PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro BRound 10· Jeu de Paume
Ada Blois hosts ASA on 17 November 2026 in the Pro B, and the Pythia model names Ada Blois the clear favourite with a 77% chance of victory, reflecting their 4-4 record, 93.1 points per game and 87.9 allowed per game, and a higher league position of 8 compared to ASA's 3-5 record, 83.0 points per game and 85.9 allowed per game, and 16th place. Ada Blois has won 3 of 4 home games, scoring 98.0 points per game and conceding 88.2, and went 3-2 in their last five outings, including a narrow 96-98 loss to Quimper away, a 93-75 home win over Vichy, and a 92-97 home defeat to Antibes. ASA, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, winning only 1 of 5 road games, averaging 82.0 points and allowing 91.6, and finished 2-3 in their last five, with a recent 87-85 away win over Caen, a 93-70 home win over Aix Maurienne, and a 90-99 away loss to Nantes. Their head-to-head record stands at 4-2 in favour of Ada Blois, though ASA last beat them 86-78 on 24 March 2026. Pythia projects a 91-83 score, a total of 174.3 points, and a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 93.3 | 85.9 | 179.2 | +7.4 | 56% |
| Season at home (4) | 98.0 | 88.2 | 186.2 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 89.6 | 84.0 | 173.6 | +5.6 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.8 | 86.1 | 176.9 | +4.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.8 | 84.0 | 179.8 | +11.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 79.3 | 92.3 | 171.7 | -13.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (17) | 80.1 | 83.4 | 163.5 | -3.3 | 41% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 92.7 | 82.8 | 175.5 | +9.9 | 70% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 85.2 | 88.3 | 173.6 | -3.1 | 33% |
| Season at home (4) | 89.2 | 84.2 | 173.5 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 82.0 | 91.6 | 173.6 | -9.6 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 87.6 | 172.3 | -2.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 89.4 | 179.2 | +0.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 74.8 | 86.5 | 161.2 | -11.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (22) | 85.9 | 86.5 | 172.4 | -0.6 | 45% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 88.8 | 82.0 | 170.8 | +6.8 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 41.5 | 84.0 | +1.0 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.5 | 41.1 | 85.6 | +3.4 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.2 | 42.1 | 82.3 | -1.9 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.3 | 43.6 | 89.9 | +2.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.6 | 42.6 | 92.2 | +7.0 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 41.3 | 41.7 | 83.0 | -0.3 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 40.5 | 40.9 | 81.5 | -0.4 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 46.2 | 42.5 | 88.7 | +3.7 | 70% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 42.7 | 84.4 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.5 | 42.5 | 86.0 | +0.9 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.9 | 42.9 | 82.7 | -3.0 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 42.3 | 83.4 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 41.4 | 84.4 | +1.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 39.8 | 42.2 | 82.0 | -2.5 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 41.5 | 42.9 | 84.4 | -1.3 | 36% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 44.2 | 42.2 | 86.5 | +2.0 | 75% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.7 | 23.9 | 53.9% | 47.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 7.0 | 33.4% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.1 | 17.6 | 74.0% | 17.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.3 | 18.8 | 53.9% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.0 | 9.4 | 33.4% | 28.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 17.2 | 74.0% | 17.2 |
Ada Blois
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 | Ada Blois v ASA | 78-86 |
| 07/11/25 | ASA v Ada Blois | 78-85 |
| 08/03/25 | Ada Blois v ASA | 80-75 |
| 20/12/24 | ASA v Ada Blois | 97-100 |
| 05/04/22 | Ada Blois v ASA | 77-92 |
| 22/10/21 | ASA v Ada Blois | 68-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | St. Chamond | 95-70 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Quimper | 96-98 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Vichy | 93-75 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Antibes | 92-97 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Orleans | 103-80 |
| 16/10/26 | H | La Rochelle | 102-89 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Rouen | 78-85 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Poitiers | 105-92 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Denain-Voltaire | 76-87 |
| 31/05/26 | H | Nantes | 68-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Hyeres-Toulon | 103-108 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Caen | 87-85 OT |
| 30/10/26 | H | Aix Maurienne | 93-70 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Nantes | 90-99 |
| 20/10/26 | H | St. Chamond | 76-85 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Levallois | 78-89 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Quimper | 67-90 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Antibes | 85-74 |
| 25/09/26 | A | La Rochelle | 88-95 |
| 15/05/26 | H | Orleans | 80-81 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 56% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLWLW | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Points / game | 93.3 | 98.0 | 89.6 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 88.2 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | +7.4 | +9.8 | +5.6 |
| Avg total | 179.2 | 186.2 | 173.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 33% |
| Home | WLWL | 50% |
| Away | LLLLW | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Points / game | 85.2 | 89.2 | 82.0 |
| Allowed / game | 88.3 | 84.2 | 91.6 |
| Point differential | -3.1 | +5.0 | -9.6 |
| Avg total | 173.6 | 173.5 | 173.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denain-Voltaire | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.3 | 78.7 | +7.7 |
| 2 |  Orleans | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 88.6 | 81.3 | +7.2 |
| 3 |  Antibes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.6 | 83.0 | +3.6 |
| 4 |  Quimper | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 81.9 | 79.7 | +2.2 |
| 5 |  Chalons-Reims | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 79.2 | 80.7 | -1.4 |
| 6 |  Poitiers | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.0 | 84.3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Ada Blois | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 93.3 | 85.9 | +7.4 |
| 8 |  Evreux | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.3 | 83.7 | +0.7 |
| 9 |  Nantes | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 82.3 | 83.0 | -0.7 |
| 10 |  Hyeres-Toulon | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 87.4 | 89.3 | -1.9 |
| 11 |  Levallois | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 83.1 | 84.5 | -1.4 |
| 12 |  Caen | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 85.6 | 87.9 | -2.3 |
| 13 |  Vichy | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.6 | 87.4 | -2.9 |
| 14 |  Aix Maurienne | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.3 | 88.2 | -3.9 |
| 15 |  St. Chamond | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.3 | 86.6 | -4.2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 89.4 | 88.9 | +0.6 |
| 17 |  La Rochelle | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.7 | 86.4 | -0.8 |
| 18 |  Rouen | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.4 | 87.0 | -1.6 |
| 19 | ASA | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.2 | 88.3 | -3.1 |
| 20 |  Fos-sur-Mer | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 72.0 | 80.0 | -8.0 |
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