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Akita vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 102-95
27-23 23-22 27-28 25-22
Position#24
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game81.3
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game85.9
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Shinshu
08 Nov 2026
AKIT96
SHIN101
17 Oct 2026
AKIT102
SHIN95
29 Mar 2015
AKIT104
SHIN83
28 Mar 2015
AKIT99
SHIN94
27 Oct 2013
AKIT90
SHIN83
26 Oct 2013
AKIT113
SHIN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 65
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
77-94
77
94
-17
70avg 65
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
74avg 65
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
70avg 65
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#5
L
55-81
55
81
-26
48avg 65
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 65
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-90
63
90
-27
62avg 65
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
62avg 65
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 65
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#16
W
82-71
82
71
+11
80avg 65
A11/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
21-19
14-19
27-23
30-18
19-26
12-28
16-22
22-19
13-23
13-24
24-19
17-24
14-25
17-16
22-22
16-25
13-17
9-23
17-16
13-17
19-17
18-18
25-21
16-25
9-10
22-33
16-22
19-22
18-13
22-19
17-32
16-26
27-14
22-27
16-20
21-18
18-16
17-15
26-22
155.9Avg total
72.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.081.3153.3-9.333%
Season at home (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season away (5)70.280.2150.4-10.040%
Last 10 (10)72.383.6155.9-11.320%
Last 5 (5)75.481.4156.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.285.6157.8-13.414%
vs Similar (2)81.579.0160.5+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
no box
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 76
H26/09
B League
Toyama
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
91avg 76
H27/09
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 76
A03/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 76
A04/10
B League
Nagasaki
#18
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 76
A08/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 76
H10/10
B League
Shiga
#15
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 76
A12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
11-14
32-18
10-26
16-14
15-25
18-11
16-18
25-22
15-15
26-26
35-31
16-22
20-30
20-19
29-28
25-16
28-31
22-14
24-20
19-22
16-15
19-22
24-26
22-28
20-14
23-17
24-25
22-19
24-16
10-15
15-24
17-20
23-21
16-14
25-28
15-28
20-28
17-19
24-20
164.8Avg total
81.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.785.9168.6-3.129%
Season at home (3)88.387.7176.0+0.733%
Season away (4)78.584.5163.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)81.783.1164.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.084.2163.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.986.1160.0-12.30%
vs Similar (14)81.782.5164.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.172.7150.8+5.467%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
AkitaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/10
B League
74.6Avg total
35.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.442.579.9-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.643.685.2-2.042%-
Last 30 away (18)34.641.876.4-7.222%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.574.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.670.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.142.980.1-5.825%-
vs Similar (2)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H26/09
B League
Toyama
#11
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H27/09
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A03/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
B League
Nagasaki
#18
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/10
B League
Shiga
#15
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A12/10
B League
79.8Avg total
38.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.380.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.442.783.1-2.350%-
Last 30 away (20)38.040.578.6-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.745.080.7-9.314%-
vs Similar (14)39.441.580.9-2.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.438.078.4+2.467%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
53.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.910.4
69.8%
73.8%10.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
53.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.7
31.2%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.6
75.5%
73.8%17.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLWLLLLL
Shinshu
LLLWLWLWLW
#24
League position
#17
-4.8
Net rating
-2.5
88.3
Offensive rating
95.1
93.1
Defensive rating
97.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
31.2%
66.9%
Assist %
72.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 95.1Defence93.1 · 97.5Shooting50.2% · 49.1%3-point %32.8% · 31.2%Ball care16.5% · 17.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Akita   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Akita wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Shinshu v Akita70-80
02/12/23Shinshu v Akita64-83
27/11/22Shinshu v Akita73-80
26/11/22Shinshu v Akita83-87 OT
07/11/21Shinshu v Akita75-79
06/11/21Shinshu v Akita76-51
04/10/20Shinshu v Akita76-80
03/10/20Shinshu v Akita55-80
29/03/15Akita v Shinshu104-83
28/03/15Akita v Shinshu99-94
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex82-71
08/10/26HBrave Thunders81-87
04/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers76-86
03/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-90
27/09/26ASendai75-73
26/09/26ASendai55-81
03/05/26HSaga70-87
02/05/26HSaga72-85
26/04/26AToyama77-94
25/04/26AToyama72-82
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/26AShiga76-95
10/10/26HNeoPhoenix81-83
08/10/26ANagasaki71-74
04/10/26AYokohama89-84
03/10/26AYokohama78-85
27/09/26HToyama99-81
26/09/26HToyama85-99
19/05/25AFukuoka101-94
18/05/25AFukuoka65-68
17/05/25AFukuoka72-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%0%40%
Points / game72.081.070.2
Allowed / game81.387.080.2
Point differential-9.3-6.0-10.0
Avg total153.3168.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game82.788.378.5
Allowed / game85.987.784.5
Point differential-3.1+0.7-6.0
Avg total168.6176.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark76186%97.084.9+12.1
5 Gunma76186%76.068.1+7.9
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Yokohama85362%81.981.0+0.9
9 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
10 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
11 Levanga Hokkaido74357%98.094.7+3.3
12 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
13 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
14 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
15 Ryukyu73443%80.682.1-1.6
16 Shimane73443%81.383.9-2.6
17 Nagasaki73443%73.178.1-5.0
18 Chiba83538%97.0100.5-3.5
19 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
20 Shinshu72529%82.785.9-3.1
21 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
22 Kobe72529%76.984.4-7.6
23 Brave Thunders72529%79.487.6-8.1
24 Osaka71614%70.985.1-14.3
25 Ibaraki Robots81712%78.884.1-5.4
26 Saga81712%75.990.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita27232725102
Shinshu2322282295
← all games of the day
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