Air Force vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 69-73 (OT)

28-31 33-30 8-12

Position#251

Record1-1

FormLWLLW

Points / game66.5

Allowed / game66.5

Air Force

TX A&M Commerce 🏆

Position#277

Record0-2

FormWLL

Points / game68.5

Allowed / game78.5

NCAA

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

TX A&M Commerce winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air Force

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UNLV

#154

44-78

-34

A09/02

NCAA

San Diego State

#52

64-76

-12

A13/02

NCAA

Boise State

#31

59-85

-26

H17/02

NCAA

Wyoming

#45

67-75

-8

A19/02

NCAA

Fresno State

#130

40-65

-25

H23/02

NCAA

New Mexico

#264

65-69

-4

A26/02

NCAA

San Jose State

#333

58-54

H02/03

NCAA

Utah State

#170

56-83

-27

A09/03

NCAA

Bowling Green

#296

58-62

-4

A08/11

NCAA

Delaware

#201

75-71

H11/11

NCAA

25-39

19-39

33-37

31-39

31-45

28-40

26-30

41-45

15-23

25-42

30-24

35-45

26-26

32-28

27-38

29-45

29-35

29-27

37-27

38-44

130.4Avg total

58.6Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	66.5	66.5	133.0	+0.0	50%
Season at home (1)	75.0	71.0	146.0	+4.0	100%
Season away (1)	58.0	62.0	120.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	58.6	71.8	130.4	-13.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	67.8	130.2	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	57.6	69.0	126.6	-11.4	23%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	65.5	58.9	124.4	+6.6	88%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TX A&M Commerce USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTSA Roadrunners

#312

65-62

A16/11

NCAA

SMU Mustangs

#327

60-77

-17

A08/11

NCAA

Northern Colorado

#288

77-80

-3

A12/11

NCAA

29-31

36-31

27-31

33-46

28-46

49-34

140.3Avg total

67.3Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	68.5	78.5	147.0	-10.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	68.5	78.5	147.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (3)	67.3	73.0	140.3	-5.7	33%
Last 5 (3)	67.3	73.0	140.3	-5.7	33%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	68.5	78.5	147.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Air ForceTX A&M Commerce

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UNLV

#154

25-39

-14

A09/02

NCAA

San Diego State

#52

33-37

-4

A13/02

NCAA

Boise State

#31

31-45

-14

H17/02

NCAA

Wyoming

#45

26-30

-4

A19/02

NCAA

Fresno State

#130

15-23

-8

H23/02

NCAA

New Mexico

#264

30-24

A26/02

NCAA

San Jose State

#333

26-26

H02/03

NCAA

Utah State

#170

27-38

-11

A09/03

NCAA

Bowling Green

#296

29-35

-6

A08/11

NCAA

Delaware

#201

37-27

+10

H11/11

NCAA

60.3Avg total

27.9Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	30.4	58.6	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.0	28.5	57.5	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.3	32.3	59.6	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	32.4	60.3	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	30.0	59.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	26.7	31.0	57.8	-4.3	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	32.0	28.8	60.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

UTSA Roadrunners

#312

29-31

-2

A16/11

NCAA

SMU Mustangs

#327

27-31

-4

A08/11

NCAA

Northern Colorado

#288

28-46

-18

A12/11

NCAA

64.0Avg total

28.0Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	28.0	36.0	64.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (3)	28.0	36.0	64.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	28.0	36.0	64.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	28.0	36.0	64.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	27.5	38.5	66.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.6	35.9	67.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	35.9	69.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.3	35.8	65.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.7	39.4	70.1	-8.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	37.8	70.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	30.9	38.0	68.9	-7.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	33.5	30.1	63.6	+3.4	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home	no games
Last 30 away (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Air Force wins

TX A&M Commerce wins

No previous meetings.

Air Forcelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/22	H	Delaware	75-71
08/11/22	A	Bowling Green	58-62
09/03/22	A	Utah State	56-83
02/03/22	H	San Jose State	58-54
26/02/22	A	New Mexico	65-69
23/02/22	H	Fresno State	40-65
19/02/22	A	Wyoming	67-75
17/02/22	H	Boise State	59-85
13/02/22	A	San Diego State	64-76
09/02/22	A	UNLV	44-78

TX A&M Commercelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/22	A	Northern Colorado	77-80
08/11/22	A	SMU Mustangs	60-77
16/11/21	A	UTSA Roadrunners	65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	66.5	75.0	58.0
Allowed / game	66.5	71.0	62.0
Point differential	+0.0	+4.0	-4.0
Avg total	133.0	146.0	120.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

TX A&M Commerce

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	-	-
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	68.5	-	68.5
Allowed / game	78.5	-	78.5
Point differential	-10.0	-	-10.0
Avg total	147.0	-	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Utah State	2	2	0	100%	79.5	60.0	+19.5
2	San Jose State	2	2	0	100%	76.5	58.0	+18.5
3	UNLV	2	2	0	100%	77.0	59.5	+17.5
4	San Diego State	2	2	0	100%	81.0	66.0	+15.0
5	Nevada	2	2	0	100%	71.5	58.5	+13.0
6	New Mexico	2	2	0	100%	84.5	77.5	+7.0
7	Colorado State	2	2	0	100%	72.5	66.0	+6.5
8	Grand Canyon	3	2	1	67%	69.0	54.3	+14.7
9	Wyoming	3	2	1	67%	84.3	71.0	+13.3
10	Boise State	2	1	1	50%	68.5	64.5	+4.0
11	Fresno State	2	1	1	50%	61.5	58.5	+3.0
12	Air Force	2	1	1	50%	66.5	66.5	+0.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Southland conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Stephen F. Austin	2	2	0	100%	89.5	55.5	+34.0
2	UTRGV	3	2	1	67%	83.7	59.0	+24.7
3	Lamar	3	2	1	67%	75.7	69.0	+6.7
4	Texas A&M-CC	3	2	1	67%	70.0	63.7	+6.3
5	SE Louisiana	3	2	1	67%	78.3	74.7	+3.7
6	McNeese State	2	1	1	50%	84.0	64.5	+19.5
7	Northwestern St.	4	2	2	50%	64.8	68.2	-3.5
8	New Orleans	2	1	1	50%	59.0	76.0	-17.0
9	Houston Christian	3	1	2	33%	72.0	85.3	-13.3
10	TX A&M Commerce	2	0	2	0%	68.5	78.5	-10.0
11	Incarnate Word	2	0	2	0%	60.0	76.5	-16.5
12	Nicholls State	2	0	2	0%	71.5	98.0	-26.5

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	OT	Final
Air Force	28	33	8	69
TX A&M Commerce	31	30	12	73

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Air Force vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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