Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2017

Tip-off: 00:15

Final 96-80

32-20 20-14 18-22 26-24

Position#4

Record4-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game76.7

Welcome 🏆

Aguada

Position#1

Record3-2

FormWLWWL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game66.8

Liga UruguayaRound 8

Other2017-18

Meetings · Welcome v Aguada

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aguada winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Welcome

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sayago

#13

87-79

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

89-80

H24/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

56-86

-30

A08/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

76-77

-1

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Bohemios

#13

75-82

-7

H28/09

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

81-74

H06/10

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#10

78-68

+10

A09/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

98-78

+20

H16/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

74-80

-6

A19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

99-78

+21

H25/10

Liga Uruguaya

19-16

22-19

15-17

31-27

21-23

21-10

21-25

26-22

9-14

12-25

21-30

14-17

14-23

20-14

21-25

21-15

22-19

21-17

17-24

15-22

17-15

22-18

21-22

21-19

18-21

19-11

25-16

16-20

25-19

24-25

23-17

26-17

21-16

26-19

18-23

9-22

23-27

25-19

33-13

18-19

159.5Avg total

81.3Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.2	76.7	160.8	+7.5	67%
Season at home (4)	88.2	78.0	166.2	+10.2	75%
Season away (2)	76.0	74.0	150.0	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	78.2	159.5	+3.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	75.6	161.6	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	55.6	73.6	129.2	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.4	78.6	162.0	+4.7	86%
vs Weaker (8)	84.4	78.5	162.9	+5.9	75%

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

92-91 OT

H30/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

56-82

-26

A03/06

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

86-61

+25

H29/09

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

63-67

-4

A02/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

70-65

H06/10

Liga Uruguaya

CDSC Osorno

#16

112-62

112

+50

H12/10

South American League

Quilmes

74-85

-11

A13/10

South American League

Pinheiros

78-77

H14/10

South American League

Bigua

75-55

+20

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

75-86

-11

A24/10

Liga Uruguaya

21-26

13-6

24-26

24-24

27-27

5-16

15-21

9-18

20-24

15-4

25-17

26-16

18-15

12-14

13-14

20-24

12-16

24-16

16-13

18-20

31-9

24-14

27-24

30-15

10-24

16-21

25-21

23-19

14-27

20-14

19-16

25-20

27-12

11-9

19-9

18-25

19-16

14-19

15-23

27-28

151.2Avg total

78.1Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	73.8	66.8	140.6	+7.0	60%
Season at home (3)	77.0	60.3	137.3	+16.7	100%
Season away (2)	69.0	76.5	145.5	-7.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	73.1	151.2	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	73.0	155.8	+9.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.2	83.3	165.5	-1.1	57%
vs Weaker (5)	84.0	65.2	149.2	+18.8	80%

This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WelcomeAguada

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	13.7	22.0	35.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	25.5	37.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	16.6	39.0	+5.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	16.6	33.0	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	15.7	34.6	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	13.3	28.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.4	32.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.4	18.8	38.3	+0.6	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	12.0	28.8	+4.8	80%	-

WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sayago

#13

41-35

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

42-33

H24/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

21-39

-18

A08/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

34-37

-3

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Bohemios

#13

43-36

H28/09

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

39-33

H06/10

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#10

37-32

A09/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

49-44

H16/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

47-35

+12

A19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

48-46

H25/10

Liga Uruguaya

77.1Avg total

40.1Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	38.6	76.3	-0.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	39.6	76.0	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	30.1	38.6	68.7	-8.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.1	37.9	77.0	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.1	39.6	81.8	+2.5	75%	-

