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Ajdovscina vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-106
27-25 27-21 20-34 15-26
Position#7
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game69.0
SloveniaSlovenian CupSlovenian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajdovscina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AjdovscinaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAjdovscina
Date
Competition
Plama P.
#25
W
70-56
70
56
+14
no box
H08/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
110-63
110
63
+47
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H25/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
72-60
72
60
+12
no box
A09/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-10
17-16
14-10
13-19
18-17
17-18
13-22
16-20
19-20
29-12
24-5
22-20
13-22
19-21
19-16
21-12
17-26
21-34
18-20
26-13
21-21
17-15
17-14
23-9
20-17
21-19
31-18
28-15
24-12
31-25
27-11
22-13
20-23
19-17
16-21
12-14
23-11
12-20
25-15
148.7Avg total
80.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.064.6151.6+22.4100%
Season at home (3)89.366.7156.0+22.7100%
Season away (2)83.561.5145.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.468.3148.7+12.170%
Last 5 (5)87.064.6151.6+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.094.0159.0-29.017%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.583.2154.8-11.80%
vs Weaker (6)82.067.8149.8+14.267%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
110-72
110
72
+38
112avg 83
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 83
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
88-62
88
62
+26
89avg 83
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
H26/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 83
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
76avg 83
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 83
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
18-18
24-17
20-31
25-11
31-15
29-18
14-18
28-9
35-23
25-27
22-13
31-17
27-14
25-8
15-20
22-15
18-18
26-21
22-8
11-16
26-14
22-15
27-22
28-29
15-21
19-15
16-24
17-17
24-24
23-15
21-25
26-12
20-20
22-23
16-19
27-26
25-25
19-20
16-33
168.6Avg total
91.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.069.0160.0+22.080%
Season at home (2)92.564.5157.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)90.072.0162.0+18.067%
Last 10 (10)91.377.3168.6+14.070%
Last 5 (5)84.083.0167.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.084.5166.5-2.538%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.586.7172.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (15)87.371.1158.4+16.387%
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
AjdovscinaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AjdovscinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plama P.
#25
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/10
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A05/11
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/12
Slovenian Cup
Hidria
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Jezica
#25
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A21/10
Slovenian Cup
Cerknica
#18
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/11
Slovenian Cup
Gorica
#11
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A09/12
Slovenian Cup
73.1Avg total
39.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)36.640.977.5-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.539.477.8-0.945%-
Last 30 away (8)34.043.177.1-9.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.473.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.829.673.4+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.349.079.3-18.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.042.380.3-4.30%-
vs Weaker (6)40.731.071.7+9.783%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A02/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
85.0Avg total
48.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.482.5+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.881.6+8.075%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.283.4+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)48.236.885.0+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.944.885.6-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker (15)47.234.581.7+12.787%-
This opponent (Ajdovscina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ajdovscinatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.628.0
60.1%
55.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.45.7
29.4%
36.4%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
78.7%15.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ajdovscina wins
0
Sencur wins
No previous meetings.
Ajdovscinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AGorica72-60
25/11/25HGorica77-74
04/11/25HCerknica110-63
21/10/25ACerknica95-63
07/10/25HJezica81-63
11/12/24AHidria77-92
03/12/24HHidria73-79
05/11/24AJezica88-57
22/10/24HJezica61-76
08/10/24HPlama P.70-56
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj87-104
13/12/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-74
06/12/25APolzela85-81
02/12/25AKK Triglav Kranj78-89
26/11/25HKK Triglav Kranj86-67
22/11/25ARogaska88-62
15/11/25HTajfun Sentjur98-59
08/11/25HZlatorog Lasko110-72
04/11/25HIpros Vrhnika99-62
28/10/25APerspektiva Ilirija98-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ajdovscina
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.089.383.5
Allowed / game64.666.761.5
Point differential+22.4+22.7+22.0
Avg total151.6156.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.092.590.0
Allowed / game69.064.572.0
Point differential+22.0+28.0+18.0
Avg total160.0157.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%89.053.0+36.0
2 Ajdovscina550100%87.064.6+22.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija110100%84.078.0+6.0
4 Zlatorog Lasko54180%100.472.6+27.8
5 Sencur54180%91.069.0+22.0
6 KK Triglav Kranj54180%87.668.6+19.0
7 Polzela54180%98.084.8+13.2
8 Rogaska64267%87.078.5+8.5
9 Plama P.32167%73.066.7+6.3
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek53260%95.679.2+16.4
11 Gorica52340%77.271.6+5.6
12 Elektra Sostanj31233%79.794.0-14.3
13 Cedevita Olimpija mladi31233%69.384.7-15.3
14 Celje31233%74.790.7-16.0
15 Vrani Vransko31233%85.0101.0-16.0
16 Ipros Vrhnika31233%72.791.0-18.3
17 Cerknica31233%71.390.7-19.3
18 LTH Castings31233%64.790.0-25.3
19 Crnomelj1010%84.088.0-4.0
20 Perspektiva Ilirija1010%78.084.0-6.0
21 Nagode Postojna1010%81.088.0-7.0
22 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%78.087.0-9.0
23 Ljubljana1010%64.075.0-11.0
24 Branik Maribor1010%74.088.0-14.0
25 Jezica1010%63.081.0-18.0
26 Vojnik1010%63.082.0-19.0
27 Jance1010%73.093.0-20.0
28 Tolmin1010%67.088.0-21.0
29 Zoltasti Troti1010%63.086.0-23.0
30 Misel1010%50.076.0-26.0
31 Hrastnik1010%66.0100.0-34.0
32 Hidria1010%66.0102.0-36.0
33 Litija1010%61.0100.0-39.0
34 Prebold1010%45.085.0-40.0
35 Gorenja vas1010%59.0102.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 35 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ajdovscina2727201589
Sencur25213426106
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