Al-Fateh vs Al Khowildiah Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 69-55

19-12 14-12 20-12 16-19

Position#5

Record1-6

FormLLWLL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game87.0

Al-Fateh 🏆

Al Khowildiah

Position#10

Record0-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game66.7

Allowed / game92.1

Premier LeagueRound 8· Ministry of Sports Hall

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Al Khowildiah winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-Fateh

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAl-Fateh

Date

Competition

Dbae

#11

115-79

115

+36

no box

H15/03

Premier League

Al Taawon

#12

103-77

103

+26

106avg 83

A18/03

Premier League

Al Salam

83-59

+24

81avg 83

H22/03

Premier League

AlUla

81-108

108

-27

52avg 83

A25/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

82-92

-10

71avg 83

A28/10

Premier League

Al Ahli

74-99

-25

69avg 83

A02/12

Premier League

Al Khaleej

78-87

-9

65avg 83

H06/12

Premier League

Ohod

94-64

+30

95avg 83

H09/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

68-80

-12

63avg 83

H13/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

72-79

-7

64avg 83

A16/12

Premier League

35-18

31-16

31-19

18-26

31-16

22-18

17-21

33-22

22-13

23-13

27-24

11-9

25-32

19-20

22-25

15-31

21-27

9-22

29-21

23-22

23-23

13-26

19-29

19-21

25-27

22-18

13-16

18-26

25-20

24-8

24-16

21-20

18-20

20-12

15-20

15-28

25-15

25-11

10-23

12-30

167.4Avg total

85.0Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	78.4	87.0	165.4	-8.6	14%
Season at home (3)	80.0	77.0	157.0	+3.0	33%
Season away (4)	77.2	94.5	171.8	-17.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	82.4	167.4	+2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	81.8	159.0	-4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.0	94.0	172.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	86.8	167.8	-5.8	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	95.0	76.6	171.6	+18.4	75%

This opponent (Al Khowildiah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al Khowildiah Saudi Arabia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKhowildiah

Date

Competition

AlUla

70-97

-27

no box

H18/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

61-96

-35

36avg 45

A25/10

Premier League

Al Ahli

62-102

102

-40

46avg 45

A28/10

Premier League

Al Khaleej

62-69

-7

39avg 45

H02/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

61-95

-34

40avg 45

H06/12

Premier League

Ohod

92-94 OT

-2

80avg 45

H13/12

Premier League

Al Salam

59-92

-33

31avg 45

A16/12

Premier League

16-26

13-25

22-24

19-22

18-26

12-16

7-29

24-25

11-32

17-29

10-25

24-16

22-17

14-19

12-17

14-16

23-26

16-26

11-23

11-20

23-13

17-20

17-17

23-30

22-28

10-24

13-16

14-24

158.9Avg total

66.7Scored

92.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	66.7	92.1	158.9	-25.4	0%
Season at home (4)	71.2	88.8	160.0	-17.5	0%
Season away (3)	60.7	96.7	157.3	-36.0	0%
Last 10 (7)	66.7	92.1	158.9	-25.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	90.4	157.6	-23.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	62.5	91.8	154.3	-29.3	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	92.0	94.0	186.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Al-FatehAl Khowildiah

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	19.9	44.3	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	20.0	44.9	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	21.1	46.1	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	23.8	43.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	27.4	17.2	44.7	+10.2	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.7	29%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	17.0	28.7	45.7	-11.7	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.7	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.7	25.8	44.5	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	13.0	36.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.4	37.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	21.2	39.4	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	14.1	22.7	36.9	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	13.0	23.0	36.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	14.1	22.7	36.9	-8.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.6	38.4	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	13.7	23.2	36.8	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dbae

#11

66-34

+32

H15/03

Premier League

Al Taawon

#12

53-34

+19

A18/03

Premier League

Al Salam

45-26

+19

H22/03

Premier League

AlUla

44-52

-8

A25/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

30-49

-19

A28/10

Premier League

Al Ahli

36-49

-13

A02/12

Premier League

Al Khaleej

47-45

H06/12

Premier League

Ohod

49-28

+21

H09/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

38-32

H13/12

Premier League

Al Safa of Safwa

50-26

+24

A16/12

Premier League

83.3Avg total

45.8Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	39.5	85.1	+6.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	38.2	84.9	+8.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	37.5	83.3	+8.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	36.0	80.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.2	45.0	83.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	46.2	43.7	89.8	+2.5	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	49.0	35.2	84.2	+13.8	75%	-

This opponent (Al Khowildiah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al KhowildiahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AlUla

