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Al Ahly vs Ville de Dakar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 May 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 87-76
15-18 13-16 32-25 27-17
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.0
Al Ahly 🏆
vs
Ville de Dakar
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeBALBAL - Quarter-finals· Kigali Arena
Other2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ville de Dakar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhlyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhly
Date
Competition
Cape Town
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H24/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
no box
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 73
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 73
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 73
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 73
A01/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
54avg 73
A03/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 73
A22/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
26-16
25-17
15-18
19-22
30-19
15-17
14-31
27-21
21-16
8-23
17-13
24-26
28-14
23-35
19-32
18-17
11-23
19-16
20-13
15-12
27-20
15-21
19-19
29-23
23-24
18-19
19-14
37-16
11-17
20-14
17-18
10-10
14-14
22-14
11-19
29-25
16-22
22-22
23-24
163.8Avg total
83.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.875.0155.8+5.867%
Season at home (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Season away (5)79.274.0153.2+5.260%
Last 10 (10)83.380.5163.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)83.476.2159.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.377.3150.7-4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.685.3171.9+1.256%
vs Weaker (18)82.472.7155.1+9.783%
This opponent (Ville de Dakar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ville de DakarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakar
Date
Competition
Petro Atletico
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H29/04
BAL
Kriol Star
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H01/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A03/05
BAL
Monastir
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
A04/05
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 71
H24/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 71
H26/04
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
67-66
67
66
+1
57avg 71
A29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 71
H02/05
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
79-62
79
62
+17
80avg 71
A03/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#3
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 71
H22/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-21
19-13
13-14
23-18
17-21
27-29
16-15
18-25
14-22
22-16
13-13
15-16
17-22
14-15
22-24
18-25
19-19
21-20
21-21
12-15
20-27
21-15
19-19
21-11
16-21
16-22
14-12
23-28
25-17
10-19
25-11
18-15
23-12
19-23
19-12
25-29
22-16
22-22
24-23
153.1Avg total
76.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.875.7154.5+3.267%
Season at home (4)81.881.5163.2+0.250%
Season away (2)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.576.6153.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.873.8152.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.571.0138.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.879.2157.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (4)79.274.5153.8+4.850%
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Al AhlyVille de Dakar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhlyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Town
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A01/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A03/05
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/05
BAL
81.8Avg total
43.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.379.1+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.336.881.2+7.585%-
Last 30 away (17)39.837.777.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.281.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.678.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.738.775.3-2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.139.482.6+3.756%-
vs Weaker (18)41.936.177.9+5.872%-
This opponent (Ville de Dakar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ville de DakarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petro Atletico
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/04
BAL
Kriol Star
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H01/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A03/05
BAL
Monastir
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/05
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/04
BAL
Al Ahly
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/04
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H02/05
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A03/05
BAL
Al Ahly
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/05
BAL
77.5Avg total
37.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)37.838.676.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.940.980.7-1.057%-
Last 30 away (5)34.835.470.2-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.677.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.279.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.839.073.8-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.240.879.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.076.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahly: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.1
52.2%
50.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
29.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.516.2
66.1%
67.5%16.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ville de Dakartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ville de Dakar: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.4
47.7%
50.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.6
28.7%
29.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.0
70.8%
67.5%15.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahly
LWWWWLLWLW
Ville de Dakar
WWWWLLLLLW
#3
League position
#5
+2.2
Net rating
+1.4
91.9
Offensive rating
89.8
89.6
Defensive rating
88.4
48.4%
Effective FG%
45.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
28.7%
61.4%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 89.8Defence89.6 · 88.4Shooting48.4% · 45.8%3-point %28.5% · 28.7%Ball care17.0% · 15.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Al Ahly   ■ Ville de Dakar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Ahly wins
1
Ville de Dakar wins
DateGameScore
22/05/26Ville de Dakar v Al Ahly93-90
26/04/26Ville de Dakar v Al Ahly72-76
Al Ahlylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/26AVille de Dakar90-93
03/05/26AFUS Rabat (Mar)77-71 OT
01/05/26AJCA Kings (Ivo)85-65
29/04/26HMaktown Flyers (Nga)89-80
26/04/26AVille de Dakar76-72
25/04/26AClub Africain68-69
01/06/24APetro Atletico94-107
29/05/24ARivers Hoopers89-83 OT
24/05/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)78-89
24/05/24HCape Town87-76
Ville de Dakarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/26HAl Ahly93-90
03/05/26AMaktown Flyers (Nga)79-62
02/05/26HJCA Kings (Ivo)83-75
29/04/26AFUS Rabat (Mar)67-66
26/04/26HAl Ahly72-76
24/04/26HClub Africain79-85
04/05/25AMonastir68-77
03/05/25APetro Atletico67-76
01/05/25HKriol Star92-95 OT
29/04/25HPetro Atletico65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahly
BAL 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %67%100%60%
Points / game80.889.079.2
Allowed / game75.080.074.0
Point differential+5.8+9.0+5.2
Avg total155.8169.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%20%
Ville de Dakar
BAL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.881.873.0
Allowed / game75.781.564.0
Point differential+3.2+0.2+9.0
Avg total154.5163.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 RSSB Tigers (Rwa)65183%96.387.8+8.5
2 Petro Atletico64267%94.377.7+16.7
3 Al Ahly Benghazi64267%101.390.5+10.8
4 Al Ahly64267%80.875.0+5.8
5 Ville de Dakar64267%78.875.7+3.2
6 Club Africain64267%79.076.2+2.8
7 FUS Rabat (Mar)63350%77.072.3+4.7
8 Dar City (Tan)63350%90.393.2-2.8
9 Nairobi City Thunder52340%81.490.2-8.8
10 Maktown Flyers (Nga)51420%73.483.8-10.4
11 JCA Kings (Ivo)5050%67.481.6-14.2
12 Joburg Giants (Rsa)5050%71.497.6-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahly1513322787
Ville de Dakar1816251776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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