Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra C. Acad. W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 70-52

17-14 16-7 19-10 18-21

Position#3

Record8-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game69.5

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Canberra C. Acad. W

Position#8

Record5-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.2

Allowed / game74.5

NBL WRound 11

Women2012-13

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Canberra C. Acad. W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan W

72-62

+10

A19/10

NBL W

Townsville W

80-65

+15

A21/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

75-65

+10

A27/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

74-55

+19

H04/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

93-81

+12

A09/11

NBL W

Sydney W

78-94

-16

A10/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

79-88

-9

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

62-68

-6

A24/11

NBL W

Townsville W

90-75

+15

H30/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

85-48

+37

H08/12

NBL W

7-15

25-17

22-13

18-17

18-19

26-14

16-18

20-14

24-12

20-22

16-14

15-17

18-15

13-9

29-16

14-15

25-19

25-23

18-18

25-21

21-22

21-26

11-22

25-24

16-29

14-22

23-17

26-20

19-16

14-16

16-18

13-18

24-28

29-9

18-26

19-12

17-5

23-9

26-22

19-12

148.9Avg total

78.8Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.8	69.5	148.2	+9.2	67%
Season at home (6)	80.8	66.5	147.3	+14.3	67%
Season away (6)	76.7	72.5	149.2	+4.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	70.1	148.9	+8.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	74.6	153.4	+4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	72.1	75.8	147.8	-3.7	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	79.4	65.3	144.6	+14.1	94%

This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra C. Acad. W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

75-74

H20/10

NBL W

Logan W

71-68

H27/10

NBL W

Sydney W

60-56

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

81-93

-12

H09/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

59-54

A11/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

71-80

-9

H18/11

NBL W

Logan W

59-74

-15

H30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

72-91

-19

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

50-96

-46

A07/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

62-75

-13

A14/12

NBL W

31-24

17-19

21-21

6-10

17-19

20-16

22-15

12-18

19-13

13-14

14-17

14-12

19-25

23-25

18-18

21-25

20-18

22-9

9-10

8-17

25-20

19-19

16-23

11-18

13-25

16-22

19-10

11-17

20-17

16-26

15-22

21-26

14-36

10-18

10-26

16-16

18-20

18-23

14-15

12-17

142.1Avg total

66.0Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	66.2	74.5	140.6	-8.3	38%
Season at home (6)	69.5	74.2	143.7	-4.7	50%
Season away (7)	63.3	74.7	138.0	-11.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	66.0	76.1	142.1	-10.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	62.8	83.2	146.0	-20.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	69.5	76.0	145.5	-6.5	33%
vs Similar (10)	68.0	75.9	143.9	-7.9	30%
vs Weaker (5)	91.4	67.6	159.0	+23.8	100%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WCanberra C. Acad. W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.2	37.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	16.8	42.2	+8.6	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	15.1	33.7	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	16.0	16.9	32.9	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.3	37.1	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.6	37.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.3	18.9	36.3	-1.6	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	15.8	40.2	+8.6	80%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan W

32-32

A19/10

NBL W

Townsville W

44-33

+11

A21/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

44-34

+10

A27/10

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-24

H04/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

50-42

A09/11

NBL W

Sydney W

42-48

-6

A10/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

30-51

-21

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

33-32

A24/11

NBL W

Townsville W

53-37

+16

H30/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

40-14

+26

H08/12

NBL W

74.6Avg total

39.9Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	34.7	72.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	33.6	71.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	35.9	74.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	34.7	74.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.4	76.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	33.5	36.6	70.2	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.1	33.2	74.2	+7.9	76%	-

This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra C. Acad. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

48-43

H20/10

NBL W

Logan W

37-35

H27/10

NBL W

Sydney W

32-27

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

42-50

-8

H09/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

42-27

+15

A11/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

44-39

H18/11

NBL W

Logan W

29-47

-18

H30/11

NBL W

Dandenong W

36-43

-7

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

24-54

-30

A07/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

36-43

-7

A14/12

NBL W

77.8Avg total

37.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.7	37.9	77.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	39.6	77.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	45.2	79.0	-11.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.9	39.5	76.5	-2.6	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	49.8	32.6	82.4	+17.2	80%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	17.1	33.8	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	18.3	35.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.5	35.1	-3.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.7	33.5	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.2	34.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.7	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.6	17.7	34.3	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.0	15.2	34.2	+3.8	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.0	33.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.9	16.5	32.4	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.2	17.6	30.8	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.8	33.0	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.8	18.0	33.8	-2.2	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	14.8	15.8	30.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	16.2	40.4	+8.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	35.0	72.9	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	36.4	76.5	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	33.4	68.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (13)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	38.3	32.1	70.4	+6.2	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	35.2	68.9	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.7	33.7	67.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	37.0	70.6	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	35.3	64.3	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	38.0	67.0	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	32.5	36.5	69.0	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	31.4	33.5	64.9	-2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.6	35.0	76.6	+6.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Canberra C. Acad. W wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/12	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	81-93
04/12/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	84-75
29/10/11	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	71-75
05/12/10	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	66-97
29/10/10	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	93-76

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/12	H	Perth Lynx W	85-48
30/11/12	H	Townsville W	90-75
24/11/12	A	Bendigo W	62-68
16/11/12	H	Dandenong W	79-88
10/11/12	A	Sydney W	78-94
09/11/12	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	93-81
04/11/12	H	Geelong United W	74-55
27/10/12	A	Perth Lynx W	75-65
21/10/12	A	Townsville W	80-65
19/10/12	A	Logan W	72-62

Canberra C. Acad. Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/12	A	Perth Lynx W	62-75
07/12/12	A	Sydney W	50-96
01/12/12	A	Dandenong W	72-91
30/11/12	H	Logan W	59-74
18/11/12	H	Bendigo W	71-80
11/11/12	A	Bendigo W	59-54
09/11/12	H	Adelaide Lightning W	81-93
02/11/12	H	Sydney W	60-56
27/10/12	H	Logan W	71-68
20/10/12	H	Geelong United W	75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	67%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	78.8	80.8	76.7
Allowed / game	69.5	66.5	72.5
Point differential	+9.2	+14.3	+4.2
Avg total	148.2	147.3	149.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	67%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Canberra C. Acad. W

NBL W 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	38%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	50%	29%
Points / game	66.2	69.5	63.3
Allowed / game	74.5	74.2	74.7
Point differential	-8.3	-4.7	-11.4
Avg total	140.6	143.7	138.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	14	12	2	86%	72.2	65.4	+6.8
2	Dandenong W	14	11	3	79%	87.5	73.9	+13.6
3	Adelaide Lightning W	12	8	4	67%	78.8	69.5	+9.2
4	Townsville W	13	7	6	54%	71.9	73.4	-1.5
5	Geelong United W	14	7	7	50%	73.4	70.9	+2.4
6	Canberra C. Acad. W	13	5	8	38%	66.2	74.5	-8.3
7	Logan W	13	4	9	31%	69.5	74.3	-4.8
8	Sydney W	14	4	10	29%	75.7	77.7	-2.0
9	Perth Lynx W	15	3	12	20%	62.9	77.1	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	17	16	19	18	70
Canberra C. Acad. W	14	7	10	21	52

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra C. Acad. W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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