AEK Larnaca vs ETHA Engomi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 86-81

27-12 21-20 11-25 27-24

Position#1

Record12-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game72.9

AEK Larnaca 🏆

ETHA Engomi

Position#5

Record6-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game79.1

Division ARound 18

Other2017-18

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v ETHA Engomi

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ETHA Engomi winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

90-102

102

-12

H28/11

Division A

Apollon

79-70

A03/12

Division A

Paralimni

102-71

102

+31

H09/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

81-62

+19

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

79-70

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

84-82

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

87-61

+26

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

82-74

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

75-85

-10

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

73-61

+12

A07/02

Division A

25-26

29-30

21-27

15-19

24-19

19-12

19-25

17-14

30-27

23-17

31-15

18-12

20-17

22-21

21-15

18-9

22-9

23-21

21-18

13-22

22-16

24-21

20-21

18-24

18-14

25-14

27-22

17-11

20-19

19-20

24-21

19-14

19-19

22-27

20-24

14-15

24-21

18-17

16-9

15-14

157.0Avg total

83.2Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	84.8	72.9	157.7	+11.9	86%
Season at home (7)	89.0	77.3	166.3	+11.7	71%
Season away (7)	80.6	68.6	149.1	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	73.8	157.0	+9.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	72.6	152.8	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.7	70.4	143.1	+2.3	43%
vs Similar (3)	80.3	78.0	158.3	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.0	68.2	150.2	+13.8	90%

This opponent (ETHA Engomi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ETHA Engomi Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

77-89

-12

A02/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

83-66

+17

H10/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

70-79

-9

A20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

83-78

H27/12

Division A

Apollon

79-53

+26

A07/01

Division A

Keravnos

73-93

-20

H14/01

Division A

Paralimni

71-76

-5

A21/01

Division A

Apoel BC

93-102

102

-9

H29/01

Division A

Apollon

84-87

-3

A02/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

88-97 OT

-9

H06/02

Division A

19-19

12-31

16-19

30-20

17-15

30-13

20-25

16-13

9-22

21-23

18-21

22-13

28-21

17-25

12-16

26-16

23-14

20-13

18-19

18-7

21-19

16-19

18-21

18-34

10-20

22-17

17-18

22-21

25-19

23-28

17-31

28-24

24-22

17-20

20-22

23-23

14-20

31-19

14-20

21-21

162.1Avg total

80.1Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	78.7	79.1	157.7	-0.4	40%
Season at home (8)	81.5	83.0	164.5	-1.5	50%
Season away (7)	75.4	74.6	150.0	+0.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	82.0	162.1	-1.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	91.0	172.8	-9.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	73.1	85.1	158.2	-12.1	17%
vs Similar (6)	76.5	73.0	149.5	+3.5	50%
vs Weaker (6)	85.7	75.0	160.7	+10.7	67%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaETHA Engomi

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.5	38.6	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	16.8	38.1	+4.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.2	38.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.8	38.9	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.2	22.8	40.1	-5.6	28%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	17.6	39.4	+4.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	22.1	40.1	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	60%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

54-56

-2

H28/11

Division A

Apollon

43-31

+12

A03/12

Division A

Paralimni

53-44

H09/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

42-38

A13/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

45-30

+15

H20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

46-37

A08/01

Division A

Apollon

43-28

+15

H14/01

Division A

Keravnos

39-39

A21/01

Division A

Keravnos

41-46

-5

H03/02

Division A

Paralimni

42-38

A07/02

Division A

83.5Avg total

44.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	35.3	77.1	+6.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	34.6	76.9	+7.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	36.0	77.3	+5.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	38.7	83.5	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.6	79.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	37.3	74.9	+0.3	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	38.7	80.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.2	34.1	77.3	+9.1	80%	-

This opponent (ETHA Engomi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ETHA EngomiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

31-50

-19

A02/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

47-28

+19

H10/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

30-45

-15

A20/12

Division A

Apoel BC

45-46

-1

H27/12

Division A

Apollon

43-27

+16

A07/01

Division A

Keravnos

37-38

-1

H14/01

Division A

Paralimni

32-37

-5

A21/01

Division A

Apoel BC

48-47

H29/01

Division A

Apollon

41-42

-1

A02/02

Division A

Apop Paphou

45-39

H06/02

Division A

79.8Avg total

39.9Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	42.2	79.7	-4.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.8	82.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	42.7	77.1	-8.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.9	79.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.3	44.9	80.2	-9.6	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	36.0	80.6	+8.6	80%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	17.6	38.4	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	16.6	32.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.2	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.7	38.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.4	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	16.6	34.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	17.1	34.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	15.4	31.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	16.6	35.4	+2.3	71%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	17.8	16.8	34.5	+1.1	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.6	47.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	56%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	16.5	34.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.1	71.5	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	34.8	72.9	+3.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	33.6	70.3	+3.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.1	73.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	33.1	68.3	+2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	39.3	77.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.0	33.7	71.7	+4.3	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	38.5	76.8	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	38.7	77.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	38.3	76.0	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	47.0	86.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.4	44%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.7	33.5	72.2	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

ETHA Engomi wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/17	AEK Larnaca v ETHA Engomi	79-70
02/11/17	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	69-91
25/02/17	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	75-89
28/01/17	AEK Larnaca v ETHA Engomi	110-58
28/12/16	AEK Larnaca v ETHA Engomi	81-69
26/11/16	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	91-95
07/02/16	AEK Larnaca v ETHA Engomi	87-82
12/12/15	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	89-99
03/03/15	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	96-90 OT
14/01/15	ETHA Engomi v AEK Larnaca	84-79

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/18	A	Paralimni	73-61
03/02/18	H	Keravnos	75-85
21/01/18	A	Keravnos	82-74
14/01/18	H	Apollon	87-61
08/01/18	A	Apoel BC	84-82
20/12/17	H	ETHA Engomi	79-70
13/12/17	A	Apop Paphou	81-62
09/12/17	H	Paralimni	102-71
03/12/17	A	Apollon	79-70
28/11/17	H	Apoel BC	90-102

ETHA Engomilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/18	H	Apop Paphou	88-97 OT
02/02/18	A	Apollon	84-87
29/01/18	H	Apoel BC	93-102
21/01/18	A	Paralimni	71-76
14/01/18	H	Keravnos	73-93
07/01/18	A	Apollon	79-53
27/12/17	H	Apoel BC	83-78
20/12/17	A	AEK Larnaca	70-79
10/12/17	H	Apop Paphou	83-66
02/12/17	A	Keravnos	77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	LWWWL	71%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	86%	71%	100%
Points / game	84.8	89.0	80.6
Allowed / game	72.9	77.3	68.6
Point differential	+11.9	+11.7	+12.0
Avg total	157.7	166.3	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	43%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

ETHA Engomi

Division A 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	40%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	40%	50%	29%
Points / game	78.7	81.5	75.4
Allowed / game	79.1	83.0	74.6
Point differential	-0.4	-1.5	+0.9
Avg total	157.7	164.5	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	14	12	2	86%	84.8	72.9	+11.9
2	Keravnos	14	11	3	79%	81.3	69.6	+11.7
3	Apoel BC	14	8	6	57%	80.7	77.1	+3.6
4	Paralimni	15	8	7	53%	72.3	73.7	-1.3
5	ETHA Engomi	15	6	9	40%	78.7	79.1	-0.4
6	Apop Paphou	15	3	12	20%	71.6	83.3	-11.7
7	Apollon	15	3	12	20%	67.8	79.7	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	27	21	11	27	86
ETHA Engomi	12	20	25	24	81

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs ETHA Engomi Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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