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Al-Fateh vs AlUla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-102
12-29 19-23 21-26 24-24
Position#5
Record4-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game81.8
vs
AlUla 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#2
Record8-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game72.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 11· Ministry of Sports Hall
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AlUla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
AlUla
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
52avg 77
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 77
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
69avg 77
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 77
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
94-64
94
64
+30
95avg 77
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
63avg 77
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 77
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
69-55
69
55
+14
54avg 77
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 77
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
75avg 77
A30/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
19-20
22-25
15-31
21-27
9-22
29-21
23-22
23-23
13-26
19-29
19-21
25-27
22-18
13-16
18-26
25-20
24-8
24-16
21-20
18-20
20-12
15-20
15-28
25-15
25-11
10-23
12-30
19-12
14-12
20-12
16-19
19-26
18-24
15-14
30-14
12-22
16-5
25-30
17-13
160.2Avg total
78.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.481.8160.2-3.440%
Season at home (4)77.271.5148.8+5.850%
Season away (6)79.288.7167.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)78.481.8160.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)75.073.6148.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
vs Similar (6)82.284.8167.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (16)91.774.0165.7+17.781%
This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlUlaSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlUla
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
A18/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
108-81
108
81
+27
98avg 98
H25/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
85-49
85
49
+36
82avg 98
A28/10
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
144-91
144
91
+53
149avg 98
A02/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
110-57
110
57
+53
112avg 98
H06/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 98
H13/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 98
A16/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
88-57
88
57
+31
88avg 98
A20/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
128-96
128
96
+32
128avg 98
H27/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
104avg 98
H30/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
25-13
24-22
22-19
32-25
20-19
25-22
31-15
20-10
21-11
23-13
21-15
35-16
38-22
43-21
28-32
29-13
26-10
27-16
28-18
16-23
15-24
20-21
29-17
16-22
18-16
19-11
11-18
28-14
22-16
13-15
25-12
21-11
32-20
33-30
42-35
24-21
24-14
31-12
24-23
173.0Avg total
100.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)100.772.3173.0+28.480%
Season at home (5)105.877.8183.6+28.080%
Season away (5)95.666.8162.4+28.880%
Last 10 (10)100.772.3173.0+28.480%
Last 5 (5)92.675.0167.6+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)100.772.3173.0+28.480%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +5.7+5.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +5.7+5.7
Al-FatehAlUla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AlUla
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/10
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A30/12
Premier League
77.4Avg total
39.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.083.3+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.638.484.0+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.682.8+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.869.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.245.083.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (6)46.743.890.5+2.883%-
vs Weaker (16)46.534.280.7+12.375%-
This opponent (AlUla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlUlaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A18/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H25/10
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A28/10
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
73-38
73
38
+35
A02/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H06/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H27/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/12
Premier League
82.4Avg total
48.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)48.833.682.4+15.280%-
Last 30 at home (5)47.836.083.8+11.880%-
Last 30 away (5)49.831.281.0+18.680%-
Last 10 (10)48.833.682.4+15.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.833.682.4+15.280%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
50.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.6
31.0%
30.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.0
64.9%
67.8%12.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AlUlatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AlUla: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.025.0
59.5%
50.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.414.0
40.7%
30.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
71.9%
67.8%13.1
They take 76.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Fateh
WWWLLWLLLL
AlUla
WWWLLWWWWW
#5
League position
#2
-0.1
Net rating
+39.6
100.3
Offensive rating
127.7
100.4
Defensive rating
88.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
60.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.0%
3-point %
40.7%
58.7%
Assist %
55.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 127.7Defence100.4 · 88.1Shooting49.9% · 60.2%3-point %31.0% · 40.7%Ball care19.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 36.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Al-Fateh   ■ AlUla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Al-Fateh wins
1
AlUla wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24AlUla v Al-Fateh108-81
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AOhod84-76 OT
27/12/24AAl Salam82-78
20/12/24HAl Khowildiah69-55
16/12/24AAl Safa of Safwa72-79
13/12/24HAl Ittihad68-80
09/12/24HOhod94-64
06/12/24HAl Khaleej78-87
02/12/24AAl Ahli74-99
28/10/24AAl Nasr82-92
25/10/24AAlUla81-108
AlUlalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HAl Khowildiah103-70
27/12/24HAl Nasr128-96
20/12/24AAl Salam88-57
16/12/24AAl Ittihad64-67
13/12/24HAl Ahli80-85
06/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa110-57
02/12/24AOhod144-91
28/10/24AAl Khaleej85-49
25/10/24HAl-Fateh108-81
18/10/24AAl Khowildiah97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game78.477.279.2
Allowed / game81.871.588.7
Point differential-3.4+5.8-9.5
Avg total160.2148.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
AlUla
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW80%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game100.7105.895.6
Allowed / game72.377.866.8
Point differential+28.4+28.0+28.8
Avg total173.0183.6162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad10100100%84.566.9+17.6
2 Al Ahli109190%91.872.8+19.0
3 AlUla108280%100.772.3+28.4
4 Al Nasr107370%95.484.6+10.8
5 Al-Fateh104640%78.481.8-3.4
6 Al Safa of Safwa104640%69.881.4-11.6
7 Al Salam103730%78.181.3-3.2
8 Al Khaleej103730%68.779.2-10.5
9 Ohod102820%73.696.7-23.1
10 Al Khowildiah100100%65.689.6-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Fateh1219212476
AlUla29232624102
← all games of the day
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