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AEK Larnaca vs Belfius Mons Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-62
13-9 18-22 20-18 12-13
Position#27
Record2-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#35
Record1-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belfius Mons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A22/09
Champions League
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A13/10
Division A
Balkan
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H20/10
Division A
Belfius Mons
#35
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A27/10
Division A
Minsk
#15
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
H03/11
Division A
Balkan
#9
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A10/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
16-21
12-19
15-18
21-14
19-11
19-22
17-20
20-27
19-18
15-15
14-19
16-17
10-21
18-16
15-16
21-16
17-17
25-26
20-19
20-20
15-26
29-14
15-19
14-19
25-20
13-25
23-23
21-14
10-23
17-17
22-16
24-20
23-26
13-15
18-16
17-26
22-21
18-17
28-11
152.0Avg total
74.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.080.2156.2-4.250%
Season at home (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
Season away (3)78.780.7159.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)74.777.3152.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)81.280.6161.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.280.0152.2-7.833%
vs Similar (6)71.770.5142.2+1.267%
vs Weaker (18)84.670.9155.6+13.789%
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H06/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Liege
#10
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A11/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Minsk
#15
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basic-Fit Brussels
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A19/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Limburg
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Balkan
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A04/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Minsk
#15
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H10/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
23-16
25-24
28-18
25-17
23-19
24-21
20-21
21-19
18-23
24-31
19-16
22-22
18-12
7-23
18-14
16-21
17-17
26-25
19-20
14-15
20-19
22-23
24-18
18-16
15-22
20-18
13-22
17-17
16-26
12-21
12-11
20-17
23-20
21-19
22-23
16-10
26-20
23-23
20-13
156.4Avg total
79.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.082.2160.2-4.225%
Season at home (2)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
Season away (2)74.083.5157.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)79.177.3156.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.874.6149.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.978.4153.2-3.529%
vs Similar (4)83.284.0167.2-0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.676.5162.1+9.282%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
AEK LarnacaBelfius Mons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A22/09
Champions League
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A13/10
Division A
Balkan
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H20/10
Division A
Belfius Mons
#35
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/10
Division A
Minsk
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/11
Division A
Balkan
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A10/11
Division A
75.7Avg total
36.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.877.6+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.835.675.4+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.837.879.6+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.575.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.081.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.240.078.2-1.833%-
vs Similar (6)35.839.275.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (18)43.434.978.3+8.483%-
This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Liege
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A11/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Minsk
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basic-Fit Brussels
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Limburg
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H27/10
EuroMillions Basketball League
Balkan
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
Minsk
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Leuven Bears
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H10/11
EuroMillions Basketball League
76.1Avg total
39.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.837.475.2+0.441%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.535.673.1+1.943%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.077.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.976.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.937.172.9-1.236%-
vs Similar (4)39.041.280.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.836.476.2+3.555%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Belfius Mons wins
DateGameScore
23/10/18Belfius Mons v AEK Larnaca78-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18AParalimni85-75
07/11/18ABalkan78-77
03/11/18HAEL82-76 OT
31/10/18AMinsk75-87
27/10/18AApoel BC86-88 OT
23/10/18ABelfius Mons83-78
20/10/18HKeravnos59-70
17/10/18HBalkan68-79
13/10/18AETHA Engomi76-67
22/09/18AAntwerp Giants55-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18HLeuven Bears85-66
06/11/18HMinsk86-79
04/11/18AAntwerp Giants57-75
30/10/18ABalkan66-78
27/10/18HLimburg80-75
23/10/18HAEK Larnaca78-83
19/10/18ABasic-Fit Brussels65-71
17/10/18AMinsk82-89
11/10/18ALiege92-78
06/10/18HMechelen100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game76.068.078.7
Allowed / game80.279.080.7
Point differential-4.2-11.0-2.0
Avg total156.2147.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belfius Mons
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.082.074.0
Allowed / game82.281.083.5
Point differential-4.2+1.0-9.5
Avg total160.2163.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears440100%103.072.0+31.0
2 Sassari660100%99.776.5+23.2
3 Lukoil Levski550100%88.876.8+12.0
4 Alba Fehervar76186%87.080.4+6.6
5 Leiden65183%78.370.5+7.8
6 Saratov54180%97.888.4+9.4
7 Z-Mobile Prishtina54180%85.882.6+3.2
8 Karsiyaka43175%80.268.2+12.0
9 Varese43175%85.573.8+11.8
10 Nes Ziona86275%90.179.1+11.0
11 Donar Groningen43175%77.071.0+6.0
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg43175%79.273.8+5.5
13 Szolnoki Olaj43175%84.579.8+4.8
14 Kataja96367%84.480.7+3.8
15 Minsk53260%84.082.2+1.8
16 Balkan74357%79.174.4+4.7
17 Spirou Charleroi42250%80.275.5+4.8
18 Den Bosch63350%80.277.0+3.2
19 Cherkaski Mavpy84450%80.279.4+0.9
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 AEK Larnaca42250%76.080.2-4.2
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
25 Istanbul BB83538%75.277.0-1.8
26 Sakarya BB41325%79.080.8-1.8
27 FC Porto41325%81.283.2-2.0
28 Belfius Mons41325%78.082.2-4.2
29 Aris41325%69.273.8-4.5
30 BC Dnipro82625%71.977.2-5.4
31 CSM Oradea41325%78.286.8-8.5
32 Szombathely41325%72.882.8-10.0
33 Rilski Sportist71614%77.489.1-11.7
34 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
35 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
36 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
37 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
38 Leicester Riders4040%70.586.8-16.2
39 BC Steaua Bucuresti5050%68.289.8-21.6
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice5050%76.0100.2-24.2
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1318201263
Belfius Mons922181362
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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