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Al Ahly vs RSSB Tigers (Rwa) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-106
24-24 26-26 26-30 21-26
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#1
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeBALBAL - Semi-finals· Kigali Arena
Other2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
RSSB Tigers (Rwa) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhlyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhly
Date
Competition
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
no box
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 73
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 73
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 73
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 73
A01/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
54avg 73
A03/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 73
A22/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
78avg 73
H24/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
30-19
15-17
14-31
27-21
21-16
8-23
17-13
24-26
28-14
23-35
19-32
18-17
11-23
19-16
20-13
15-12
27-20
15-21
19-19
29-23
23-24
18-19
19-14
37-16
11-17
20-14
17-18
10-10
14-14
22-14
11-19
29-25
16-22
22-22
23-24
15-18
13-16
32-25
27-17
163.8Avg total
83.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.775.1156.9+6.671%
Season at home (2)88.078.0166.0+10.0100%
Season away (5)79.274.0153.2+5.260%
Last 10 (10)83.380.5163.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)85.677.0162.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.377.3150.7-4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.684.4171.0+2.260%
vs Weaker (17)83.573.4156.9+10.182%
This opponent (RSSB Tigers (Rwa)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form(Rwa)
Date
Competition
Al Ahly Benghazi
#7
W
103-95
103
95
+8
96avg 87
H27/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
70avg 87
H29/03
BAL
Joburg Giants (Rsa)
#12
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 87
A01/04
BAL
Dar City (Tan)
#8
W
104-92
104
92
+12
88avg 87
H04/04
BAL
Nairobi City Thunder
#9
L
92-101
92
101
-9
84avg 87
A05/04
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
85avg 87
A22/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
L
98-99
98
99
-1
89avg 87
H24/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
17-20
26-19
25-29
12-17
22-19
23-20
25-22
25-27
24-20
25-24
28-18
24-25
28-20
23-20
29-27
24-38
25-24
22-23
21-16
24-13
21-23
26-23
24-13
14-32
30-19
26-20
28-28
186.0Avg total
96.6Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.689.4186.0+7.171%
Season at home (4)96.891.0187.8+5.875%
Season away (3)96.387.3183.7+9.067%
Last 10 (7)96.689.4186.0+7.171%
Last 5 (5)98.290.6188.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)98.788.7187.3+10.067%
vs Weaker (3)99.394.0193.3+5.367%
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
Al AhlyRSSB Tigers (Rwa)
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhlyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A01/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A03/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H24/05
BAL
79.2Avg total
41.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.679.4+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.136.679.8+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.579.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.738.775.3-2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.638.980.5+2.750%-
vs Weaker (17)42.736.779.4+6.071%-
This opponent (RSSB Tigers (Rwa)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahly Benghazi
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/03
BAL
Petro Atletico
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/03
BAL
Joburg Giants (Rsa)
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/04
BAL
Dar City (Tan)
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H04/04
BAL
Nairobi City Thunder
#9
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A05/04
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A22/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H24/05
BAL
92.7Avg total
46.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)46.446.392.7+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (4)45.544.890.2+0.850%-
Last 30 away (3)47.748.396.0-0.767%-
Last 10 (7)46.446.392.7+0.157%-
Last 5 (5)47.848.296.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)47.044.791.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (3)50.051.3101.3-1.367%-
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahly: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.0
53.2%
50.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.7
27.1%
29.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.417.0
66.9%
67.5%17.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RSSB Tigers (Rwa): 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.0
51.3%
50.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.714.7
34.4%
29.3%44.0
🏀 Free throws26.718.7
70.0%
67.5%18.7
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 27 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahly
WLWWWWLLWL
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)
LWLWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+2.0
Net rating
+7.1
90.6
Offensive rating
95.9
88.6
Defensive rating
88.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.1%
3-point %
34.4%
61.0%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/7)
71%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 95.9Defence88.6 · 88.8Shooting47.9% · 51.5%3-point %27.1% · 34.4%Ball care16.0% · 14.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/7)60% · 71%
■ Al Ahly   ■ RSSB Tigers (Rwa)
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Al Ahly wins
0
RSSB Tigers (Rwa) wins
No previous meetings.
Al Ahlylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HVille de Dakar87-76
22/05/26AVille de Dakar90-93
03/05/26AFUS Rabat (Mar)77-71 OT
01/05/26AJCA Kings (Ivo)85-65
29/04/26HMaktown Flyers (Nga)89-80
26/04/26AVille de Dakar76-72
25/04/26AClub Africain68-69
01/06/24APetro Atletico94-107
29/05/24ARivers Hoopers89-83 OT
24/05/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HFUS Rabat (Mar)98-99
22/05/26AFUS Rabat (Mar)95-72
05/04/26ANairobi City Thunder92-101
04/04/26HDar City (Tan)104-92
01/04/26AJoburg Giants (Rsa)102-89
29/03/26HPetro Atletico82-78
27/03/26HAl Ahly Benghazi103-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahly
BAL 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%100%60%
Points / game81.788.079.2
Allowed / game75.178.074.0
Point differential+6.6+10.0+5.2
Avg total156.9166.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%20%
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)
BAL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game96.696.896.3
Allowed / game89.491.087.3
Point differential+7.1+5.8+9.0
Avg total186.0187.8183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Petro Atletico75271%92.776.4+16.3
2 Al Ahly Benghazi75271%100.989.0+11.9
3 RSSB Tigers (Rwa)75271%96.689.4+7.1
4 Al Ahly75271%81.775.1+6.6
5 FUS Rabat (Mar)74357%80.176.0+4.1
6 Ville de Dakar74357%78.477.3+1.1
7 Club Africain74357%79.179.3-0.1
8 Dar City (Tan)73443%87.391.7-4.4
9 Nairobi City Thunder52340%81.490.2-8.8
10 Maktown Flyers (Nga)51420%73.483.8-10.4
11 JCA Kings (Ivo)5050%67.481.6-14.2
12 Joburg Giants (Rsa)5050%71.497.6-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahly2426262197
RSSB Tigers (Rwa)24263026106
← all games of the day
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