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

34-32

H30/05

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

32-43

-11

A03/06

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

35-28

H29/09

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

30-29

A02/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

36-32

H06/10

Liga Uruguaya

CDSC Osorno

#16

55-23

+32

H12/10

South American League

Quilmes

26-45

-19

A13/10

South American League

Pinheiros

34-41

-7

H14/10

South American League

Bigua

38-21

+17

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

33-35

-2

A24/10

Liga Uruguaya

68.2Avg total

35.3Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.3	76.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	34.9	74.6	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	32.9	68.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	33.0	70.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.2	28.6	67.8	+10.6	80%	-

This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	24.3	42.0	-6.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.5	17.1	40.6	+6.4	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	18.4	34.1	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.8	21.8	40.5	-3.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.4	46.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	19.5	43.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.6	22.7	43.2	-2.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	40.7	81.8	+0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	41.0	84.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	40.4	79.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.2	82.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	37.6	79.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.4	42.7	76.1	-9.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	44.3	40.7	85.0	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.2	38.9	81.1	+3.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.2	84.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	42.9	84.6	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.3	81.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.0	85.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.0	38.0	84.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	41.3	43.8	85.1	-2.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.8	36.6	81.4	+8.2	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Welcome wins

Aguada wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/16	Welcome v Aguada	0-20
16/02/16	Aguada v Welcome	68-72
13/02/16	Aguada v Welcome	57-77
11/02/16	Welcome v Aguada	86-89
15/11/15	Aguada v Welcome	63-71
07/11/12	Welcome v Aguada	63-72
19/09/12	Aguada v Welcome	67-76
17/12/11	Welcome v Aguada	76-66
12/10/11	Aguada v Welcome	68-64

Welcomelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/17	H	Goes	99-78
19/10/17	A	Larre Borges	74-80
16/10/17	H	Urunday	98-78
09/10/17	A	Olimpia Kings	78-68
06/10/17	H	Nacional	81-74
28/09/17	H	Bohemios	75-82
10/03/17	H	Defensor	76-77
08/03/17	A	Defensor	56-86
24/02/17	H	Olimpia Kings	89-80
20/02/17	H	Sayago	87-79

Aguadalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/17	A	Defensor	75-86
20/10/17	H	Bigua	75-55
14/10/17	H	Pinheiros	78-77
13/10/17	A	Quilmes	74-85
12/10/17	H	CDSC Osorno	112-62
06/10/17	H	Goes	70-65
02/10/17	A	Larre Borges	63-67
29/09/17	H	Urunday	86-61
03/06/17	A	Hebraica y Macabi	56-82
30/05/17	H	Hebraica y Macabi	92-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome

Liga Uruguaya 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	67%	75%	50%
Points / game	84.2	88.2	76.0
Allowed / game	76.7	78.0	74.0
Point differential	+7.5	+10.2	+2.0
Avg total	160.8	166.2	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aguada

Liga Uruguaya 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	60%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	100%	0%
Points / game	73.8	77.0	69.0
Allowed / game	66.8	60.3	76.5
Point differential	+7.0	+16.7	-7.5
Avg total	140.6	137.3	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Defensor	7	6	1	86%	88.0	80.1	+7.9
2	Welcome	6	4	2	67%	84.2	76.7	+7.5
3	Hebraica y Macabi	6	4	2	67%	77.3	73.5	+3.8
4	Aguada	5	3	2	60%	73.8	66.8	+7.0
5	Malvin	5	3	2	60%	71.8	69.6	+2.2
6	Nacional	7	4	3	57%	74.3	70.1	+4.1
7	Bigua	7	4	3	57%	73.1	76.3	-3.1
8	Trouville	4	2	2	50%	76.5	74.5	+2.0
9	Larre Borges	8	4	4	50%	75.9	75.9	+0.0
10	Olimpia Kings	8	3	5	38%	72.4	72.0	+0.4
11	Urunday	8	3	5	38%	74.1	83.8	-9.6
12	Bohemios	6	1	5	17%	69.8	78.0	-8.2
13	Goes	7	1	6	14%	73.3	82.0	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Welcome	32	20	18	26	96
Aguada	20	14	22	24	80

← all games of the day

Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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