29-51

-22

H18/10

Premier League

Al Nasr

30-42

-12

A25/10

Premier League

Al Ahli

28-61

-33

A28/10

Premier League

Al Khaleej

36-36

H02/12

Premier League

Al Ittihad

39-52

-13

H06/12

Premier League

Ohod

40-33

H13/12

Premier League

Al Salam

32-52

-20

A16/12

Premier League

80.1Avg total

33.4Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	33.4	46.7	80.1	-13.3	14%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (3)	30.0	51.7	81.7	-21.7	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	33.4	46.7	80.1	-13.3	14%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	46.8	81.8	-11.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.3	49.0	81.3	-16.7	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	33.0	73.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.1	42.3	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	21.2	38.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	13.1	21.6	34.7	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	15.5	20.2	35.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	10.0	23.3	33.3	-13.3	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	13.1	21.6	34.7	-8.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	19.6	32.2	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	12.5	22.3	34.8	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.1	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	14%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.7	21.7	42.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	14%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	30.0	53.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	42.7	84.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	46.2	87.2	-5.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	44.9	84.1	-5.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	45.8	79.0	-12.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.0	47.4	86.4	-8.4	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.8	43.2	78.0	-8.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.1	40.2	85.3	+4.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	31.6	43.4	75.0	-11.9	0%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	32.2	42.2	74.5	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	30.7	45.0	75.7	-14.3	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	31.6	43.4	75.0	-11.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	40.8	70.6	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.2	42.8	73.0	-12.7	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	47.0	87.0	-7.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 81.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	21.5	56.4%	50.2%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.6	33.6%	30.3%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	15.3	9.4	61.4%	67.8%	9.4

They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Al Khowildiahtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Khowildiah: 66.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game

51%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	15.2	39.8%	50.2%	30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.4	8.6	23.6%	30.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	17.2	9.8	57.0%	67.8%	9.8

They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.8	51.5%	50.2%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	7.9	28.6%	30.3%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.6	72.0%	67.8%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.4	27.0	53.6%	50.2%	54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.0	6.6	36.7%	30.3%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.0	66.4%	67.8%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	22.2	58.8%	50.2%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.2	36.0%	30.3%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.6	70.5%	67.8%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.3	50.9%	50.2%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	8.2	29.3%	30.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.0	68.4%	67.8%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.4	27.0	53.6%	50.2%	54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.0	6.6	36.7%	30.3%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.0	66.4%	67.8%	17.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Al-Fateh

LLWLLLLWWW

Al Khowildiah

LLLLLLL

League position

#10

+0.4

Net rating

-30.1

104.3

Offensive rating

80.2

104.0

Defensive rating

110.3

53.8%

Effective FG%

37.7%

48.1%

Opp. effective FG%

53.9%

20.2%

Turnover %

15.3%

30.3%

Off. rebound %

23.3%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.23

33.6%

3-point %

23.6%

61.1%

Assist %

51.3%

40%

Form (last 10/7)

Profile

■ Al-Fateh ■ Al Khowildiah

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Al-Fateh wins

Al Khowildiah wins

No previous meetings.

Al-Fatehlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/24	A	Al Safa of Safwa	72-79
13/12/24	H	Al Ittihad	68-80
09/12/24	H	Ohod	94-64
06/12/24	H	Al Khaleej	78-87
02/12/24	A	Al Ahli	74-99
28/10/24	A	Al Nasr	82-92
25/10/24	A	AlUla	81-108
22/03/24	H	Al Salam	83-59
18/03/24	A	Al Taawon	103-77
15/03/24	H	Dbae	115-79

Al Khowildiahlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/24	A	Al Salam	59-92
13/12/24	H	Ohod	92-94 OT
06/12/24	H	Al Ittihad	61-95
02/12/24	H	Al Khaleej	62-69
28/10/24	A	Al Ahli	62-102
25/10/24	A	Al Nasr	61-96
18/10/24	H	AlUla	70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	14%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	14%	33%	0%
Points / game	78.4	80.0	77.2
Allowed / game	87.0	77.0	94.5
Point differential	-8.6	+3.0	-17.2
Avg total	165.4	157.0	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Al Khowildiah

Premier League 2024-25

Recent: 0 Wins / 7 Losses (last 7)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	66.7	71.2	60.7
Allowed / game	92.1	88.8	96.7
Point differential	-25.4	-17.5	-36.0
Avg total	158.9	160.0	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	14%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Al Ahli	7	7	0	100%	91.7	67.6	+24.1
2	Al Ittihad	7	7	0	100%	83.3	68.1	+15.1
3	Al Nasr	7	6	1	86%	94.7	76.3	+18.4
4	AlUla	7	5	2	71%	98.3	71.4	+26.9
5	Al Salam	7	3	4	43%	82.1	78.7	+3.4
6	Al Safa of Safwa	7	3	4	43%	69.0	82.9	-13.9
7	Al Khaleej	7	2	5	29%	66.9	79.1	-12.3
8	Al-Fateh	7	1	6	14%	78.4	87.0	-8.6
9	Ohod	7	1	6	14%	75.6	103.4	-27.9
10	Al Khowildiah	7	0	7	0%	66.7	92.1	-25.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Al-Fateh	19	14	20	16	69
Al Khowildiah	12	12	12	19	55

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Al-Fateh vs Al Khowildiah Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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