Aguada vs Larre Borges Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 81-79

21-16 17-14 20-27 23-22

Position#1

Record19-9

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game76.2

Aguada 🏆

Larre Borges

Position#9

Record17-15

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game79.2

Liga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Aguada v Larre Borges

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Larre Borges winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aguada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Correcaminos de Colon

#13

96-92

A23/01

Americas League

Bigua

89-104

104

-15

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

94-72

+22

H30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

68-85

-17

A02/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

96-89

A07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#12

84-81

A10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

77-70

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

83-87

-4

A17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

91-103

103

-12

H21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

95-88

A23/02

Liga Uruguaya

22-26

26-15

21-22

27-29

25-28

23-16

24-26

17-34

24-28

21-17

18-20

31-7

25-21

12-21

18-25

13-18

12-16

17-18

41-22

26-33

16-23

22-19

20-17

26-22

18-19

21-18

18-23

20-10

29-24

20-16

13-25

21-22

22-21

25-27

18-22

26-33

28-19

21-20

23-19

23-30

174.4Avg total

87.3Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.4	76.2	156.6	+4.1	68%
Season at home (14)	86.0	78.7	164.7	+7.3	79%
Season away (14)	74.8	73.8	148.6	+1.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	87.1	174.4	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	85.8	171.8	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	84.2	84.1	168.3	+0.0	52%
vs Weaker (9)	78.1	67.0	145.1	+11.1	100%

This opponent (Larre Borges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Larre Borges Uruguay

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

72-94

-22

A30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

80-72

A09/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

77-73

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

93-100

100

-7

A17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

72-83

-11

A21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

88-95

-7

H23/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

87-88

-1

H14/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

78-96

-18

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

85-56

+29

A21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

67-60

H24/03

Liga Uruguaya

28-24

17-21

20-18

7-31

19-21

19-11

23-14

19-26

12-16

10-24

29-20

26-13

17-26

28-16

15-25

33-33

20-19

22-24

20-18

10-22

19-28

20-21

19-23

30-23

17-14

12-24

34-23

24-27

24-22

7-23

24-27

23-24

14-19

26-14

17-10

28-13

20-11

5-17

17-19

25-13

161.6Avg total

79.9Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	80.5	79.2	159.8	+1.3	53%
Season at home (16)	78.7	77.6	156.2	+1.1	56%
Season away (16)	82.4	80.9	163.3	+1.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	81.7	161.6	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	79.0	160.0	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.3	78.0	154.3	-1.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	80.3	81.9	162.2	-1.6	48%
vs Weaker (6)	87.5	74.2	161.7	+13.3	83%

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AguadaLarre Borges

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.3	19.6	41.0	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.1	38.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.9	15.8	34.6	+3.1	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.1	17.7	32.9	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.5	36.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.8	33.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	22.3	37.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-

AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Correcaminos de Colon

#13

48-41

A23/01

Americas League

Bigua

48-44

H27/01

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

45-45

H30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

37-42

-5

A02/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

29-34

-5

A07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

#12

38-42

-4

A10/02

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

39-37

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

49-40

A17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

47-48

-1

H21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

49-39

+10

A23/02

Liga Uruguaya

84.1Avg total

42.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	38.1	77.6	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.2	79.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	38.1	75.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.2	84.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	41.2	85.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.7	39.2	79.0	+0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.6	35.2	73.9	+3.4	62%	-

This opponent (Larre Borges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

45-45

A30/01

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

38-32

A09/02

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

22-40

-18

H14/02

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

45-42

A17/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

42-43

-1

A21/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

39-49

-10

H23/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

29-38

-9

H14/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

31-45

-14

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

40-33

A21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#11

25-28

-3

H24/03

Liga Uruguaya

75.1Avg total

35.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	38.6	75.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.2	36.9	70.1	-3.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	40.0	79.3	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.5	75.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	38.6	71.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.3	44.3	75.7	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.3	34.2	73.5	+5.2	50%	-

