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Al-Hilal vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-86
30-22 18-23 20-22 15-19
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game72.6
Al-Hilal
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.9
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 10· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al-Hilal v Al Ahli
29 Dec 2023
AL-H83
AL A86
22 Sep 2022
AL-H81
AL A96
28 Jan 2022
AL-H111
AL A87
15 Jan 2021
AL-H76
AL A68
26 Mar 2019
AL-H68
AL A61
26 Feb 2019
AL-H83
AL A70
21 Dec 2017
AL-H88
AL A89
24 Feb 2017
AL-H81
AL A93
21 Nov 2015
AL-H52
AL A72
02 Apr 2015
AL-H20
AL A0
02 Nov 2013
AL-H65
AL A57
20 Dec 2012
AL-H69
AL A79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Hilal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
113-69
113
69
+44
110avg 90
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
107-60
107
60
+47
61avg 90
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
104-46
104
46
+58
109avg 90
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
81-71
81
71
+10
73avg 90
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
103-65
103
65
+38
103avg 90
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
112-82
112
82
+30
no box
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
108-71
108
71
+37
106avg 90
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
A16/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 90
A23/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
22-23
14-19
23-25
29-17
35-21
22-18
27-13
23-13
35-14
29-20
20-13
27-6
28-21
22-5
27-14
23-22
19-8
13-28
26-13
27-16
24-17
32-15
20-17
24-11
37-23
26-27
25-21
23-14
38-10
24-30
23-17
26-28
15-26
21-17
33-24
23-24
23-23
21-15
14-26
173.4Avg total
99.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)101.972.6174.4+29.389%
Season at home (5)107.062.2169.2+44.8100%
Season away (4)95.585.5181.0+10.075%
Last 10 (10)99.374.1173.4+25.280%
Last 5 (5)102.481.4183.8+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
vs Similar (6)82.383.0165.3-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.375.4169.7+18.978%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Sitra Club
#12
W
124-85
124
85
+39
no box
H07/12
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
92-110
92
110
-18
85avg 77
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 77
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 77
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 77
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A21/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 77
H23/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 77
A23/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
85-62
85
62
+23
77avg 77
A26/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
36-22
38-21
22-22
21-23
23-20
25-35
23-32
19-22
16-21
23-11
21-16
19-28
27-22
17-17
24-27
16-20
14-15
18-20
13-26
11-11
23-16
17-25
25-12
20-24
17-16
13-7
17-29
10-22
20-26
15-21
28-20
20-13
22-20
10-25
20-23
22-19
19-11
23-10
21-22
162.8Avg total
81.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.878.9163.7+5.967%
Season at home (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Season away (4)82.075.8157.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)81.681.2162.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)74.674.4149.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)89.5102.0191.5-12.50%
vs Similar (9)80.884.4165.2-3.733%
vs Weaker (19)84.971.3156.2+13.679%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Al-HilalAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
61-24
61
24
+37
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A16/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/12
Premier League
87.6Avg total
51.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.938.084.9+8.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.335.884.1+12.483%-
Last 30 away (12)44.941.286.2+3.750%-
Last 10 (10)51.835.887.6+16.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.038.490.4+13.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (6)42.839.582.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.237.886.0+10.470%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sitra Club
#12
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H07/12
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H23/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/12
QBL
79.4Avg total
40.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.638.279.8+3.366%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.341.384.6+2.050%-
Last 30 away (15)39.935.375.3+4.680%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.179.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.046.591.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)41.743.485.1-1.856%-
vs Weaker (18)41.134.775.8+6.472%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.127.1
66.0%
53.6%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.912.1
39.3%
32.3%36.4
🏀 Free throws13.610.0
73.4%
68.3%10.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.522.9
48.2%
53.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.4
30.6%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
68.3%12.7
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Hilal
LWWWWWWWWL
Al Ahli
WLLLWLLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+40.5
Net rating
+3.4
126.0
Offensive rating
104.2
85.5
Defensive rating
100.9
62.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.3%
3-point %
30.6%
60.8%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence126.0 · 104.2Defence85.5 · 100.9Shooting62.9% · 47.4%3-point %39.3% · 30.6%Ball care15.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 35.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Al-Hilal   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al-Hilal wins
4
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
14/12/22Al Ahli v Al-Hilal76-72
22/09/22Al-Hilal v Al Ahli81-96
28/01/22Al-Hilal v Al Ahli111-87
05/11/21Al Ahli v Al-Hilal83-89
25/03/21Al Ahli v Al-Hilal67-88
15/01/21Al-Hilal v Al Ahli76-68
30/03/19Al Ahli v Al-Hilal79-76
26/03/19Al-Hilal v Al Ahli68-61
23/03/19Al Ahli v Al-Hilal80-77
26/02/19Al-Hilal v Al Ahli83-70
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AAl Ittihad81-88
16/12/23AAl-Fateh108-101 OT
17/11/23HAl Salam108-71
10/11/23AAl Safa of Safwa112-82
06/11/23HAl Khaleej103-65
03/11/23AOhod81-71
27/10/23HAl Wehda104-46
23/10/23HDbae107-60
20/10/23HAl Taawon113-69
08/05/23HAl-Ahli Dubai76-88
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23AAl Khor85-62
23/12/23AAl Shamal72-81
23/12/23HAl Nasr73-89
21/12/23AAl Najma67-76
17/12/23AQatar Sports76-64
15/12/23AAl Wehda61-81
14/12/23HAl Manama87-94
13/12/23HAl Arabi79-70
11/12/23HKuwait SC92-110
07/12/23HSitra Club124-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game101.9107.095.5
Allowed / game72.662.285.5
Point differential+29.3+44.8+10.0
Avg total174.4169.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%25%
Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game84.887.082.0
Allowed / game78.981.475.8
Point differential+5.9+5.6+6.2
Avg total163.7168.4157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Nasr990100%89.469.8+19.7
2 Al-Hilal98189%101.972.6+29.3
3 Al Ittihad98189%91.079.0+12.0
4 Al Wehda96367%90.280.1+10.1
5 Al Ahli96367%84.878.9+5.9
6 Ohod95456%80.078.1+1.9
7 Al-Fateh94544%92.484.7+7.8
8 Al Khaleej93633%77.777.6+0.1
9 Al Safa of Safwa93633%78.785.6-6.9
10 Al Salam92722%70.481.8-11.3
11 Al Taawon9090%63.193.6-30.4
12 Dbae9090%62.8100.9-38.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Hilal3018201583
Al Ahli2223221986
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