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Adelaide Lightning W vs SEQ Stars W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 61-72
10-30 16-13 14-14 21-15
Position#7
Record4-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game83.1
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
SEQ Stars W 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record6-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.3
AustraliaNBL W
Women2015-16
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v SEQ Stars W
05 Feb 2016
ADEL81
SEQ 89
13 Dec 2015
ADEL61
SEQ 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SEQ Stars W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
41-104
41
104
-63
A24/10
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
74-104
74
104
-30
A25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H01/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A13/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A14/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A20/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H06/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
11-32
6-31
11-16
21-25
16-28
25-22
12-29
19-10
17-19
16-16
24-23
11-17
17-15
9-17
15-16
18-21
22-19
14-21
25-23
23-21
17-19
17-15
21-16
22-20
15-20
29-29
19-24
20-25
22-22
17-24
14-18
20-21
23-15
25-14
26-17
21-26
14-15
18-21
19-8
153.9Avg total
72.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.283.1155.3-10.833%
Season at home (5)68.876.0144.8-7.240%
Season away (7)74.788.1162.9-13.429%
Last 10 (10)72.481.5153.9-9.140%
Last 5 (5)80.478.0158.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)66.579.6146.2-13.123%
vs Similar (3)73.771.0144.7+2.767%
vs Weaker (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SEQ Stars WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
104-74
104
74
+30
H25/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
H30/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A08/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H13/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A11/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
28-16
22-25
29-12
25-32
18-14
22-23
19-15
25-21
28-25
10-18
16-20
16-20
30-11
11-16
21-16
17-15
25-19
19-15
17-13
25-21
20-22
23-27
17-18
19-26
16-18
19-24
15-26
24-23
9-21
17-16
14-25
17-26
26-33
23-18
22-20
19-23
13-22
19-19
16-21
163.0Avg total
80.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.979.3161.2+2.646%
Season at home (7)85.179.7164.9+5.457%
Season away (6)78.278.8157.0-0.733%
Last 10 (10)80.982.1163.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)74.689.8164.4-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)72.086.0158.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.977.3162.2+7.660%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Adelaide Lightning WSEQ Stars W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#1
L
24-57
24
57
-33
A24/10
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H01/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H08/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A20/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/12
NBL W
77.7Avg total
36.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.641.375.9-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.639.575.1-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)33.743.176.7-9.427%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.577.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.941.775.6-7.827%-
vs Similar (3)39.338.077.3+1.367%-
vs Weaker (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SEQ Stars WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H25/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A07/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A08/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A11/12
NBL W
85.4Avg total
42.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)41.641.282.8+0.554%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.141.384.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (6)39.841.080.8-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.985.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.084.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)36.744.080.7-7.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.140.383.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Adelaide Lightning W wins
1
SEQ Stars W wins
DateGameScore
25/10/15SEQ Stars W v Adelaide Lightning W104-74
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/15HDandenong W72-70
04/12/15ASydney W94-67
29/11/15HBendigo W73-89
20/11/15APerth Lynx W85-93
14/11/15ACanberra C. Acad. W78-71
13/11/15ASydney W79-84
08/11/15HPerth Lynx W52-65
01/11/15HBendigo W76-68
25/10/15ASEQ Stars W74-104
24/10/15ATownsville W41-104
SEQ Stars Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/15APerth Lynx W67-85
06/12/15HBendigo W88-97
29/11/15HPerth Lynx W64-85
21/11/15ASydney W69-94
20/11/15HTownsville W85-88
13/11/15HGeelong United W78-62
08/11/15AGeelong United W78-63
07/11/15ABendigo W79-84
30/10/15HSydney W97-89 OT
25/10/15HAdelaide Lightning W104-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game72.268.874.7
Allowed / game83.176.088.1
Point differential-10.8-7.2-13.4
Avg total155.3144.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SEQ Stars W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game81.985.178.2
Allowed / game79.379.778.8
Point differential+2.6+5.4-0.7
Avg total161.2164.9157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W1410471%78.571.6+6.9
2 Townsville W128467%82.971.3+11.6
3 Sydney W138562%79.776.8+2.8
4 Bendigo W159660%73.673.2+0.4
5 Dandenong W127558%75.172.6+2.5
6 Geelong United W147750%74.274.3-0.1
7 SEQ Stars W136746%81.979.3+2.6
8 Adelaide Lightning W124833%72.283.1-10.8
9 Canberra C. Acad. W130130%66.282.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1016142161
SEQ Stars W3013141572
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