PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aguada vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-88
13-26 19-23 24-19 27-20
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game69.6
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game68.4
South-AmericaSouth American League
Other2013-14
Meetings · Aguada v Brasilia
29 Nov 2013
AGUA81
BRAS93
14 Nov 2013
AGUA83
BRAS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A22/10
South American League
El Bosque
#15
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A23/10
South American League
Guacharos
#9
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
A25/10
South American League
Tabare
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Montevideo BBS
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H12/11
South American League
Penarol
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A13/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
9-12
17-30
31-7
15-20
8-11
18-20
19-14
21-12
12-23
14-11
28-8
20-25
21-15
10-18
16-9
17-18
19-18
17-18
21-22
28-13
21-17
20-20
18-25
14-23
25-21
22-22
21-15
13-19
16-19
23-16
11-24
23-17
13-14
24-16
24-22
21-10
15-31
25-19
20-12
149.5Avg total
77.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.869.6147.4+8.280%
Season at home (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)76.269.8146.0+6.575%
Last 10 (10)77.671.9149.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)79.475.0154.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.083.0159.0-7.050%
vs Similar (22)80.375.4155.7+4.977%
vs Weaker (6)78.772.3151.0+6.367%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#7
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H01/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H04/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A06/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H09/05
NBB
Atletico Nacional
#16
W
146-62
146
62
+84
H01/10
South American League
Comunikt
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A02/10
South American League
Boca Juniors
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H03/10
South American League
Flamengo
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A09/11
NBB
Penarol
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H12/11
South American League
Argentino
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A13/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
28-18
24-25
23-24
30-21
16-20
27-18
18-17
14-30
16-15
17-21
23-18
17-18
17-18
27-33
20-29
39-20
44-16
29-12
34-14
30-7
20-10
17-30
28-32
18-19
20-13
15-18
16-11
12-16
16-22
19-19
35-27
24-13
21-18
24-13
19-17
19-20
15-15
15-21
19-23
165.3Avg total
89.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.268.4161.6+24.880%
Season at home (3)101.061.3162.3+39.7100%
Season away (2)81.579.0160.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)89.076.3165.3+12.760%
Last 5 (5)80.472.8153.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.070.0152.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (5)89.476.0165.4+13.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.279.5169.7+10.871%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
AguadaBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#4
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A22/10
South American League
El Bosque
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/10
South American League
Guacharos
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A25/10
South American League
Tabare
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Montevideo BBS
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Argentino
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H12/11
South American League
Penarol
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/11
South American League
70.5Avg total
35.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.472.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.235.874.0+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)35.036.971.9-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.070.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.874.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.039.074.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (22)35.436.271.6-0.845%-
vs Weaker (6)40.336.576.8+3.833%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#7
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H01/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H04/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A06/05
NBB
Sao Jose
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/05
NBB
Atletico Nacional
#16
W
83-36
83
36
+47
H01/10
South American League
Comunikt
#10
W
50-17
50
17
+33
A02/10
South American League
Boca Juniors
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/10
South American League
Flamengo
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/11
NBB
Penarol
#7
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/11
South American League
Argentino
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/11
South American League
78.2Avg total
44.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.836.079.8+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.434.781.1+11.794%-
Last 30 away (14)40.937.478.4+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.134.178.2+10.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.669.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.031.068.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)40.433.473.8+7.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.836.781.5+8.171%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aguada wins
0
Brasilia wins
No previous meetings.
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/13APenarol81-72
12/11/13HArgentino84-69
08/11/13HMalvin63-78
05/11/13AUnion Atletica82-81
02/11/13AMontevideo BBS87-75
29/10/13ATabare74-76
25/10/13AGuacharos89-88 OT
23/10/13AEl Bosque75-54
22/10/13AArgentino60-65
16/10/13HNacional81-61
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/13AArgentino68-79
12/11/13HPenarol88-61
09/11/13AFlamengo82-84
03/10/13HBoca Juniors69-61
02/10/13AComunikt95-79
01/10/13HAtletico Nacional146-62
09/05/13HSao Jose81-98
06/05/13ASao Jose70-84
04/05/13HSao Jose91-76
01/05/13HSao Jose100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
South American League 2013-14
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%100%75%
Points / game77.884.076.2
Allowed / game69.669.069.8
Point differential+8.2+15.0+6.5
Avg total147.4153.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%25%
Brasilia
South American League 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game93.2101.081.5
Allowed / game68.461.379.0
Point differential+24.8+39.7+2.5
Avg total161.6162.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bauru550100%84.674.6+10.0
2 Brasilia54180%93.268.4+24.8
3 Aguada54180%77.869.6+8.2
4 Caquetios32167%102.793.7+9.0
5 Argentino64267%67.865.3+2.5
6 Boca Juniors53260%82.665.2+17.4
7 Sao Jose53260%80.277.8+2.4
8 Penarol63350%80.080.0+0.0
9 Guacharos31233%74.060.0+14.0
10 Comunikt31233%99.389.0+10.3
11 Defensor31233%83.788.7-5.0
12 Bucaros31233%78.789.7-11.0
13 Alvarado3030%83.393.0-9.7
14 Udeconce3030%81.399.7-18.3
15 El Bosque3030%49.378.7-29.3
16 Atletico Nacional3030%69.0138.7-69.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1319242783
Brasilia2623192088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.