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Al-Fateh vs Dbae Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 115-79
35-18 31-16 31-19 18-26
Position#6
Record9-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#11
Record2-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game99.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 20· Ministry of Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Fateh v Dbae
15 Mar 2024
AL-F115
DBAE79
24 Mar 2023
AL-F86
DBAE81
03 Dec 2021
AL-F101
DBAE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dbae winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
97-62
97
62
+35
102avg 86
H29/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 86
A01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
83avg 86
H12/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
97-102
97
102
-5
91avg 86
A19/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
104-83
104
83
+21
113avg 86
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 86
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
88avg 86
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 86
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
85avg 86
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
62avg 86
A11/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
18-11
20-12
28-15
30-13
20-23
23-20
26-18
17-19
16-22
23-12
22-22
26-22
17-22
22-33
32-25
30-26
16-22
31-24
27-11
19-18
18-31
17-17
16-22
27-17
27-30
24-24
10-23
30-12
25-23
14-26
20-31
24-14
17-26
15-16
24-15
17-19
18-17
21-21
15-24
169.5Avg total
87.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.783.4173.1+6.447%
Season at home (9)89.680.2169.8+9.367%
Season away (10)89.986.2176.1+3.730%
Last 10 (10)87.382.2169.5+5.150%
Last 5 (5)79.685.2164.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.888.0165.8-10.220%
vs Similar (7)80.786.3167.0-5.614%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.177.7170.8+15.483%
This opponent (Dbae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DbaeSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDbae
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#9
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A29/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
54-103
54
103
-49
36avg 57
H19/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
58avg 57
A22/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
105-122
105
122
-17
98avg 57
A26/01
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
84-123
84
123
-39
69avg 57
H29/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
83-102
83
102
-19
66avg 57
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
90-136
90
136
-46
72avg 57
H05/02
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 57
H12/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
67avg 57
A08/03
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
107-98
107
98
+9
69avg 57
H11/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
8-29
12-29
16-25
18-20
17-23
23-31
19-28
13-16
19-30
16-29
35-24
35-39
18-29
16-23
25-34
25-37
16-29
20-24
28-25
19-24
20-39
23-31
18-40
29-26
16-20
31-16
17-22
25-21
16-16
29-33
13-23
24-26
26-19
24-19
32-27
25-33
174.5Avg total
76.6Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.199.3169.4-29.311%
Season at home (10)77.0101.4178.4-24.420%
Season away (9)62.397.0159.3-34.70%
Last 10 (10)76.697.9174.5-21.320%
Last 5 (5)90.2102.6192.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.796.0166.7-25.44%
vs Similar (3)75.375.0150.3+0.367%
vs Weaker (2)71.079.5150.5-8.550%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
Al-FatehDbae
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H29/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H12/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A11/03
Premier League
85.4Avg total
44.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.784.3+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.883.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.239.684.9+5.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.185.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.485.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.243.882.0-5.620%-
vs Similar (7)44.443.487.9+1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.437.183.6+9.378%-
This opponent (Dbae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DbaeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
20-58
20
58
-38
H19/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A22/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A26/01
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H29/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H05/02
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/03
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H11/03
Premier League
91.0Avg total
38.9Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.949.285.1-13.421%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.647.183.7-10.428%-
Last 30 away (11)34.652.887.5-18.29%-
Last 10 (9)38.952.191.0-13.222%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.293.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.351.586.8-16.117%-
vs Similar (3)40.039.079.0+1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)36.038.074.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.8
60.6%
53.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.4
37.5%
32.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws13.49.7
72.4%
68.3%9.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dbaetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dbae: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.3
50.6%
53.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.9
28.3%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.4
73.1%
68.3%14.4
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Fateh
LWLLLWLWWW
Dbae
WLWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#11
+6.5
Net rating
-28.1
109.8
Offensive rating
94.0
103.3
Defensive rating
122.0
58.8%
Effective FG%
47.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
21.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.5%
3-point %
28.3%
66.0%
Assist %
40.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 94.0Defence103.3 · 122.0Shooting58.8% · 47.0%3-point %37.5% · 28.3%Ball care21.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Al-Fateh   ■ Dbae
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al-Fateh wins
0
Dbae wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Dbae v Al-Fateh54-112
24/03/23Al-Fateh v Dbae86-81
28/11/22Dbae v Al-Fateh83-96
04/02/22Dbae v Al-Fateh71-88
03/12/21Al-Fateh v Dbae101-65
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24AAl-Hilal71-81
08/03/24HAl Nasr80-71
05/02/24AOhod89-92
02/02/24AAl Ittihad88-94
26/01/24HAl Ahli70-88
22/01/24HAl Khaleej104-83
19/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa97-102
12/01/24HAl Wehda78-75
01/01/24AAl Salam99-74
29/12/23HAl Taawon97-62
Dbaelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HAl Khaleej107-98
08/03/24AAl Safa of Safwa82-98
12/02/24HAl Taawon89-79
05/02/24HAl-Hilal90-136
02/02/24HAl Wehda83-102
29/01/24HAl Nasr84-123
26/01/24AOhod105-122
22/01/24AAl Ittihad72-98
19/01/24HAl Ahli54-103
29/12/23AAl Salam0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game89.789.689.9
Allowed / game83.480.286.2
Point differential+6.4+9.3+3.7
Avg total173.1169.8176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Dbae
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW11%
HomeLLLWW20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game70.177.062.3
Allowed / game99.3101.497.0
Point differential-29.3-24.4-34.7
Avg total169.4178.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1917289%91.277.4+13.8
2 Al-Hilal1916384%100.078.4+21.6
3 Al Ahli2016480%88.472.3+16.1
4 Al Nasr2016480%87.674.2+13.4
5 Ohod1912763%85.681.4+4.2
6 Al-Fateh1991047%89.783.4+6.4
7 Al Wehda2091145%84.083.8+0.1
8 Al Salam2081240%72.579.5-7.0
9 Al Safa of Safwa1961332%79.687.8-8.3
10 Al Khaleej2061430%80.085.5-5.5
11 Dbae1921711%70.199.3-29.3
12 Al Taawon200200%69.094.1-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Fateh35313118115
Dbae1816192679
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