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Natacao W vs Esgueira W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 52-70
10-19 8-20 15-16 19-15
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game80.1
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game61.9
PortugalLFB WomenRound 16· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2024-25
Meetings · Natacao W v Esgueira W
01 Feb 2025
NATA52
ESGU70
08 Feb 2024
NATA46
ESGU64
29 Jan 2023
NATA50
ESGU46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
40-101
40
101
-61
16avg 48
A24/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
68-86
68
86
-18
56avg 48
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 48
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 48
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
50-75
50
75
-25
36avg 48
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
L
68-75
68
75
-7
52avg 48
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
48-67
48
67
-19
36avg 48
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 48
A05/01
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
65-89
65
89
-24
55avg 48
H11/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
62-85
62
85
-23
48avg 48
A19/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
8-20
11-28
7-30
20-21
23-23
12-26
13-16
11-22
15-19
25-11
16-21
18-19
11-21
26-23
22-22
11-28
12-22
11-8
16-17
12-15
24-21
16-19
16-20
14-12
10-22
8-10
16-23
12-29
9-21
17-15
13-15
24-26
11-16
21-24
9-23
17-24
13-17
10-20
22-24
141.2Avg total
59.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)61.180.1141.1-19.013%
Season at home (7)66.677.3143.9-10.729%
Season away (8)56.282.5138.8-26.20%
Last 10 (10)59.681.6141.2-22.00%
Last 5 (5)58.879.2138.0-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)58.676.3134.9-17.712%
vs Similar (4)70.562.2132.8+8.2100%
vs Weaker (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
78avg 63
A17/11
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
70avg 63
A23/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
69avg 63
H01/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
36avg 63
A04/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
91-73
91
73
+18
92avg 63
H08/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
76-54
76
54
+22
64avg 63
A15/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
82avg 63
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
72avg 63
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
67-54
67
54
+13
62avg 63
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
71-58
71
58
+13
59avg 63
H18/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
22-6
21-17
16-26
20-11
18-12
18-16
18-15
24-18
16-10
15-24
17-18
26-14
9-16
10-26
15-19
27-22
17-22
18-21
29-8
26-8
11-12
20-18
19-16
22-19
19-25
24-18
14-17
25-16
16-15
15-20
17-14
17-19
15-11
16-13
19-11
13-17
21-14
14-15
23-12
140.4Avg total
75.0Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.961.9136.8+12.993%
Season at home (7)79.064.1143.1+14.9100%
Season away (7)70.759.7130.4+11.086%
Last 10 (10)75.065.4140.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)74.864.0138.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.264.0119.2-8.825%
vs Similar (5)69.664.0133.6+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)75.459.9135.4+15.5100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Natacao WEsgueira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A24/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A05/01
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
LFB Women
71.0Avg total
28.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.268.4-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.433.566.9-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)28.940.969.8-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)28.942.171.0-13.20%-
Last 5 (5)29.240.669.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.438.567.9-9.212%-
vs Similar (4)41.029.070.0+12.075%-
vs Weaker (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
42-19
42
19
+23
A17/11
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A23/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H01/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A04/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A15/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H18/01
LFB Women
68.4Avg total
38.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.766.5+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.274.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)31.727.258.9+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.068.4+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.268.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.029.856.8-2.850%-
vs Similar (5)34.634.068.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.228.867.1+9.489%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.816.4
40.2%
43.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.94.2
19.2%
29.8%12.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
72.2%13.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.3
46.9%
43.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.2
29.8%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
72.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LLLLLLLLLL
Esgueira W
WWWLWWLWWW
#11
League position
#1
-30.2
Net rating
+11.7
78.1
Offensive rating
92.3
108.3
Defensive rating
80.6
36.2%
Effective FG%
46.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
41.1%
23.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
19.2%
3-point %
29.8%
57.8%
Assist %
74.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence78.1 · 92.3Defence108.3 · 80.6Shooting36.2% · 46.0%3-point %19.2% · 29.8%Ball care23.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds29.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Natacao W   ■ Esgueira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Natacao W wins
3
Esgueira W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Esgueira W v Natacao W99-64
08/02/24Natacao W v Esgueira W46-64
05/10/23Esgueira W v Natacao W75-80
29/01/23Natacao W v Esgueira W50-46
19/10/22Esgueira W v Natacao W62-41
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ACAB Madeira W62-85
11/01/25HSanjoanense W65-89
05/01/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W51-80
29/12/24AGalitos W48-67
21/12/24HImortal W68-75
14/12/24AGdessa Barreiro W50-75
08/12/24HAD Vagos W77-85
04/12/24AUniao Sportiva W67-73
01/12/24HBarcelos W68-86
24/11/24ABenfica W40-101
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W71-58
11/01/25AGalitos W67-54
05/01/25HGdessa Barreiro W73-65
21/12/24HGdessa Barreiro W87-89 OT
15/12/24AUniao Sportiva W76-54
08/12/24HBarcelos W91-73
04/12/24ABenfica W60-75
01/12/24HImortal W72-70
23/11/24ASanjoanense W74-54
17/11/24ACAB Madeira W79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%29%0%
Points / game61.166.656.2
Allowed / game80.177.382.5
Point differential-19.0-10.7-26.2
Avg total141.1143.9138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game74.979.070.7
Allowed / game61.964.159.7
Point differential+12.9+14.9+11.0
Avg total136.8143.1130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W1413193%74.961.9+12.9
2 Benfica W1513287%80.554.1+26.4
3 Uniao Sportiva W1611569%64.962.0+2.9
4 Galitos W1510567%65.364.6+0.7
5 Gdessa Barreiro W1610662%68.663.9+4.8
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W169756%71.461.2+10.2
7 Imortal W168850%71.270.0+1.2
8 Barcelos W167944%68.973.3-4.4
9 Sanjoanense W1551033%65.872.5-6.7
10 CAB Madeira W1531220%66.072.8-6.8
11 Natacao W1521313%61.180.1-19.0
12 AD Vagos W151147%59.581.9-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W108151952
Esgueira W1920161570
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