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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 40-65
15-23 25-42
Position#276
Record10-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.7
Allowed / game65.8
Air Force
USA
vs
Fresno State 🏆
USA
Position#130
Record16-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game58.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#154
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
46-73
46
73
-27
A02/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H06/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
44-78
44
78
-34
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H17/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
36-37
17-31
36-42
31-28
32-25
30-33
31-30
23-36
23-37
30-43
47-48
25-39
19-39
33-37
31-39
31-45
28-40
26-30
41-45
133.2Avg total
60.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)59.765.8125.5-6.040%
Season at home (12)64.264.8128.9-0.658%
Season away (13)55.666.7122.3-11.123%
Last 10 (10)60.372.9133.2-12.620%
Last 5 (5)62.281.0143.2-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)56.769.0125.7-12.222%
vs Similar (7)65.758.9124.6+6.986%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#170
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
H29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
73-43
73
43
+30
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-31
40-23
37-36
36-41
41-26
24-34
25-29
28-24
32-23
41-20
33-24
40-32
24-28
35-33
28-25
22-40
31-33
26-27
20-30
24-31
122.3Avg total
61.8Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)65.058.1123.1+6.962%
Season at home (16)66.456.2122.6+10.275%
Season away (10)62.861.2124.0+1.640%
Last 10 (10)61.860.5122.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)56.660.6117.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.064.3124.3-4.333%
vs Similar (12)59.760.2119.9-0.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)70.457.9128.3+12.479%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#154
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A09/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H17/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A19/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
27.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.530.658.1-3.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.428.958.3+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)25.832.157.9-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)27.934.762.6-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)29.038.867.8-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)26.331.457.8-5.113%-
vs Similar (7)31.127.959.0+3.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#170
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H20/02
NCAA
57.7Avg total
29.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.826.558.3+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.026.358.3+5.767%-
Last 30 away (12)31.526.858.3+4.775%-
Last 10 (10)29.228.557.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)27.228.055.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.026.356.3+3.767%-
vs Similar (12)27.926.854.8+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)34.826.861.6+8.086%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
4
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21Air Force v Fresno State64-67
12/02/21Air Force v Fresno State63-69
04/03/20Fresno State v Air Force70-77
20/02/20Fresno State v Air Force71-62
29/01/20Air Force v Fresno State68-79
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/22AWyoming67-75
17/02/22HBoise State59-85
13/02/22ASan Diego State64-76
09/02/22AUNLV44-78
06/02/22HNew Mexico77-91
02/02/22AUtah State46-73
28/01/22HWyoming61-63
26/01/22ASan Jose State63-53
22/01/22HColorado State53-73
21/01/22HUNLV69-62
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/22HSan Diego State44-61
17/02/22HUNLV57-60
12/02/22AColorado State50-65
07/02/22HWyoming59-61
05/02/22HNevada73-56
02/02/22ASan Jose State73-43
29/01/22HBoise State63-68 OT
26/01/22ANew Mexico65-60
22/01/22ANevada73-77
19/01/22HUtah State61-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL58%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game59.764.255.6
Allowed / game65.864.866.7
Point differential-6.0-0.6-11.1
Avg total125.5128.9122.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeLWLLL75%
AwayWLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game65.066.462.8
Allowed / game58.156.261.2
Point differential+6.9+10.2+1.6
Avg total123.1122.6124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming2622485%75.765.9+9.8
2 Colorado State2521484%76.167.2+8.9
3 Boise State2721678%68.959.7+9.1
4 San Diego State2317674%65.457.1+8.3
5 Grand Canyon2518772%70.961.7+9.2
6 Fresno State26161062%65.058.1+6.9
7 UNLV27161159%70.865.4+5.3
8 Utah State28151354%74.368.1+6.2
9 Nevada25121348%73.674.1-0.5
10 New Mexico27111641%75.475.9-0.5
11 Air Force25101540%59.765.8-6.0
12 San Jose State2781930%65.572.7-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force152540
Fresno State234265
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