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Al Ahly vs Cape Town Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-76
21-25 26-16 25-17 15-18
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game78.3
Al Ahly 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game86.4
EuropeBALBAL - Final· BK Arena
Other2024Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cape Town winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhlyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhly
Date
Competition
Douanes
#3
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
H27/05
BAL
G League Ignite
#4
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 75
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Franca
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
58avg 75
A22/09
Intercontinental Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
65avg 75
H24/09
Intercontinental Cup
City Oilers
#12
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 75
H19/04
BAL
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
H20/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
72avg 75
A22/04
BAL
City Oilers
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
75avg 75
A24/04
BAL
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A26/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 75
H27/04
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
21-23
25-13
17-19
20-21
25-22
17-16
20-17
17-26
15-16
15-26
23-22
22-12
16-25
15-22
21-22
28-16
25-19
26-21
20-20
20-21
22-18
27-19
29-28
21-18
22-20
20-19
22-22
21-23
14-15
29-18
17-26
25-21
17-24
27-18
18-13
28-15
25-17
21-21
20-18
163.2Avg total
85.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.778.3169.0+12.383%
Season at home (3)97.077.7174.7+19.3100%
Season away (3)84.379.0163.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)85.078.2163.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)89.078.8167.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.973.9142.8-5.050%
vs Similar (4)88.581.8170.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.870.8152.6+11.089%
This opponent (Cape Town) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cape TownLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTown
Date
Competition
Petro Atletico
#2
L
48-87
48
87
-39
no box
A30/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
H02/05
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A03/05
BAL
City Oilers
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H06/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A20/05
BAL
Dynamo
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H09/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
70avg 62
A10/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
58-84
58
84
-26
46avg 62
H12/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 62
H16/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
61avg 62
A17/03
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
12-20
9-26
15-13
20-30
22-16
14-28
19-17
22-23
17-16
26-17
11-26
20-17
17-20
26-19
17-14
15-31
15-17
22-16
17-14
15-21
14-23
24-22
20-20
14-31
28-16
19-30
27-23
18-24
16-20
10-27
14-13
23-21
24-20
17-19
20-18
13-15
21-22
25-22
16-25
156.6Avg total
72.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.686.4162.0-10.820%
Season at home (3)71.782.7154.3-11.033%
Season away (2)81.592.0173.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)72.684.0156.6-11.420%
Last 5 (5)75.686.4162.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.885.8157.6-14.131%
vs Similar (4)80.283.5163.8-3.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Al AhlyCape Town
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhlyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Douanes
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H27/05
BAL
G League Ignite
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Franca
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/09
Intercontinental Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H24/09
Intercontinental Cup
City Oilers
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/04
BAL
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A22/04
BAL
City Oilers
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A24/04
BAL
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H27/04
BAL
80.3Avg total
42.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.835.975.7+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.634.474.9+6.279%-
Last 30 away (13)39.037.676.6+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.280.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.481.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.836.471.2-1.660%-
vs Similar (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.834.675.4+6.372%-
This opponent (Cape Town) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cape TownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petro Atletico
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A30/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H02/05
BAL
Ferroviario Beira
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/05
BAL
City Oilers
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/05
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A20/05
BAL
Dynamo
#10
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H09/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A10/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H12/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/03
BAL
78.9Avg total
35.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)35.840.976.7-5.224%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.441.779.1-4.329%-
Last 30 away (10)34.640.475.0-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.178.9-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.679.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.041.776.7-6.723%-
vs Similar (4)38.238.576.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahly: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.416.0
52.6%
48.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
27.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.19.0
63.6%
67.5%9.0
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cape Towntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cape Town: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.218.8
44.4%
48.0%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
27.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.5%
67.5%13.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/4 games with a box score before 24 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahly
WWLWWWLLWW
Cape Town
LWLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#11
+14.7
Net rating
-13.9
109.6
Offensive rating
92.9
94.9
Defensive rating
106.8
50.8%
Effective FG%
44.6%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.4%
3-point %
29.9%
62.5%
Assist %
52.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 92.9Defence94.9 · 106.8Shooting50.8% · 44.6%3-point %32.4% · 29.9%Ball care16.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Al Ahly   ■ Cape Town
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Ahly wins
0
Cape Town wins
DateGameScore
02/05/23Cape Town v Al Ahly75-91
Al Ahlylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBangui94-71
26/04/24AAl Ahly Benghazi87-76
24/04/24ACity Oilers81-82
22/04/24ABangui85-79
20/04/24HAl Ahly Benghazi98-86
19/04/24HCity Oilers99-76
24/09/23HZhejiang Chouzhou74-81
22/09/23AFranca70-90
21/09/23AG League Ignite82-76
27/05/23HDouanes80-65
Cape Townlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AFUS Rabat (Mar)75-84
16/03/24HPetro Atletico84-78
12/03/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)58-84
10/03/24APetro Atletico88-100
09/03/24HDynamo73-86
20/05/23AStade Malien (Mli)69-78
06/05/23HCity Oilers80-70
03/05/23AFerroviario Beira76-82
02/05/23HAl Ahly75-91
30/04/23APetro Atletico48-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahly
BAL 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game90.797.084.3
Allowed / game78.377.779.0
Point differential+12.3+19.3+5.3
Avg total169.0174.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cape Town
BAL 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game75.671.781.5
Allowed / game86.482.792.0
Point differential-10.8-11.0-10.5
Avg total162.0154.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahly65183%90.778.3+12.3
2 FUS Rabat (Mar)54180%71.259.0+12.2
3 Rivers Hoopers64267%73.568.8+4.7
4 Petro Atletico53260%72.068.0+4.0
5 Al Ahly Benghazi63350%89.583.0+6.5
6 Douanes63350%68.264.2+4.0
7 Monastir63350%72.875.0-2.2
8 Bangui63350%84.888.2-3.3
9 A.P.R.62433%72.078.5-6.5
10 Dynamo31233%28.737.7-9.0
11 Cape Town51420%75.686.4-10.8
12 City Oilers61517%78.093.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahly2126251587
Cape Town2516171876
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