PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in
Teams › Lega A › Varese← All teams

Varese

Italy BCL 1-3 · 3/4 Group 3 Lega A 4-3 · 8/16
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WLWLLWWWLL
Points / game
89.1
allowed 87.1
Over 170.5
50%
game total, 8 games
Game total
176.2
both teams per game
Win rate
62%
5-3
Margin / game
+2.0
points
1st half
45.4
points scored / game
Overtime
12%
games to overtime
Sections
Varese

Varese in the 2026-27 season sits at 5-6 overall, 1-3 in the Basketball Champions League as third of four and 4-3 in Lega Basket Serie A, eighth of sixteen. Their last five games show 3-2, with a recent loss to Peristeri 96-101 away, a home loss to Udine 81-84, and a win over Verona 99-88 away. In the Serie A power rating the team is ranked ninth with a net rating of -1.5, a step up from tenth a few games earlier. Home play yields 2-3, 85.4 points for and 89.2 against, while away they are 3-3, 86.3 for and 83.2 against. Hunter Hale leads in points and assists at 20.1 and 3.7 per game, with Ismael Kamagate grabbing 4.3 rebounds. Their next fixture is a home game against Venezia on 22 November 2026, where the projected win probability is 48%.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Varese stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Lega Basket Serie A (this season) Varese score 89.1 points a game and allow 87.1 across 8 games – 50% of their games go over 170.5 and they clear 85.5 team points in 38%. They win 62% (50% at home, 75% away), by +2.0 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

VareseLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 77
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 77
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 77
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 77
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 77
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 77
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 77
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 77
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 77
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.8Avg total
87.6Scored
88.2Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
24.8
20.5
+4.2
won 75%
Q2
20.6
22.1
-1.5
won 12%
Q3
21.2
22.8
-1.5
won 38%
Q4
20.6
20.8
-0.1
won 50%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 75% of 8 games, the 2nd half in 38%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=4AWAY n=4
86.2
Points / game
92.0
90.2
Allowed / game
84.0
176.5
Game total
176.0
25%
Over 170.5
75%
50%
Win %
75%
-4.0
Margin
+8.0
44.2
1st half scored
46.5
75%
Won the 1st half
75%
0%
Won by 10+
50%
Points scored per game
9%19%28%38%12%70-740%75-7912%80-8438%85-890%90-9425%95-990%100-10412%105-109
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
9%19%28%38%12%75-7938%80-8425%85-8912%90-940%95-9912%100-104
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 87.8 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)86.886.886.586.587.187.153%
vs Stronger (11)83.590.283.590.083.690.436%
vs Similar (14)87.486.988.883.985.590.857%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4--92.679.480%
Over 170.5 (game total)53% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
6thof 1662%
Attack: points scored per game
7thof 1689.1
Defence: points allowed per game
8thof 1687.1
Game total: both teams' points per game
8thof 16176.2
Ranked against the 16 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
2 Trieste182.9
5 Verona179.6
6 Treviso179.3
7 Venezia176.4
8 Varese176.2
9 Tortona174.7
11 Scafati173.6
13 Cantu167.7
14 Reggiana167.6
15 Trento164.0
16 Udine161.6
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
9thof 1645.2%
2-point accuracy
9thof 1654.3%
3-point accuracy
7thof 1634.6%
Free-throw accuracy
12thof 1671.7%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
5 Venezia46.4%
6 Verona46.2%
7 Tortona46.0%
8 Treviso45.8%
9 Varese45.2%
10 Scafati44.2%
12 Trieste43.5%
13 Udine41.6%
14 Reggiana41.5%
15 Cantu41.3%
16 Trento39.9%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
2 Verona61.1%
5 Venezia56.0%
7 Udine55.2%
8 Tortona55.0%
9 Varese54.3%
10 Trieste53.2%
11 Treviso52.1%
12 Reggiana50.0%
14 Cantu47.4%
15 Trento47.3%
16 Scafati46.7%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
2 Scafati39.8%
7 Varese34.6%
8 Treviso34.3%
9 Trieste33.3%
10 Trento33.0%
11 Venezia32.7%
12 Reggiana31.9%
13 Tortona31.7%
14 Cantu31.0%
15 Verona27.3%
16 Udine26.0%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
3 Udine80.2%
4 Venezia79.4%
7 Tortona77.2%
9 Trento74.6%
10 Trieste73.3%
11 Verona72.3%
12 Varese71.7%
13 Treviso71.1%
14 Reggiana69.7%
15 Cantu67.0%
16 Scafati61.5%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
45.2%-0.4pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#9 of 16 in Lega A
✋ 2-pointers
54.3%+0.1pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#9 of 16 in Lega A
🌟 3-pointers
34.6%+0.4pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#7 of 16 in Lega A
🏹 Free throws
71.7%-3.0pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#12 of 16 in Lega A

