AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	88.0	72.3	160.3	+15.7	95%
Season at home (11)	87.7	70.1	157.8	+17.6	100%
Season away (11)	88.3	74.5	162.8	+13.7	91%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	74.3	159.9	+11.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	74.6	160.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.8	89.2	165.0	-13.5	25%
vs Similar (6)	87.7	76.8	164.5	+10.8	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.1	72.4	161.4	+16.7	100%

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEL

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

105-83

105

+22

H17/01

Division A

Morphou

92-75

+17

A24/01

Division A

Paralimni

75-74

H02/02

Division A

Anorthosis

93-89

A07/02

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

76-65

+11

H13/02

Division A

Apollon

76-85

-9

A06/03

Division A

Apoel BC

78-64

+14

H21/03

Division A

Apollon

89-77

+12

A27/03

Division A

Paralimni

99-82

+17

H31/03

Division A

Keravnos

58-101

101

-43

A04/04

Division A

22-23

27-15

28-18

28-27

26-14

16-26

20-17

30-18

17-15

19-15

22-24

17-20

24-24

17-19

15-23

37-23

23-16

23-15

11-21

19-13

24-20

18-12

15-17

19-36

23-18

14-12

25-20

16-14

24-20

13-29

27-14

25-14

31-22

19-24

24-23

25-13

13-27

19-19

14-27

12-28

163.6Avg total

84.1Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.5	80.2	161.8	+1.3	68%
Season at home (11)	82.1	78.9	161.0	+3.2	73%
Season away (11)	81.0	81.5	162.5	-0.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	79.5	163.6	+4.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	81.8	161.8	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	71.3	87.7	159.0	-16.3	0%
vs Similar (11)	84.8	79.7	164.5	+5.1	82%
vs Weaker (10)	84.8	75.4	160.2	+9.4	90%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaAEL

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.8	18.7	42.5	+5.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.6	41.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	16.4	37.7	+4.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	16.5	39.2	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.8	41.1	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	19.4	44.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.3	20.7	45.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	50%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Morphou

43-34

H17/01

Division A

Paralimni

43-35

A23/01

Division A

Anorthosis

43-35

H31/01

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

48-40

A06/02

Division A

Apollon

49-34

+15

H13/02

Division A

Keravnos

39-34

A08/03

Division A

Apollon

59-43

+16

H20/03

Division A

Paralimni

45-46

-1

A26/03

Division A

Keravnos

57-35

+22

H01/04

Division A

Apoel BC

41-46

-5

A05/04

Division A

84.9Avg total

46.7Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	38.2	82.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	36.3	82.1	+9.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	40.1	83.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	38.2	84.9	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.8	89.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	42.0	75.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	48.2	39.3	87.5	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	46.3	36.5	82.8	+9.8	84%	-

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

49-38

+11

H17/01

Division A

Morphou

42-40

A24/01

Division A

Paralimni

36-30

H02/02

Division A

Anorthosis

41-43

-2

A07/02

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

46-31

+15

H13/02

Division A

Apollon

42-32

+10

A06/03

Division A

Apoel BC

37-30

H21/03

Division A

Apollon

37-49

-12

A27/03

Division A

Paralimni

50-46

H31/03

Division A

Keravnos

32-46

-14

A04/04

Division A

79.7Avg total

41.2Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.1	80.3	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	39.7	79.9	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.5	79.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.8	41.4	78.2	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.6	39.5	82.1	+3.2	73%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.6	36.6	80.2	+7.0	90%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.5	18.7	41.3	+3.8	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.6	40.8	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	13.8	30.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	24.5	45.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	20.5	41.0	-0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	36.5	78.1	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	38.7	79.5	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	33.8	71.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	47.2	89.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.7	35.8	78.6	+6.9	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.6	81.1	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	39.4	78.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	43.4	83.6	-3.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.0	83.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.6	46.2	80.8	-11.7	11%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.2	40.3	82.5	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	22.4	58.5%	51.5%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.1	32.3%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.2	70.9%	71.5%	11.2

