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Afyon Belediye vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 66-86
18-26 15-16 14-26 19-18
Position#16
Record4-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game96.9
vs
Position#10
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Besiktas
05 Mar 2022
ABE66
BES86
27 Dec 2020
ABE73
BES96
26 Oct 2019
ABE73
BES68
09 Mar 2019
ABE79
BES82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
82-124
82
124
-42
56avg 63
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
55-108
55
108
-53
28avg 63
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
64-115
64
115
-51
50avg 63
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
55-145
55
145
-90
43avg 63
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
63-100
63
100
-37
46avg 63
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
85-135
85
135
-50
72avg 63
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
63avg 63
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
76-88
76
88
-12
27avg 63
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 63
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 63
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-26
20-37
20-38
12-29
16-29
15-15
12-35
19-35
16-27
6-31
23-22
15-27
19-54
14-35
7-29
4-23
14-34
11-23
34-20
18-31
23-42
14-36
30-26
12-28
21-29
16-25
24-24
16-27
21-25
15-20
24-16
25-24
24-14
22-22
21-23
21-25
18-23
17-14
17-17
180.1Avg total
71.8Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.596.9168.4-25.319%
Season at home (10)74.097.0171.0-23.030%
Season away (11)69.396.7166.0-27.59%
Last 10 (10)71.8108.3180.1-36.510%
Last 5 (5)79.898.2178.0-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.995.2169.1-21.320%
vs Similar (4)76.293.8170.0-17.50%
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBesiktas
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
63avg 73
A05/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
64avg 73
H12/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
67avg 73
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 73
A19/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 73
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
102avg 73
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 73
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
70avg 73
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
W
86-80 OT
86
80
+6
no box
H19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
11-15
24-17
21-20
20-11
19-23
24-18
19-17
26-13
18-24
11-16
15-19
18-28
17-24
22-20
15-15
16-13
14-26
22-19
16-16
20-23
14-16
21-15
22-28
21-21
28-15
24-18
21-19
31-15
24-20
19-23
20-27
14-17
19-20
21-18
17-21
22-18
15-20
12-13
26-24
155.7Avg total
78.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.175.2151.3+1.052%
Season at home (11)78.574.5153.0+3.964%
Season away (10)73.675.9149.5-2.340%
Last 10 (10)78.777.0155.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.479.2163.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.981.2153.1-9.333%
vs Similar (12)75.276.0151.2-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.370.2151.6+11.189%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.0-11.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -10.9-10.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -10.8-10.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -11.0-11.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -10.9-10.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -10.8-10.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Afyon BelediyeBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
34-81
34
81
-47
A02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
18-57
18
57
-39
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#11
L
41-73
41
73
-32
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
93.1Avg total
35.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.149.087.1-10.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.948.686.5-10.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.349.487.7-11.17%-
Last 10 (10)35.657.593.1-21.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.853.693.4-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.149.086.1-11.924%-
vs Similar (4)41.547.889.2-6.20%-
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/01
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A19/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.6Avg total
38.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.876.2-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.577.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.075.3-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.276.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.078.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.243.478.7-8.222%-
vs Similar (12)37.537.274.7+0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.736.275.9+3.467%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.415.8
41.1%
53.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
36.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
75.6%13.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.3
52.3%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.4
34.4%
36.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
75.6%15.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LWLLLLLLLL
Besiktas
WLWWLLLLWW
#16
League position
#10
-45.3
Net rating
+4.2
89.4
Offensive rating
112.4
134.8
Defensive rating
108.2
44.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
34.4%
50.8%
Assist %
71.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 112.4Defence134.8 · 108.2Shooting44.5% · 52.1%3-point %33.0% · 34.4%Ball care20.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.8% · 36.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Besiktas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
5
Besiktas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22ADarussafaka73-79
05/02/22HMerkezefendi92-83
30/01/22ABuyukcekmece76-88
22/01/22HYalovaspor73-106
16/01/22ATurk Telekom85-135
08/01/22HGaziantep63-100
02/01/22ATofas55-145
29/12/21HDarussafaka64-115
25/12/21HBursaspor55-108
18/12/21AGalatasaray82-124
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22HBursaspor86-80 OT
13/02/22AMerkezefendi71-76
06/02/22HYalovaspor94-85
02/02/22HPetkim Spor94-73
30/01/22AGaziantep77-82
19/01/22AHapoel Holon68-74
16/01/22AAnadolu Efes72-87
12/01/22HHapoel Holon70-72
09/01/22HBahcesehir Kol.82-69
05/01/22AHapoel Holon73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%30%9%
Points / game71.574.069.3
Allowed / game96.997.096.7
Point differential-25.3-23.0-27.5
Avg total168.4171.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Besiktas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game76.178.573.6
Allowed / game75.274.575.9
Point differential+1.0+3.9-2.3
Avg total151.3153.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2117481%83.673.8+9.8
2 Anadolu Efes2016480%90.579.8+10.7
3 Darussafaka2115671%78.572.6+5.9
4 Karsiyaka2014670%81.176.2+5.0
5 Galatasaray2213959%88.982.5+6.4
6 Gaziantep2213959%80.075.2+4.8
7 Bahcesehir Kol.2112957%86.382.0+4.3
8 Tofas2112957%85.982.5+3.4
9 Besiktas21111052%76.175.2+1.0
10 Bursaspor20101050%82.979.0+4.0
11 Turk Telekom21101148%76.873.6+3.1
12 Merkezefendi2061430%75.984.2-8.3
13 Yalovaspor2161529%75.381.2-5.9
14 Buyukcekmece2151624%77.385.9-8.6
15 Afyon Belediye2141719%71.596.9-25.3
16 Petkim Spor2131814%74.484.7-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1815141966
Besiktas2616261886
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