PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rogaska vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 62-88
15-22 18-18 21-26 8-22
Position#7
Record2-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game77.9
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9· Mrcina T.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rogaska v Sencur
26 Sep 2026
ROGA75
SENC92
22 Nov 2025
ROGA62
SENC88
26 Oct 2024
ROGA79
SENC67
28 Oct 2023
ROGA84
SENC67
21 Jan 2023
ROGA76
SENC80
07 May 2022
ROGA87
SENC72
29 Jan 2022
ROGA86
SENC78
13 Mar 2021
ROGA76
SENC68
30 Dec 2020
ROGA89
SENC85
26 Oct 2019
ROGA66
SENC57
05 Jan 2019
ROGA85
SENC81
03 Mar 2018
ROGA73
SENC55
18 Jan 2018
ROGA72
SENC77
18 Nov 2017
ROGA70
SENC58
11 Mar 2017
ROGA82
SENC84
17 Jan 2017
ROGA87
SENC72
13 Feb 2016
ROGA72
SENC62
03 Jan 2015
ROGA69
SENC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 72
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 72
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 72
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 72
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 72
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 72
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 72
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
19-22
13-15
28-36
20-17
22-12
22-16
18-18
28-32
21-15
23-22
23-20
22-30
24-23
26-19
19-26
11-20
25-15
15-27
20-16
24-18
15-23
33-16
29-14
13-25
23-25
24-19
20-22
20-24
22-17
16-22
23-21
14-19
17-19
22-16
21-23
31-16
24-28
23-18
29-16
169.1Avg total
86.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.286.9170.1-3.625%
Season at home (5)80.283.8164.0-3.620%
Season away (3)88.392.0180.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)86.882.3169.1+4.540%
Last 5 (5)88.680.2168.8+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.283.7159.9-7.425%
vs Similar (8)78.477.6156.0+0.862%
vs Weaker (9)87.481.1168.6+6.356%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
83-58
83
58
+25
82avg 80
A06/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorenja vas
#36
W
102-59
102
59
+43
no box
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 80
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-103
92
103
-11
91avg 80
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
90-68
90
68
+22
no box
A22/10
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 80
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
110-72
110
72
+38
112avg 80
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 80
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
29-12
20-17
18-13
27-16
32-10
29-20
14-13
19-15
15-27
20-25
21-16
28-22
23-28
17-23
24-30
14-17
22-17
33-16
21-18
25-17
25-23
16-16
21-24
28-24
18-18
24-17
20-31
25-11
31-15
29-18
14-18
28-9
35-23
25-27
22-13
31-17
27-14
25-8
15-20
168.1Avg total
93.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.577.9170.4+14.662%
Season at home (6)93.277.0170.2+16.267%
Season away (2)90.580.5171.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)93.474.7168.1+18.770%
Last 5 (5)98.475.2173.6+23.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.085.1166.1-4.129%
vs Similar (9)83.485.3168.8-1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.568.4153.9+17.285%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
RogaskaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
84.2Avg total
42.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.282.8+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.441.884.2+0.769%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.681.2-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.184.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.942.882.7-2.833%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.080.8+2.888%-
vs Weaker (9)43.642.686.1+1.056%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A06/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorenja vas
#36
W
59-26
59
26
+33
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/10
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Ipros Vrhnika
#17
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H15/11
Liga Nova KBM
84.9Avg total
49.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.882.2+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.438.382.7+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.581.5+2.446%-
Last 10 (10)49.835.184.9+14.790%-
Last 5 (5)54.634.288.8+20.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.146.387.4-5.129%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.381.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.133.479.5+12.785%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.0
56.8%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
72.9%12.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.026.1
58.0%
54.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.9
29.2%
33.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws24.618.1
73.6%
72.9%18.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WLLLWLLWWL
Sencur
WWWLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#4
-5.4
Net rating
+16.9
107.5
Offensive rating
112.3
112.9
Defensive rating
95.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
21.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.7%
3-point %
29.2%
59.5%
Assist %
69.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 112.3Defence112.9 · 95.5Shooting53.8% · 53.6%3-point %32.7% · 29.2%Ball care21.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.5% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Rogaska   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rogaska wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Sencur v Rogaska92-68
26/10/24Rogaska v Sencur79-67
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HCelje107-78
12/11/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-77
08/11/25HHelios Domzale81-84
03/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
28/10/25ACelje101-71
25/10/25HKK Triglav Kranj71-78
20/10/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-98
11/10/25HPolzela95-89
07/10/25AVojnik82-63
04/10/25AZlatorog Lasko86-94
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HTajfun Sentjur98-59
08/11/25HZlatorog Lasko110-72
04/11/25HIpros Vrhnika99-62
28/10/25APerspektiva Ilirija98-103 OT
25/10/25HHelios Domzale87-80
22/10/25AIpros Vrhnika90-68
14/10/25HKK Krka Novo mesto92-103
11/10/25HKK Triglav Kranj75-83
07/10/25AGorenja vas102-59
06/10/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek83-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game83.280.288.3
Allowed / game86.983.892.0
Point differential-3.6-3.6-3.7
Avg total170.1164.0180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%67%50%
Points / game92.593.290.5
Allowed / game77.977.080.5
Point differential+14.6+16.2+10.0
Avg total170.4170.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto990100%96.778.8+17.9
2 Perspektiva Ilirija97278%88.980.4+8.4
3 Sencur85362%92.577.9+14.6
4 Zlatorog Lasko85362%91.996.4-4.5
5 Helios Domzale95456%84.281.8+2.4
6 KK Triglav Kranj94544%79.978.3+1.6
7 Rogaska82625%83.286.9-3.6
8 Tajfun Sentjur82625%70.184.9-14.8
9 Polzela92722%81.389.7-8.3
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek92722%79.193.8-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska151821862
Sencur2218262288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.