PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEL vs Fyllingen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-58
20-11 14-17 20-14 22-16
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game61.0
AEL 🏆
vs
Fyllingen
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeENBL· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fyllingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 72
A04/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 72
A08/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 72
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 72
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
50avg 72
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 72
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 72
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 72
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 72
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 72
H17/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
19-19
14-27
12-28
13-22
26-12
13-23
19-21
18-24
17-14
29-17
23-25
23-18
23-18
20-21
15-28
19-30
8-18
24-22
15-16
23-21
19-19
17-24
28-18
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
157.3Avg total
75.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.061.0140.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.061.0140.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.182.2157.3-7.140%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.384.6155.9-13.418%
vs Similar (11)84.281.4165.5+2.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.174.8161.9+12.4100%
This opponent (Fyllingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FyllingenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFyllingen
Date
Competition
Gimle
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A27/04
BLNO
Gimle
#2
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H30/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H20/09
BLNO
Tal Tech
#11
L
94-95
94
95
-1
80avg 68
A23/09
ENBL
Tromso
#6
W
110-68
110
68
+42
no box
H26/09
BLNO
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
54-79
54
79
-25
42avg 68
H30/09
ENBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 68
H08/10
ENBL
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
142-61
142
61
+81
no box
A10/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
W
153-91
153
91
+62
no box
A11/10
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
67-99
67
99
-32
no box
A18/10
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
26-20
30-29
17-23
16-23
21-21
17-20
26-12
21-25
20-21
18-16
9-18
33-21
21-16
21-36
19-22
18-22
29-14
26-15
37-17
13-18
16-27
13-23
12-11
17-17
17-18
17-13
24-23
29-21
46-16
31-14
36-10
36-24
33-26
43-21
41-20
12-25
24-35
9-23
22-16
173.9Avg total
93.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.381.7156.0-7.333%
Season at home (2)64.575.0139.5-10.550%
Season away (1)94.095.0189.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)93.280.7173.9+12.560%
Last 5 (5)98.280.2178.4+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.879.8153.5-6.025%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)105.581.3186.9+24.281%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +7.1+7.1
AELFyllingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
78.7Avg total
38.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.739.582.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.239.177.2-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.578.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.681.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.441.076.4-5.636%-
vs Similar (11)42.440.482.7+2.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.635.479.0+8.288%-
This opponent (Fyllingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FyllingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimle
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A27/04
BLNO
Gimle
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H30/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/09
BLNO
Tal Tech
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/09
ENBL
Tromso
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H26/09
BLNO
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H30/09
ENBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H08/10
ENBL
Nidaros Jets
#9
W
75-37
75
37
+38
A10/10
BLNO
TNT Towers
#10
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A11/10
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#4
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A18/10
BLNO
88.9Avg total
46.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.740.991.6+9.870%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.241.090.2+8.267%-
Last 30 away (12)52.940.793.6+12.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.588.9+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.494.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.540.580.0-1.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)52.440.993.3+11.577%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.215.4
69.4%
70.7%15.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fyllingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fyllingen: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.8
45.1%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
70.7%12.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WLWLWLLWLL
Fyllingen
LWWWLWLLWW
#4
League position
#16
-8.0
Net rating
-14.7
89.2
Offensive rating
92.0
97.2
Defensive rating
106.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.2%
3-point %
34.3%
59.1%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 92.0Defence97.2 · 106.7Shooting49.1% · 47.5%3-point %29.2% · 34.3%Ball care15.6% · 17.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ AEL   ■ Fyllingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
0
Fyllingen wins
No previous meetings.
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
29/04/26HKeravnos87-82
25/04/26AKeravnos66-86
22/04/26HKeravnos81-85
18/04/26AKeravnos87-80
08/04/26AAEK Larnaca71-78
04/04/26AKeravnos58-101
Fyllingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AKongsberg Miners67-99
11/10/26ATNT Towers153-91
10/10/26ANidaros Jets142-61
08/10/26HZrinjski Mostar75-71
30/09/26HSpartak Pleven54-79
26/09/26HTromso110-68
23/09/26ATal Tech94-95
20/09/26HGimle68-80
30/04/26HGimle80-76
27/04/26AGimle89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Fyllingen
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.364.594.0
Allowed / game81.775.095.0
Point differential-7.3-10.5-1.0
Avg total156.0139.5189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kapfenberg Bulls110100%94.071.0+23.0
2 Syntainics MBC110100%106.084.0+22.0
3 AEL110100%79.061.0+18.0
4 Anwil Wloclawek110100%97.081.0+16.0
5 Tindastoll330100%84.769.3+15.3
6 Voluntari110100%80.074.0+6.0
7 Dubrava110100%87.082.0+5.0
8 Spartak Pleven32167%77.771.7+6.0
9 Tal Tech32167%84.081.3+2.7
10 CIU21150%89.587.5+2.0
11 Alkar21150%87.090.0-3.0
12 BK Liepaja21150%75.083.0-8.0
13 Fyllingen31233%74.381.7-7.3
14 Zrinjski Mostar2020%79.083.5-4.5
15 Jonava1010%71.077.0-6.0
16 Lausanne Basket3030%77.790.7-13.0
17 Donar Groningen2020%75.590.0-14.5
18 Bristol Flyers2020%76.095.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2014202276
Fyllingen1117141658
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.