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Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-89
10-22 20-26 15-21 28-20
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game77.6
Al Ahli
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Nasr 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#4
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game69.4
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 9· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Nasr
20 Dec 2024
AL A113
AL N103
23 Dec 2023
AL A73
AL N89
28 Jan 2023
AL A69
AL N73
29 Oct 2021
AL A78
AL N86
12 Mar 2021
AL A68
AL N73
27 Oct 2018
AL A74
AL N66
19 Apr 2018
AL A80
AL N86
17 Apr 2018
AL A81
AL N88
01 Mar 2018
AL A93
AL N90
03 Mar 2017
AL A49
AL N55
12 Mar 2016
AL A78
AL N71
21 Apr 2015
AL A79
AL N66
26 Dec 2014
AL A67
AL N63
27 Dec 2012
AL A74
AL N44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Nasr winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
102-70
102
70
+32
106avg 79
H01/12
QBL
Al Hala
#7
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
A01/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#6
W
92-70
92
70
+22
90avg 79
H05/12
QBL
Sitra Club
#12
W
124-85
124
85
+39
no box
H07/12
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
92-110
92
110
-18
85avg 79
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 79
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 79
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 79
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A21/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
28-13
22-20
24-19
23-19
20-18
22-19
24-17
18-19
24-21
22-22
28-8
28-20
36-22
38-21
22-22
21-23
23-20
25-35
23-32
19-22
16-21
23-11
21-16
19-28
27-22
17-17
24-27
16-20
14-15
18-20
13-26
11-11
23-16
17-25
25-12
20-24
17-16
13-7
17-29
166.2Avg total
86.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.277.6163.9+8.675%
Season at home (4)90.579.5170.0+11.075%
Season away (4)82.075.8157.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)86.979.3166.2+7.660%
Last 5 (5)74.077.0151.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.5102.0191.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (19)86.672.6159.3+14.084%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
H04/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
71-93
71
93
-22
no box
A11/04
WASL
Dbae
#11
W
112-61
112
61
+51
117avg 86
H20/10
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
103-67
103
67
+36
95avg 86
A23/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
75avg 86
H27/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 86
A03/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
88avg 86
H06/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 86
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
65avg 86
H17/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
86avg 86
A15/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
20-24
18-14
16-15
16-24
17-21
15-28
23-20
32-17
26-17
26-13
28-14
27-18
27-14
24-15
25-20
22-17
22-17
14-18
23-23
19-20
20-28
27-11
10-11
23-15
16-18
20-9
27-25
22-19
27-16
23-15
23-26
19-20
13-25
27-13
19-13
21-16
23-26
22-14
19-12
157.0Avg total
85.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.569.4158.9+20.1100%
Season at home (4)89.268.5157.8+20.8100%
Season away (4)89.870.2160.0+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.571.5157.0+14.090%
Last 5 (5)84.070.4154.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.487.8164.2-11.430%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.279.3162.5+3.867%
vs Weaker (14)86.069.5155.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
Al AhliAl Nasr
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H01/12
QBL
Al Hala
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A01/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/12
QBL
Sitra Club
#12
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H07/12
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/12
Premier League
81.9Avg total
43.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.238.982.1+4.269%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.585.6+4.657%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.578.9+3.980%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.881.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.075.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.046.591.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.743.688.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker (18)42.235.878.0+6.472%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/04
WASL
Dbae
#11
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H20/10
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A23/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H06/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H17/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A15/12
Premier League
81.2Avg total
42.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.482.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.338.180.4+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.742.984.6-1.243%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.681.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.681.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.044.681.6-7.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.240.783.8+2.567%-
vs Weaker (14)45.137.282.4+7.986%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.5
49.4%
53.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.9
29.1%
32.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
68.3%12.5
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.9%
53.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.4
37.4%
32.3%37.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
68.3%13.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWLLWLWWWW
Al Nasr
WWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
+25.7
103.1
Offensive rating
115.4
98.2
Defensive rating
89.7
47.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.1%
3-point %
37.4%
58.9%
Assist %
56.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 115.4Defence98.2 · 89.7Shooting47.5% · 56.5%3-point %29.1% · 37.4%Ball care18.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds36.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Nasr
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Nasr wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr69-73
18/11/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli71-79
21/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli93-90
29/10/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr78-86
12/03/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr68-73
01/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ahli83-73
11/01/19Al Nasr v Al Ahli80-81
27/10/18Al Ahli v Al Nasr74-66
19/04/18Al Ahli v Al Nasr80-86
18/04/18Al Nasr v Al Ahli73-81
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AAl Najma67-76
17/12/23AQatar Sports76-64
15/12/23AAl Wehda61-81
14/12/23HAl Manama87-94
13/12/23HAl Arabi79-70
11/12/23HKuwait SC92-110
07/12/23HSitra Club124-85
05/12/23HAl Wakrah92-70
01/12/23AAl Hala89-73
01/12/23HAl Khor102-70
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23AAl Salam85-68
17/11/23HAl-Fateh78-71
10/11/23AAl Khaleej95-76
06/11/23HAl Safa of Safwa86-67
03/11/23AAl Wehda76-70
27/10/23HOhod81-75
23/10/23AAl Taawon103-67
20/10/23HDbae112-61
11/04/23AAl-Ahli Dubai71-93
04/04/23HAl-Ahli Dubai68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.290.582.0
Allowed / game77.679.575.8
Point differential+8.6+11.0+6.2
Avg total163.9170.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Nasr
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.589.289.8
Allowed / game69.468.570.2
Point differential+20.1+20.8+19.5
Avg total158.9157.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal880100%104.570.6+33.9
2 Al Nasr880100%89.569.4+20.1
3 Al Ittihad87188%91.478.8+12.6
4 Al Ahli86275%86.277.6+8.6
5 Al Wehda96367%90.280.1+10.1
6 Ohod95456%80.078.1+1.9
7 Al-Fateh94544%92.484.7+7.8
8 Al Khaleej93633%77.777.6+0.1
9 Al Safa of Safwa93633%78.785.6-6.9
10 Al Salam92722%70.481.8-11.3
11 Al Taawon9090%63.193.6-30.4
12 Dbae9090%62.8100.9-38.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1020152873
Al Nasr2226212089
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