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Aguada vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-68
18-15 22-22 11-13 13-18
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game70.2
South-America
vs
Bauru 🏆
South-America
Position#1
Record2-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game67.5
South-AmericaSouth American LeagueSouth American League - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H15/10
South American League
Defensor
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Unifacisa
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A29/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
22-17
14-15
17-17
16-22
27-22
25-21
22-17
16-18
28-24
12-22
21-19
15-30
22-22
23-22
24-18
22-16
27-15
15-19
19-12
17-19
21-20
16-16
22-20
17-18
15-18
21-18
15-19
13-21
19-9
25-11
17-26
23-22
15-20
13-22
15-15
21-11
11-24
20-7
21-33
153.6Avg total
77.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.870.2146.0+5.550%
Season at home (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)72.070.3142.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)77.875.8153.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)71.473.8145.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.280.0156.2-3.838%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.179.9155.1-4.835%
vs Weaker (5)86.076.2162.2+9.880%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A26/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H03/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
A19/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H22/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
92-48
92
48
+44
H25/11
NBB
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H29/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
23-15
25-32
14-16
19-24
22-19
23-11
22-12
12-18
23-15
30-26
15-10
25-10
20-24
26-25
11-18
21-19
26-24
18-16
29-17
12-22
11-21
29-18
21-21
15-22
19-10
11-15
20-18
18-28
17-28
17-13
26-19
22-8
28-14
26-12
16-14
17-27
14-24
21-21
10-12
153.0Avg total
78.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.567.5139.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
Season away (2)71.557.5129.0+14.050%
Last 10 (10)78.774.3153.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)74.674.6149.2+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.184.5164.6-4.438%
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.971.2137.1-5.425%
vs Weaker (14)83.270.9154.1+12.486%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
AguadaBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H15/10
South American League
Defensor
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Unifacisa
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A29/11
South American League
79.0Avg total
40.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.177.4-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.939.676.5-2.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.678.1-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.979.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.470.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.041.177.1-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.439.473.8-5.035%-
vs Weaker (5)48.841.089.8+7.880%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H03/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A19/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H22/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H25/11
NBB
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H29/11
South American League
76.5Avg total
37.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.674.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.939.979.8+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)33.635.068.6-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.176.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.241.578.8-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.935.667.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (14)39.636.576.1+3.143%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aguada wins
0
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
27/11/13Bauru v Aguada80-82
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22AUnifacisa73-75
24/11/22AUrupan66-79
21/11/22HUrunday74-67
18/11/22AMalvin68-73
04/11/22HPenarol76-75
01/11/22AOlimpia Kings83-62
28/10/22HLarre Borges84-92
25/10/22AGoes77-83
21/10/22HDefensor90-82
15/10/22HLeones Quilpue87-70
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22HTitanes de Barranquilla62-84
25/11/22HRio Claro92-48
22/11/22HFranca78-88
19/11/22APaulistano68-71 OT
17/11/22ASao Paulo73-82
03/11/22HSao Jose94-76
01/11/22HFlamengo82-77
28/10/22ACerrado80-69
26/10/22ABrasilia86-66
21/10/22HMinas72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
South American League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game75.887.072.0
Allowed / game70.270.070.3
Point differential+5.5+17.0+1.7
Avg total146.0157.0142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
South American League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.571.571.5
Allowed / game67.577.557.5
Point differential+4.0-6.0+14.0
Avg total139.0149.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors440100%75.561.8+13.8
2 Obera TC43175%81.265.2+16.0
3 Titanes de Barranquilla43175%75.561.8+13.8
4 Unifacisa43175%80.068.5+11.5
5 Dep. San Jose32167%96.078.0+18.0
6 Regatas32167%74.783.7-9.0
7 Sao Paulo42250%82.574.2+8.2
8 Aguada42250%75.870.2+5.5
9 Bauru42250%71.567.5+4.0
10 San Martin42250%72.272.0+0.2
11 Punto Rojo31233%68.373.7-5.3
12 Olimpia Kings31233%69.778.7-9.0
13 Sorocabana31233%60.073.3-13.3
14 Leones Quilpue3030%68.082.7-14.7
15 Pichincha Potosi3030%73.391.0-17.7
16 Tigrillos de Antioqui3030%63.7110.0-46.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1822111364
Bauru1522131868
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