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Aguada vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 104-103
27-24 21-19 26-31 30-29
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game76.0
Aguada 🏆
South-America
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
South-AmericaSouth American League
Other2017-18
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/10
South American League
Bigua
#9
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Quilmes
#6
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A14/11
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H15/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-14
19-16
25-20
27-12
11-9
19-9
18-25
19-16
14-19
15-23
27-28
20-32
14-20
22-18
24-26
18-25
16-26
24-21
28-11
11-23
16-22
18-13
17-11
15-29
20-11
18-20
24-15
21-18
20-19
26-17
19-24
12-24
14-13
14-20
17-19
11-18
24-20
15-17
17-25
151.8Avg total
74.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.676.0153.6+1.640%
Season at home (3)85.773.0158.7+12.767%
Season away (2)65.580.5146.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)74.377.5151.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)69.875.6145.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.079.5148.5-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.781.9162.6-1.257%
vs Weaker (5)82.664.0146.6+18.680%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#14
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H04/10
South American League
San Martin
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A05/10
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H06/10
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A14/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H15/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-14
17-23
25-15
22-21
22-24
20-13
17-18
17-23
12-19
29-11
12-27
14-16
22-30
18-16
27-21
22-23
19-21
29-17
23-27
160.4Avg total
80.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.679.8160.4+0.860%
Season at home (3)80.380.0160.3+0.367%
Season away (2)81.079.5160.5+1.550%
Last 10 (5)80.679.8160.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.679.8160.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.7165.0-2.333%
vs Similar ◀ (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
AguadaCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/10
South American League
Bigua
#9
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Quilmes
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A14/11
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
South American League
73.4Avg total
33.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.975.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.734.673.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.241.277.4-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.773.4-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.472.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.240.270.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.639.878.3-1.252%-
vs Weaker (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H04/10
South American League
San Martin
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/10
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/10
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/11
South American League
79.4Avg total
37.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.340.075.3-4.733%-
Last 30 away (2)40.045.585.5-5.50%-
Last 10 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.344.079.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)44.045.089.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (1)36.034.070.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aguada wins
0
Cimarrones del Choco wins
No previous meetings.
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/17HGuaros de Lara67-80
14/11/17AQuilmes57-76
10/11/17HNacional86-78
07/11/17HBohemios77-75
03/11/17AMalvin62-69
01/11/17AHebraica y Macabi86-83
28/10/17AWelcome80-96
24/10/17ADefensor75-86
20/10/17HBigua75-55
14/10/17HPinheiros78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/17HQuilmes93-88
14/11/17AGuaros de Lara81-83
06/10/17HFlamengo70-80
05/10/17ASan Martin81-76
04/10/17HHebraica y Macabi78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.685.765.5
Allowed / game76.073.080.5
Point differential+1.6+12.7-15.0
Avg total153.6158.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game80.680.381.0
Allowed / game79.880.079.5
Point differential+0.8+0.3+1.5
Avg total160.4160.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guaros de Lara550100%81.670.4+11.2
2 Pinheiros64267%86.073.7+12.3
3 Flamengo64267%81.072.5+8.5
4 Olimpia Kings64267%80.076.5+3.5
5 Estudiantes64267%72.771.2+1.5
6 Regatas Lima32167%73.773.0+0.7
7 Quilmes53260%85.277.0+8.2
8 Cimarrones del Choco53260%80.679.8+0.8
9 Aguada52340%77.676.0+1.6
10 San Martin31233%75.073.3+1.7
11 Deportivo Calero31233%81.783.7-2.0
12 Universo/Vitoria31233%68.379.0-10.7
13 Malvin3030%64.772.3-7.7
14 Hebraica y Macabi3030%64.081.0-17.0
15 Hr Portoviejo3030%75.794.7-19.0
16 CDSC Osorno3030%71.0105.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada27212630104
Cimarrones del Choco24193129103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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