Akita will host the Ibaraki Robots on 11 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model clearly favours the Robots, rating them 79% to win against Akita's 21% chance, a reflection of the Robots' balanced 8-8 record and stronger defensive average of 78.4 points allowed compared to Akita's 90.1. Akita has struggled all season, 4-11 overall, scoring 82.7 per game while conceding 90.1, and their home form is even poorer, 2-4 with 90.3 points scored and 93.3 allowed; they have lost their last five games, including a 96-101 defeat to Shinshu at home, a 118-123 loss to Levanga Hokkaido away, and an 83-102 home loss to Altiri Chiba. The Robots, meanwhile, have posted a 4-2 road record, 78.0 points scored and 71.2 allowed on the road, and have won four of their last five games, with recent victories over Ryukyu 80-72 at home and Osaka 86-68 away, though they did lose 88-96 to Levanga Hokkaido at home. In their 10 previous meetings the Robots lead 6-4, most recently beating Akita 87-86 on 15 February 2026. Pythia projects a 78-87 score and a total of 165.5 points, with the Robots covering the 8.0 home line 45% of the time, and a 4% chance of overtime. The Robots' recent road success and Akita's slump suggest the Robots will likely pull ahead in this encounter.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 82.7 | 90.1 | 172.7 | -7.4 | 27% |
| Season at home (6) | 90.3 | 93.3 | 183.7 | -3.0 | 33% |
| Season away (9) | 77.6 | 87.9 | 165.4 | -10.3 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.0 | 93.4 | 182.4 | -4.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.6 | 98.8 | 189.4 | -8.2 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 75.8 | 87.4 | 163.3 | -11.6 | 19% |
| vs Similar (4) | 86.0 | 91.0 | 177.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 83.6 | 78.4 | 162.0 | +5.1 | 50% |
| Season at home (10) | 86.9 | 82.8 | 169.7 | +4.1 | 40% |
| Season away (6) | 78.0 | 71.2 | 149.2 | +6.8 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.7 | 74.6 | 161.3 | +12.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 73.2 | 160.8 | +14.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 74.7 | 86.3 | 161.0 | -11.6 | 20% |
| vs Similar (12) | 79.6 | 80.3 | 159.9 | -0.8 | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 89.9 | 76.0 | 165.9 | +13.9 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.7 | 43.6 | 82.3 | -4.9 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 41.7 | 45.6 | 87.2 | -3.9 | 42% | 42% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.7 | 42.2 | 78.9 | -5.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 47.3 | 91.0 | -3.6 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 50.8 | 95.6 | -6.0 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 38.7 | 43.2 | 81.9 | -4.6 | 31% | 31% |
| vs Similar (4) | 39.0 | 45.8 | 84.8 | -6.8 | 25% | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.3 | 43.6 | 84.9 | -2.4 | 30% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 43.8 | 45.2 | 89.0 | -1.4 | 39% | 61% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 37.5 | 41.2 | 78.8 | -3.8 | 17% | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.5 | 41.1 | 87.6 | +5.4 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.0 | 40.6 | 87.6 | +6.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 39.9 | 45.3 | 85.2 | -5.4 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Similar (12) | 38.4 | 43.3 | 81.8 | -4.9 | 17% | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 47.2 | 42.0 | 89.2 | +5.2 | 62% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akita under 83.5 | 70.3% | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 71.2% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Under 176.5 | 75.2% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Under 175.5 | 73.2% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Akita under 85.5 | 76.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Akita under 84.5 | 73.5% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Akita under 86.5 | 79.3% | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots -1.5 | 77.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 95.5 | 79.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 98.5 | 86.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 93.5 | 73.1% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Akita under 89.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Akita under 90.5 | 88.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 97.5 | 84.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 94.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Akita under 88.5 | 84.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots -2.5 | 73.4% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots (regulation) | 76.8% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Akita under 99.5 | 97.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Akita under 96.5 | 95.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Akita under 98.5 | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Akita under 92.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots win | 79.1% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +5.8pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots under 96.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 68.5 | 96.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Ibaraki Robots over 70.5 | 95.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Akita under 94.5 | 93.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +11.5 | 95.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 84.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 69.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +16.5 | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 94.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +15.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 71.5 | 94.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +10.5 | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 90.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 72.5 | 92.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 76.5 | 85.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +6.5 | 90.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Akita +16.5 | 74.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots -3.5 | 70.6% | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | - |
