v Esgueira W
07 Feb 2025
AD V46
ESGU69
04 Feb 2023
AD V54
ESGU64
27 Oct 2021
AD V77
ESGU71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AD Vagos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AD Vagos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
68avg 50
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 50
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 50
A08/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
54-85
54
85
-31
40avg 50
H14/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
52-67
52
67
-15
44avg 50
A18/12
LFB Women
Braga W
#6
L
55-68
55
68
-13
48avg 50
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Imortal W
#7
L
62-96
62
96
-34
50avg 50
A05/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
52-95
52
95
-43
35avg 50
H12/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
67-81
67
81
-14
61avg 50
A19/01
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
36-79
36
79
-43
19avg 50
H01/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
21-19
12-28
31-14
8-29
25-15
15-15
21-33
19-18
21-11
23-26
22-22
14-30
8-13
15-23
17-19
13-17
13-13
5-19
21-18
15-20
7-16
16-11
17-21
13-30
11-31
16-21
22-14
6-21
17-32
18-23
11-19
10-19
13-23
22-12
22-27
14-21
14-13
0-23
8-22
144.0Avg total
61.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)59.581.9141.5-22.47%
Season at home (8)55.181.8136.9-26.60%
Season away (7)64.682.1146.7-17.614%
Last 10 (10)61.083.0144.0-22.010%
Last 5 (5)54.483.8138.2-29.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)58.175.9134.0-17.818%
vs Similar (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
70avg 62
A23/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
69avg 62
H01/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
36avg 62
A04/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
91-73
91
73
+18
92avg 62
H08/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
76-54
76
54
+22
64avg 62
A15/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
82avg 62
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
72avg 62
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
67-54
67
54
+13
62avg 62
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
71-58
71
58
+13
59avg 62
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
62avg 62
A01/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
18-12
18-16
18-15
24-18
16-10
15-24
17-18
26-14
9-16
10-26
15-19
27-22
17-22
18-21
29-8
26-8
11-12
20-18
19-16
22-19
19-25
24-18
14-17
25-16
16-15
15-20
17-14
17-19
15-11
16-13
19-11
13-17
21-14
14-15
23-12
19-10
20-8
16-15
15-19
138.5Avg total
74.1Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.561.3135.8+13.393%
Season at home (7)79.064.1143.1+14.9100%
Season away (8)70.658.8129.4+11.988%
Last 10 (10)74.164.4138.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)73.663.6137.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.264.0119.2-8.825%
vs Similar (5)69.664.0133.6+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)75.159.7134.8+15.3100%
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -10.8-10.8Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -10.8-10.8Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
AD Vagos WEsgueira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AD Vagos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H04/12
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H14/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A18/12
LFB Women
Braga W
#6
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Imortal W
#7
L
24-61
24
61
-37
A05/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
23-53
23
53
-30
H12/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A19/01
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H01/02
LFB Women
69.6Avg total
27.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.438.465.8-10.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.737.565.1-9.87%-
Last 30 away (15)27.239.366.5-12.113%-
Last 10 (10)27.642.069.6-14.410%-
Last 5 (5)24.045.269.2-21.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.738.566.2-10.811%-
vs Similar (1)25.036.061.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A23/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H01/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A04/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A15/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A01/02
LFB Women
68.0Avg total
38.1Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.730.366.1+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.274.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)31.626.558.1+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)38.129.968.0+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.868.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.029.856.8-2.850%-
vs Similar (5)34.634.068.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.128.366.4+9.889%-
This opponent (AD Vagos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AD Vagos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AD Vagos W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.816.2
38.8%
43.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.25.2
30.2%
29.8%15.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
72.2%12.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.5
46.2%
43.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.8
28.9%
29.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
72.2%14.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AD Vagos W
LLLLLLLWLL
Esgueira W
WWWWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#1
-27.6
Net rating
+11.9
77.8
Offensive rating
91.2
105.5
Defensive rating
79.3
40.7%
Effective FG%
45.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
27.4%
Turnover %
22.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.2%
3-point %
28.9%
64.0%
Assist %
73.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence77.8 · 91.2Defence105.5 · 79.3Shooting40.7% · 45.0%3-point %30.2% · 28.9%Ball care27.4% · 22.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ AD Vagos W   ■ Esgueira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AD Vagos W wins
4
Esgueira W wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Esgueira W v AD Vagos W86-62
04/02/23AD Vagos W v Esgueira W54-64
23/10/22Esgueira W v AD Vagos W67-33
16/02/22Esgueira W v AD Vagos W68-67
27/10/21AD Vagos W v Esgueira W77-71
AD Vagos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HUniao Sportiva W36-79
19/01/25ABarcelos W67-81
12/01/25HBenfica W52-95
05/01/25AImortal W62-96
22/12/24ABraga W55-68
18/12/24AUniao Sportiva W52-67
14/12/24HCAB Madeira W54-85
08/12/24ANatacao W85-77
04/12/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W69-92
30/11/24AGalitos W78-90
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ANatacao W70-52
18/01/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W71-58
11/01/25AGalitos W67-54
05/01/25HGdessa Barreiro W73-65
21/12/24HGdessa Barreiro W87-89 OT
15/12/24AUniao Sportiva W76-54
08/12/24HBarcelos W91-73
04/12/24ABenfica W60-75
01/12/24HImortal W72-70
23/11/24ASanjoanense W74-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AD Vagos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %7%0%14%
Points / game59.555.164.6
Allowed / game81.981.882.1
Point differential-22.4-26.6-17.6
Avg total141.5136.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game74.579.070.6
Allowed / game61.364.158.8
Point differential+13.3+14.9+11.9
Avg total135.8143.1129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%57%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W1514193%74.561.3+13.3
2 Benfica W1613381%79.855.3+24.4
3 Uniao Sportiva W1611569%64.962.0+2.9
4 Galitos W1611569%65.864.8+0.9
5 Gdessa Barreiro W1610662%68.663.9+4.8
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W169756%71.461.2+10.2
7 Imortal W168850%71.270.0+1.2
8 Barcelos W167944%68.973.3-4.4
9 Sanjoanense W1651131%64.871.7-6.9
10 CAB Madeira W1641225%65.671.3-5.8
11 Natacao W1621412%60.579.4-18.9
12 AD Vagos W151147%59.581.9-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AD Vagos W121391246
Esgueira W2119191069
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