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VareseLeague average
96.6
Offensive rating
98.0
96.3
Defensive rating
98.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.0%
3-point %
34.3%
47.0%
3-point attempt rate
43.0%
62.1%
Assist %
60.9%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 98.0Defence96.3 · 98.0Shooting53.0% · 53.1%3-point %33.0% · 34.3%Ball care16.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.37
■ Varese   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 170.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+7386%3-13-0100%WWWLW
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+5086%2-14-0100%WLWWW
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+5771%3-12-150%WWLWW
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+3143%3-12-1100%WWWWW
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+1571%3-02-2100%LWWWL
6 Venezia74357%87.988.6-557%1-23-1100%LWLLW
7 Udine74357%81.380.3+714%2-12-2100%LLLWW
8 Varese74357%87.787.6+150%2-22-133%WLWWL
9 Trieste74357%94.488.4+4243%3-11-20%LWWWW
10 Verona73443%88.491.1-1986%2-11-3100%WWLLL
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-2243%1-22-250%WWLLL
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+6100%2-10-40%LLLWL
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-1450%2-20-30%WLWLL
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-5157%2-20-30%LLLLW
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-7357%1-30-30%LLWLL
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-9843%0-30-40%LLLLL
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 170.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
VareseLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.8Avg total
87.6Scored
88.2Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 170.5
Last 30 (30)86.886.8173.7+0.053%53%
Last 30 at home (14)86.586.5173.0+0.064%43%
Last 30 away (16)87.187.1174.2+0.044%62%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%50%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%55%
vs Similar (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%50%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%60%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 170.5 = the league line
Over 170.553%
n=30
Under 170.547%
n=30
Won the game53%
n=30
Lost the game47%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, Lega A games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 170.5)Team points (line 85.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (8)176.2176.5176.089.186.292.0+2.0-4.0+8.0
vs Stronger (1)159.0159.0-69.069.0--21.0-21.0-
vs Similar (3)182.3182.3-92.092.0-+1.7+1.7-
vs Weaker (4)176.0-176.092.0-92.0+8.0-+8.0
% over line / win50%25%75%38%25%50%62%50%75%
% under line / loss50%75%25%62%75%50%38%50%25%
Scoring dials
Points / game89.1
League avg 87.8 · above by 1.3
Allowed / game87.1
League avg 87.8 · below by 0.7
1st half scored45.4
League avg 44.3 · above by 1.1
3-pointers made10.5
League avg 9.5 · above by 1.0
Free throws made18.2
League avg 17.9 · above by 0.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 80.5 pts88%
n=8
Under 80.5 pts12%
n=8
Over 85.5 pts38%
n=8
Under 85.5 pts62%
n=8
Over 90.5 pts38%
n=8
Under 90.5 pts62%
n=8
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 160.588%
n=8
Under 160.512%
n=8
Over 170.550%
n=8
Under 170.550%
n=8
Over 180.538%
n=8
Under 180.562%
n=8
Result markets
Win62%
n=8
Win by 6+ (-5.5)50%
n=8
Cover +5.588%
n=8
Win by 10+25%
n=8
Win the 1st half75%
n=8
Overtime12%
n=8
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Varese: 85.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.7
29.6%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.6
73.8%
74.6%18.6
Their opponents take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Hunter HaleLega A BCL9929.920.12.43.737.0%37.9%
Duke Jr. DavidLega A BCL9926.412.24.13.737.8%28.6%
Davide AlvitiLega A BCL9925.410.44.03.046.6%46.2%
S. NikolicLega A BCL9922.89.43.91.062.5%45.5%
Isaiah RobyLega A BCL9020.36.23.31.236.4%26.7%
Nate RenfroLega A BCL9220.16.84.01.772.7%0.0%
Matteo LibrizziLega A BCL9016.16.61.41.928.3%31.4%
Ismael KamagateLega A BCL9716.06.64.31.666.7%-
I. IkangiLega A BCL9015.93.82.00.639.3%38.1%
M. VillaLega A BCL707.31.61.10.355.6%33.3%
Amedeo Della ValleLega A BCL2011.85.50.52.533.3%40.0%
Maximilian LadurnerLega A BCL601.50.30.20.050.0%-
R. KangurLega A BCL401.40.00.20.2--
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
6.4
11 rated players
S. Nikolic9.4 pts8.5
Davide Alviti10.4 pts8.0
Hunter Hale20.1 pts7.5
Isaiah Roby6.2 pts7.5
I. Ikangi3.8 pts7.4
Duke Jr. David12.2 pts6.8
Matteo Librizzi6.6 pts6.4
M. Villa1.6 pts6.4
Ismael Kamagate6.6 pts5.4
Nate Renfro6.8 pts3.1
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
62%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
18-11favourite won / lost
Across 29 games of Varese, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 62% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Varese
v
Venezia
Sun 22 Nov, 18:00 UTC
Pythia: Venezia 52%
home 48%away 52%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Varese v Venezia Sun 22 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=30
2023-24
n=30
2024-25
n=30
2025-26
n=29
2026-27
n=8
Trend
Points scored / game90.987.386.384.589.1
Points allowed / game90.790.194.987.987.1
Game total181.6177.3181.2172.3176.2
Over 160.597%80%90%72%88%
Over 170.577%60%80%55%50%
Over 180.547%47%47%34%38%
Team points over 85.567%50%57%48%38%
Win %57%40%33%45%62%
Home win %67%47%53%57%50%
Away win %47%33%13%33%75%
Margin / game+0.1-2.8-8.6-3.4+2.0
Won by 10+13%20%7%14%25%
Close games won (5 or fewer)60%36%75%56%33%
Overtime %7%0%10%0%12%
1st half total92.790.889.984.888.0
Won the 1st half47%40%53%34%75%
3-point attempt rate48%51%51%49%46%
Effective FG%55%55%53%53%53%
Pace80.078.678.479.5-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovReggiana v Varese Lega A84-99W
11 NovPeristeri v Varese Champions League101-96L
08 NovVarese v Udine Lega A81-84L
31 OctVerona v Varese Lega A88-99W
27 OctBamberg v Varese Champions League61-95W
24 OctVarese v BC Roma Lega A110-103 OTW
18 OctTrento v Varese Lega A87-85L
13 OctVarese v Peristeri Champions League82-85L
10 OctVarese v Trieste Lega A85-84W
07 OctMurcia v Varese Champions League85-58L
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.