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Al-Fateh vs Al-Hilal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-108 (OT)
28-26 26-15 17-21 24-33 6-13
Position#6
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game85.7
Al-Fateh
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al-Hilal 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game66.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 8· Ministry of Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal
16 Dec 2023
AL-F101
AL-H108
07 Oct 2022
AL-F102
AL-H85
17 Jan 2022
AL-F77
AL-H100
18 Dec 2020
AL-F89
AL-H85
25 Oct 2019
AL-F89
AL-H78
26 Jan 2019
AL-F83
AL-H71
21 Apr 2018
AL-F103
AL-H79
24 Nov 2017
AL-F74
AL-H78
20 Jan 2017
AL-F86
AL-H70
05 Mar 2016
AL-F77
AL-H65
05 Dec 2014
AL-F81
AL-H68
15 Mar 2014
AL-F84
AL-H80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Hilal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
A18/03
Premier League
Dbae
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H24/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
no box
A31/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
94-57
94
57
+37
98avg 78
H20/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
A23/10
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 78
H27/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
82avg 78
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
77-96
77
96
-19
76avg 78
A06/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
94-101
94
101
-7
61avg 78
H10/11
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 78
A17/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
23-15
21-14
29-16
21-16
28-16
25-19
12-30
10-25
24-24
23-15
18-26
28-4
19-18
27-17
20-18
29-14
25-31
19-23
24-29
20-23
25-22
19-20
24-12
26-22
13-15
26-18
18-21
10-25
22-27
23-27
22-17
26-28
30-21
18-29
20-23
20-19
25-13
13-27
13-19
171.5Avg total
87.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.485.7174.1+2.743%
Season at home (3)92.078.3170.3+13.767%
Season away (4)85.891.2177.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)87.384.2171.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)82.685.6168.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.378.3147.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)86.485.7172.1+0.833%
vs Weaker (18)90.078.5168.5+11.583%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#4
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
no box
H17/04
WASL
Al Manama
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A24/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
113-69
113
69
+44
110avg 94
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
107-60
107
60
+47
61avg 94
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
104-46
104
46
+58
109avg 94
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
81-71
81
71
+10
73avg 94
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
103-65
103
65
+38
103avg 94
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
112-82
112
82
+30
no box
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
108-71
108
71
+37
106avg 94
H17/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-14
18-23
10-15
21-16
9-22
25-27
16-21
17-21
22-23
14-19
23-25
29-17
35-21
22-18
27-13
23-13
35-14
29-20
20-13
27-6
28-21
22-5
27-14
23-22
19-8
13-28
26-13
27-16
24-17
32-15
20-17
24-11
37-23
26-27
25-21
23-14
38-10
24-30
23-17
167.3Avg total
95.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)104.066.3170.3+37.7100%
Season at home (5)107.062.2169.2+44.8100%
Season away (2)96.576.5173.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.372.0167.3+23.370%
Last 5 (5)101.667.0168.6+34.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)81.983.7165.6-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.973.6168.5+21.382%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +9.6+9.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +9.6+9.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
Al-FatehAl-Hilal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/03
Premier League
Dbae
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H24/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A31/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H20/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/10
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H27/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A06/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/11
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A17/11
Premier League
84.8Avg total
44.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.985.0+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.685.2+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.084.9+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.484.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.086.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.344.776.0-13.30%-
vs Similar (9)44.145.689.7-1.433%-
vs Weaker (18)46.337.984.2+8.483%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/04
WASL
Al Manama
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
61-24
61
24
+37
H17/11
Premier League
82.6Avg total
50.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.437.184.5+10.373%-
Last 30 at home (19)48.935.484.3+13.684%-
Last 30 away (11)44.640.184.7+4.555%-
Last 10 (10)50.132.582.6+17.680%-
Last 5 (5)54.029.683.6+24.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)49.236.185.4+13.177%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.7
55.1%
53.6%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.2
34.9%
32.3%30.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.128.7
69.8%
53.6%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.1
39.2%
32.3%36.4
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
71.9%
68.3%9.9
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/7 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Fateh
LLLWWLWLWW
Al-Hilal
WWWWWWWLLL
#6
League position
#1
+5.1
Net rating
+47.8
107.2
Offensive rating
129.6
102.1
Defensive rating
81.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
65.0%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.9%
3-point %
39.2%
76.0%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 129.6Defence102.1 · 81.8Shooting53.9% · 65.0%3-point %34.9% · 39.2%Ball care18.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Al-Fateh   ■ Al-Hilal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al-Fateh wins
4
Al-Hilal wins
DateGameScore
06/01/23Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh92-85
07/10/22Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal102-85
17/01/22Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal77-100
25/10/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh97-63
14/04/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh76-65
05/03/21Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh72-79
18/12/20Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal89-85 OT
10/01/20Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh89-93
25/10/19Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal89-78
26/01/19Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal83-71
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AAl Nasr71-78
10/11/23HAl Ittihad94-101
06/11/23AAl Ahli77-96
03/11/23AAl Khaleej83-76
27/10/23HAl Safa of Safwa88-77
23/10/23AAl Wehda112-115 OT
20/10/23HOhod94-57
31/03/23AAl Nasr75-90
24/03/23HDbae86-81
18/03/23AAl Taawon93-71
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HAl Salam108-71
10/11/23AAl Safa of Safwa112-82
06/11/23HAl Khaleej103-65
03/11/23AOhod81-71
27/10/23HAl Wehda104-46
23/10/23HDbae107-60
20/10/23HAl Taawon113-69
08/05/23HAl-Ahli Dubai76-88
24/04/23AAl Manama71-86
17/04/23HAl Manama78-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game88.492.085.8
Allowed / game85.778.391.2
Point differential+2.7+13.7-5.5
Avg total174.1170.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.0107.096.5
Allowed / game66.362.276.5
Point differential+37.7+44.8+20.0
Avg total170.3169.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal770100%104.066.3+37.7
2 Al Nasr880100%89.569.4+20.1
3 Al Ittihad87188%91.478.8+12.6
4 Al Ahli86275%86.277.6+8.6
5 Al Wehda85362%91.280.1+11.1
6 Ohod84450%77.876.6+1.1
7 Al-Fateh73443%88.485.7+2.7
8 Al Khaleej83538%77.477.0+0.4
9 Al Safa of Safwa83538%77.284.0-6.8
10 Al Salam81712%70.484.6-14.2
11 Al Taawon8080%63.696.4-32.8
12 Dbae8080%63.999.5-35.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Al-Fateh282617246101
Al-Hilal2615213313108
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