| Akita +19.5 | 81.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Akita +24.5 | 90.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 77.5 | 83.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 73.5 | 91.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 74.5 | 89.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 78.5 | 81.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots +1.5 | 81.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 75.5 | 88.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Akita +23.5 | 89.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 80.5 | 75.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 79.5 | 78.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Akita +18.5 | 79.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 91.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Ibaraki Robots over 81.5 | 72.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Akita +15.5 | 71.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 86.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Akita over 69.5 | 79.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 78.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Akita over 70.5 | 77.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Akita over 72.5 | 70.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.5 | 18.1 | 53.6% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 13.8 | 73.8% | 13.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.4 | 19.4 | 53.6% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.9 | 11.3 | 32.9% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.0 | 14.2 | 73.8% | 14.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 86-87 |
| 14/02/26 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 53-71 |
| 21/12/25 | Ibaraki Robots v Akita | 69-57 |
| 20/12/25 | Ibaraki Robots v Akita | 81-70 |
| 26/03/25 | Ibaraki Robots v Akita | 77-69 |
| 26/01/25 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 88-59 |
| 25/01/25 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 71-67 |
| 11/12/24 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 61-46 |
| 17/04/24 | Ibaraki Robots v Akita | 94-81 |
| 31/01/24 | Akita v Ibaraki Robots | 64-50 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Shinshu | 96-101 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 118-123 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 83-102 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 85-89 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Kyoto | 71-79 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 95-86 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 84-98 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Alvark | 74-90 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shinshu | 102-95 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 82-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Ryukyu | 80-72 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Osaka | 86-68 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 88-96 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 101-69 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Toyama | 83-61 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 102-87 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Alvark | 69-66 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Osaka | 98-63 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 82-74 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 78-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 27% |
| Home | WWLLL | 33% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 6 | 9 |
| Win % | 27% | 33% | 22% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 90.3 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 90.1 | 93.3 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.4 | -3.0 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 172.7 | 183.7 | 165.4 |
| Over 169.5 | 47% | 83% | 22% |
| Win by 10+ | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 50% |
| Home | WWWLW | 40% |
| Away | LWWWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 10 | 6 |
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Points / game | 83.6 | 86.9 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.4 | 82.8 | 71.2 |
| Point differential | +5.1 | +4.1 | +6.8 |
| Avg total | 162.0 | 169.7 | 149.2 |
| Over 169.5 | 31% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 31% | 30% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 93% | 90.4 | 79.1 | +11.2 | |
| 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 90.4 | 80.7 | +9.7 | |
| 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 93.2 | 82.9 | +10.4 | |
| 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 87.6 | 79.8 | +7.9 | |
| 6 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73% | 82.7 | 73.7 | +8.9 | |
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 85.3 | 81.4 | +3.9 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 16 | 11 | 5 | 69% | 90.7 | 80.2 | +10.4 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64% | 96.5 | 94.6 | +1.9 |
| 10 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 84.4 | 78.5 | +5.9 | |
| 11 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 82.9 | 87.7 | -4.8 | |
| 12 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.6 | 78.4 | +5.1 | |
| 13 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 83.6 | 81.9 | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 78.5 | 83.4 | -4.9 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 92.7 | 96.6 | -3.9 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 85.6 | 88.8 | -3.2 | |
| 17 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 81.1 | 84.6 | -3.5 | |
| 18 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 83.2 | 82.2 | +1.1 | |
| 19 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 84.5 | 86.9 | -2.4 | |
| 20 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 77.4 | 81.9 | -4.6 | |
| 21 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 38% | 80.8 | 85.8 | -4.9 | |
| 22 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 78.8 | 84.0 | -5.2 | |
| 23 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 80.0 | 86.5 | -6.5 | |
| 24 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 82.7 | 90.1 | -7.4 | |
| 25 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 | |
| 26 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 69.6 | 90.9 | -21.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 28 | 10 | 23 | 83 | |
| 22 | 22 | 19 | 32 | 95 |
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