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Afyon Belediye vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 73-96
25-21 17-19 22-23 9-33
Position#9
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#5
Record6-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Besiktas
05 Mar 2022
ABE66
BES86
27 Dec 2020
ABE73
BES96
26 Oct 2019
ABE73
BES68
09 Mar 2019
ABE79
BES82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 76
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 76
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 76
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
82avg 76
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
69avg 76
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
86avg 76
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 76
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 76
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 76
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
101-85
101
85
+16
90avg 76
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-26
17-28
21-24
22-28
11-16
21-18
30-27
21-10
16-16
13-21
26-23
21-19
21-24
25-12
12-19
19-17
17-24
15-28
16-17
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
13-23
20-24
17-26
24-21
33-20
22-25
12-23
30-12
24-21
17-29
45-13
15-22
165.9Avg total
81.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.583.3163.8-2.854%
Season at home (6)81.578.7160.2+2.867%
Season away (7)79.787.3167.0-7.643%
Last 10 (10)81.384.6165.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)86.085.0171.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.783.4158.1-8.614%
vs Similar (11)83.282.2165.4+1.055%
vs Weaker (5)89.879.0168.8+10.880%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBesiktas
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
no box
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 78
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
83-87
83
87
-4
79avg 78
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
72-82
72
82
-10
66avg 78
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
95avg 78
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
94-60
94
60
+34
99avg 78
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
74avg 78
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 78
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-29
20-20
17-15
17-20
17-20
20-21
20-20
15-29
31-8
17-23
20-27
15-15
19-12
19-20
16-22
15-22
23-20
21-26
13-14
21-24
26-22
18-18
29-21
18-19
25-18
25-12
18-33
29-14
30-15
22-14
13-17
27-28
27-14
11-23
21-11
21-17
22-11
22-21
19-28
164.4Avg total
84.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.982.4165.3+0.546%
Season at home (7)84.179.7163.9+4.457%
Season away (6)81.585.5167.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)84.280.2164.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)88.876.0164.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.583.2159.8-6.812%
vs Similar (10)82.777.4160.1+5.380%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.583.8167.2-0.250%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Afyon BelediyeBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.9Avg total
38.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.781.7-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.041.179.1-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.384.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.082.9-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.287.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.443.478.9-8.014%-
vs Similar (11)44.542.887.4+1.755%-
vs Weaker (5)37.240.277.4-3.040%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
43.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.880.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.379.1+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.482.4-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.181.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.236.485.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.941.677.5-5.825%-
vs Similar (10)43.538.281.7+5.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.140.082.1+2.158%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.7
51.0%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.712.6
80.3%
74.6%12.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.2
53.9%
53.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.0
31.0%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.4
74.4%
74.6%15.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
WWLWLLWWLL
Besiktas
WWWWWLWLLL
#9
League position
#5
-5.2
Net rating
+2.2
106.4
Offensive rating
110.8
111.5
Defensive rating
108.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
31.0%
63.9%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 110.8Defence111.5 · 108.6Shooting52.3% · 51.0%3-point %36.4% · 31.0%Ball care20.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 37.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Besiktas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
3
Besiktas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20AOGM Ormanspor101-85
12/12/20HGalatasaray97-80
06/12/20AFenerbahce74-94
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
15/11/20AAnadolu Efes67-86
08/11/20HBuyukcekmece79-74
31/10/20ABahcesehir Kol.76-70
24/10/20HTurk Telekom84-89
17/10/20ADarussafaka77-102
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20HBuyukcekmece84-77
12/12/20ABahcesehir Kol.86-76
05/12/20HTurk Telekom94-60
02/12/20ADarussafaka86-82
22/11/20HTofas94-85
15/11/20APetkim Spor72-82
08/11/20HGaziantep84-81 OT
01/11/20AFethiye Bld.83-87
26/10/20HAnadolu Efes74-81
18/10/20HOGM Ormanspor85-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game80.581.579.7
Allowed / game83.378.787.3
Point differential-2.8+2.8-7.6
Avg total163.8160.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Besiktas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW46%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game82.984.181.5
Allowed / game82.479.785.5
Point differential+0.5+4.4-4.0
Avg total165.3163.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %15%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes12120100%87.371.8+15.5
2 Fenerbahce1411379%87.975.5+12.4
3 Karsiyaka1310377%82.675.2+7.5
4 Turk Telekom138562%84.181.5+2.5
5 Gaziantep137654%74.773.5+1.2
6 Afyon Belediye137654%80.583.3-2.8
7 Darussafaka126650%82.979.5+3.4
8 Besiktas136746%82.982.4+0.5
9 Buyukcekmece136746%81.586.1-4.5
10 Petkim Spor115645%82.079.9+2.1
11 Tofas125742%86.484.6+1.8
12 Bahcesehir Kol.145936%81.081.1-0.1
13 Galatasaray134931%82.087.5-5.5
14 OGM Ormanspor134931%79.489.5-10.1
15 Bursaspor113827%79.787.5-7.8
16 Fethiye Bld.1431121%72.687.9-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye251722973
Besiktas2119233396
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