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Aguada vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 76-75
17-19 21-20 16-16 22-20
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.8
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2022-23
Meetings · Aguada v Penarol
16 Mar 2023
AGUA69
PENA77
04 Nov 2022
AGUA76
PENA75
20 May 2022
AGUA86
PENA91
30 Oct 2021
AGUA84
PENA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
59-92
59
92
-33
A17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#12
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A13/10
South American League
Boca Juniors
#4
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A15/10
South American League
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H15/10
South American League
Defensor
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
14-24
12-20
22-19
17-21
12-24
25-24
32-22
11-25
15-24
18-19
16-17
28-22
27-16
12-11
17-18
20-26
16-14
9-17
14-12
34-21
22-17
14-15
17-17
16-22
27-22
25-21
22-17
16-18
28-24
12-22
21-19
15-30
22-22
23-22
24-18
22-16
27-15
15-19
19-12
156.2Avg total
76.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.579.8163.2+3.850%
Season at home (2)87.087.0174.0+0.050%
Season away (2)80.072.5152.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)76.979.3156.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)84.277.8162.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.280.0156.2-3.838%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.482.8161.2-4.438%
vs Weaker (9)88.976.1165.0+12.878%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A16/10
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H21/10
Liga A
Urupan
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#20
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A28/10
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A30/10
Liga A
Trouville
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Independiente de Oliva
#14
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A02/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
17-7
13-28
29-14
11-13
13-25
24-31
25-15
17-11
18-15
17-24
27-20
21-21
17-12
24-18
15-19
18-22
20-21
28-14
22-12
26-8
18-21
27-18
11-9
26-19
27-32
24-24
16-20
19-26
6-21
24-17
19-19
25-19
9-19
25-13
19-21
20-25
16-28
22-13
22-17
153.8Avg total
79.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.076.5160.5+7.575%
Season at home (2)83.070.5153.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)85.082.5167.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)79.274.6153.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.277.8158.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.088.8166.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (22)78.075.5153.5+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)81.567.2148.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
AguadaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#12
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A13/10
South American League
Boca Juniors
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/10
South American League
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H15/10
South American League
Defensor
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
83.2Avg total
40.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.578.2-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.177.3-1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.979.1-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.487.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.041.177.1-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.340.876.2-5.546%-
vs Weaker (9)46.036.282.2+9.889%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#10
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/10
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A18/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H21/10
Liga A
Urupan
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#20
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/10
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A30/10
Liga A
Trouville
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Independiente de Oliva
#14
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A02/11
Liga A
73.9Avg total
35.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.975.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.977.2+5.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.837.774.5-0.965%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.073.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.846.283.0-9.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.936.475.3+2.568%-
vs Weaker (4)39.530.570.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aguada wins
3
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
25/05/22Penarol v Aguada85-60
21/05/22Aguada v Penarol86-91
17/05/22Penarol v Aguada92-59
29/01/22Penarol v Aguada83-85
31/10/21Aguada v Penarol84-70
05/04/21Penarol v Aguada90-98
13/11/13Penarol v Aguada72-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/22AOlimpia Kings83-62
28/10/22HLarre Borges84-92
25/10/22AGoes77-83
21/10/22HDefensor90-82
15/10/22HLeones Quilpue87-70
15/10/22ABoca Juniors59-69
13/10/22AOlimpia Kings84-67
25/05/22APenarol60-85
21/05/22HPenarol86-91
17/05/22APenarol59-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22AIndependiente de Oliva80-83
31/10/22HTrouville78-72
30/10/22AInstituto de Cordoba68-83
28/10/22AHebraica y Macabi93-95
28/10/22AAtenas82-56
24/10/22HNacional88-69
21/10/22AUrupan77-70
21/10/22HSan Lorenzo79-70
18/10/22ASan Martin73-84
16/10/22ARegatas74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.587.080.0
Allowed / game79.887.072.5
Point differential+3.8+0.0+7.5
Avg total163.2174.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.083.085.0
Allowed / game76.570.582.5
Point differential+7.5+12.5+2.5
Avg total160.5153.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Goes440100%86.079.8+6.2
2 Penarol43175%84.076.5+7.5
3 Bigua32167%81.378.7+2.7
4 Trouville53260%84.884.2+0.6
5 Malvin53260%82.682.2+0.4
6 Nacional53260%73.874.8-1.0
7 Aguada42250%83.579.8+3.8
8 Larre Borges42250%80.581.2-0.8
9 Urunday31233%87.385.3+2.0
10 Hebraica y Macabi41325%75.078.8-3.8
11 Urupan41325%76.080.2-4.2
12 Olimpia Kings41325%67.575.0-7.5
13 Defensor3030%81.788.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1721162276
Penarol1920162075
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