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.4	41.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	18.4	40.1	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	20.0	44.3	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.7	18.9	39.5	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.2	21.2	44.3	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.0	22.3	44.2	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	19.9	44.4	+4.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	19.6	43.4	+4.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	13.7	34.3	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.0	22.9	45.0	-0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.5	43.2	87.7	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	41.7	86.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	44.8	88.7	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	45.9	90.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.6	86.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.6	44.4	88.0	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.8	40.1	86.9	+6.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	40.6	84.6	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	40.9	84.0	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	42.2	86.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.4	88.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.0	33.7	78.7	+11.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	42.7	41.8	84.5	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.2	40.0	88.2	+8.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aguada wins

Larre Borges wins

Date	Game	Score
23/02/17	Larre Borges v Aguada	88-95
30/01/17	Aguada v Larre Borges	94-72
24/11/16	Larre Borges v Aguada	79-71
07/11/15	Aguada v Larre Borges	94-90
09/10/14	Aguada v Larre Borges	82-78
17/11/12	Aguada v Larre Borges	97-82
25/09/12	Larre Borges v Aguada	83-88
21/12/11	Aguada v Larre Borges	83-79
20/10/11	Larre Borges v Aguada	95-90

Aguadalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/17	A	Larre Borges	95-88
21/02/17	H	Defensor	91-103
17/02/17	A	Hebraica y Macabi	83-87
14/02/17	H	Malvin	77-70
10/02/17	A	Trouville	84-81
07/02/17	A	Defensor	96-89
02/02/17	A	Urunday	68-85
30/01/17	H	Larre Borges	94-72
27/01/17	H	Bigua	89-104
23/01/17	A	Correcaminos de Colon	96-92

Larre Borgeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/17	H	Olimpia Kings	67-60
21/03/17	A	Olimpia Kings	85-56
17/03/17	A	Olimpia Kings	78-96
14/03/17	H	Olimpia Kings	87-88
23/02/17	H	Aguada	88-95
21/02/17	A	Urunday	72-83
17/02/17	A	Defensor	93-100
14/02/17	H	Hebraica y Macabi	77-73
09/02/17	A	Malvin	80-72
30/01/17	A	Aguada	72-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada

Liga Uruguaya 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	68%
Home	LLWWL	79%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	79%	57%
Points / game	80.4	86.0	74.8
Allowed / game	76.2	78.7	73.8
Point differential	+4.1	+7.3	+1.0
Avg total	156.6	164.7	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	64%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Larre Borges

Liga Uruguaya 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	53%
Home	WWLLW	56%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	53%	56%	50%
Points / game	80.5	78.7	82.4
Allowed / game	79.2	77.6	80.9
Point differential	+1.3	+1.1	+1.4
Avg total	159.8	156.2	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	19%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	60% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Aguada	28	19	9	68%	80.4	76.2	+4.1
2	Hebraica y Macabi	29	19	10	66%	83.9	77.8	+6.2
3	Urunday	29	19	10	66%	80.3	77.1	+3.1
4	Goes	33	21	12	64%	80.4	74.2	+6.2
5	Malvin	29	18	11	62%	79.7	76.4	+3.2
6	Welcome	31	18	13	58%	73.7	76.9	-3.2
7	Larre Borges	32	17	15	53%	80.5	79.2	+1.3
8	Bigua	29	15	14	52%	78.7	76.0	+2.7
9	Defensor	31	16	15	52%	81.7	79.5	+2.3
10	Union Atletica	29	13	16	45%	76.3	81.2	-4.8
11	Olimpia Kings	33	14	19	42%	76.9	79.3	-2.4
12	Trouville	33	12	21	36%	76.3	80.1	-3.8
13	Sayago	28	8	20	29%	77.9	82.5	-4.5
14	Cordon	28	2	26	7%	73.2	84.1	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aguada	21	17	20	23	81
Larre Borges	16	14	27	22	79

← all games of the day

Aguada vs Larre Borges Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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