They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	22.3	55.3%	51.5%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.0	36.9%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.2	11.8	72.8%	71.5%	11.8

They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.7	50.4%	51.5%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.1	35.2%	32.9%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.8	72.3%	71.5%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	19.3	52.9%	51.5%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.2	34.2%	32.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.9	76.8%	71.5%	13.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.4	53.9%	51.5%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.0	35.3%	32.9%	30.1
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.5	74.0%	71.5%	12.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	20.6	52.1%	51.5%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.4	32.4%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.4	69.9%	71.5%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.4	50.5%	51.5%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.9	36.1%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.2	72.7%	71.5%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.8	52.6%	51.5%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.8	35.5%	32.9%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.0	72.9%	71.5%	13.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Larnaca

WWWWLWWWWW

AEL

LWWWLWWWWW

League position

+14.1

Net rating

+3.9

102.8

Offensive rating

99.6

88.7

Defensive rating

95.6

54.0%

Effective FG%

55.3%

51.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

12.1%

Turnover %

13.6%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.25

32.3%

3-point %

36.9%

70.5%

Assist %

65.8%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ AEK Larnaca ■ AEL

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

AEL wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	62-87
11/10/25	AEK Larnaca v AEL	88-72
12/03/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	76-57
18/01/25	AEL v AEK Larnaca	66-80
01/12/24	AEK Larnaca v AEL	89-70
05/04/24	AEL v AEK Larnaca	63-99
20/03/24	AEK Larnaca v AEL	93-81
09/10/23	AEL v AEK Larnaca	94-96 OT
05/03/23	AEL v AEK Larnaca	76-91
21/12/22	AEK Larnaca v AEL	118-103

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/26	A	Apoel BC	80-75
01/04/26	H	Keravnos	97-72
26/03/26	A	Paralimni	90-74
20/03/26	H	Apollon	91-77
08/03/26	A	Keravnos	71-75
13/02/26	H	Apollon	85-74
06/02/26	A	Achilleas K.	92-90
31/01/26	H	Anorthosis	81-64
23/01/26	A	Paralimni	78-70
17/01/26	H	Morphou	91-72

AELlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/26	A	Keravnos	58-101
31/03/26	H	Paralimni	99-82
27/03/26	A	Apollon	89-77
21/03/26	H	Apoel BC	78-64
06/03/26	A	Apollon	76-85
13/02/26	H	Achilleas K.	76-65
07/02/26	A	Anorthosis	93-89
02/02/26	H	Paralimni	75-74
24/01/26	A	Morphou	92-75
17/01/26	H	ETHA Engomi	105-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	91%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	95%	100%	91%
Points / game	88.0	87.7	88.3
Allowed / game	72.3	70.1	74.5
Point differential	+15.7	+17.6	+13.7
Avg total	160.3	157.8	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	82%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEL

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	68%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	WWLWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	68%	73%	64%
Points / game	81.5	82.1	81.0
Allowed / game	80.2	78.9	81.5
Point differential	+1.3	+3.2	-0.5
Avg total	161.8	161.0	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	45%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	22	21	1	95%	88.0	72.3	+15.7
2	Keravnos	23	21	2	91%	90.2	72.8	+17.3
3	AEL	22	15	7	68%	81.5	80.2	+1.3
4	Apoel BC	22	11	11	50%	79.9	82.9	-3.0
5	Apollon	23	9	14	39%	83.1	86.1	-3.0
6	Anorthosis	18	7	11	39%	75.1	79.2	-4.2
7	Paralimni	22	8	14	36%	82.0	83.0	-1.0
8	Morphou	18	6	12	33%	78.1	85.4	-7.3
9	ETHA Engomi	18	3	15	17%	82.3	94.0	-11.7
10	Achilleas K.	18	2	16	11%	71.8	82.8	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	22	12	23	21	78
AEL	13	26	13	19	71

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature