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Air Force vs Montana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 59-56
24-23 35-33
Position#251
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#159
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#130
L
40-65
40
65
-25
H23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A26/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
69-73 OT
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-23
25-42
30-24
35-45
26-26
32-28
27-38
29-45
29-35
29-27
37-27
38-44
28-31
33-30
29-32
22-32
45-26
38-30
30-19
34-32
126.7Avg total
61.9Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.762.8129.5+3.850%
Season at home (5)68.463.0131.4+5.460%
Season away (1)58.062.0120.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)61.964.8126.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)68.463.0131.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)57.470.2127.6-12.815%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.760.7125.3+4.067%
vs Weaker (1)64.051.0115.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#32
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A10/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A09/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H20/11
NCAA
Montana State-Northern
#382
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-33
36-41
27-34
39-41
28-29
43-43
25-30
31-38
19-45
44-46
37-49
27-37
43-28
35-31
25-25
37-26
32-26
30-47
33-20
30-31
136.5Avg total
66.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.368.5133.8-3.250%
Season at home (4)66.258.5124.8+7.875%
Season away (2)63.588.5152.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)66.570.0136.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)65.864.0129.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.079.5142.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.971.7142.6-0.853%
vs Weaker (9)75.363.7139.0+11.756%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -2.9-2.9
Air ForceMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#130
L
15-23
15
23
-8
H23/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A26/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H02/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H23/11
NCAA
57.7Avg total
29.6Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.429.958.4-1.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.228.258.4+2.035%-
Last 30 away (13)26.232.258.4-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)29.628.157.7+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.827.060.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)26.531.257.8-4.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.628.260.8+4.344%-
vs Weaker (1)30.019.049.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#32
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Montana State-Northern
#382
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H23/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
31.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.266.5+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.928.365.2+8.671%-
Last 30 away (13)33.334.968.2-1.646%-
Last 10 (10)31.331.963.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.663.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.572.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.432.766.1+0.753%-
vs Weaker (9)36.928.965.8+8.067%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
1
Montana wins
DateGameScore
09/12/21Montana v Air Force66-48
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HMiss. Valley St.64-51
22/11/22HUSC Upstate83-56
18/11/22HPortland51-64
15/11/22HTX A&M Commerce69-73 OT
11/11/22HDelaware75-71
08/11/22ABowling Green58-62
09/03/22AUtah State56-83
02/03/22HSan Jose State58-54
26/02/22ANew Mexico65-69
23/02/22HFresno State40-65
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HMontana State-Northern63-51
20/11/22HTroy62-73
19/11/22HMerrimack Warriors62-51
18/11/22HSt. Thomas (Minn.)78-59
12/11/22AXavier64-86
09/11/22ADuquesne63-91
10/03/22AWeber State56-68
06/03/22HSacramento State71-72
04/03/22HNorthern Colorado66-75
27/02/22HMontana State80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%60%0%
Points / game66.768.458.0
Allowed / game62.863.062.0
Point differential+3.8+5.4-4.0
Avg total129.5131.4120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
Montana
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game65.366.263.5
Allowed / game68.558.588.5
Point differential-3.2+7.8-25.0
Avg total133.8124.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UNLV770100%77.957.7+20.1
2 New Mexico550100%81.666.8+14.8
3 Utah State550100%88.273.6+14.6
4 Nevada76186%75.362.0+13.3
5 San Jose State86275%72.566.0+6.5
6 Colorado State75271%73.660.6+13.0
7 Grand Canyon64267%66.755.5+11.2
8 Boise State64267%67.359.2+8.2
9 San Diego State64267%78.072.7+5.3
10 Wyoming63350%72.567.3+5.2
11 Air Force63350%66.762.8+3.8
12 Fresno State61517%58.562.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana63350%65.368.5-3.2
2 Sacramento State73443%66.470.0-3.6
3 Northern Colorado73443%68.979.6-10.7
4 Montana State83538%69.069.0+0.0
5 Portland State62433%83.879.7+4.2
6 East. Washington62433%63.369.2-5.8
7 Weber State62433%65.773.2-7.5
8 Idaho72529%75.170.1+5.0
9 Northern Arizona72529%69.671.0-1.4
10 Idaho State61517%70.366.8+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force243559
Montana233356
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