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Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-81
24-23 23-23 15-21 26-14
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game70.6
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 9· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal
23 Dec 2023
AL I88
AL-H81
10 Oct 2022
AL I86
AL-H74
14 Mar 2022
AL I82
AL-H99
10 Dec 2021
AL I86
AL-H70
08 Jan 2021
AL I73
AL-H75
06 Mar 2020
AL I66
AL-H68
07 Oct 2019
AL I78
AL-H74
11 Jan 2019
AL I83
AL-H71
19 Apr 2018
AL I74
AL-H75
17 Apr 2018
AL I79
AL-H72
08 Mar 2018
AL I85
AL-H86
17 Mar 2017
AL I88
AL-H63
19 Dec 2015
AL I92
AL-H73
20 Nov 2014
AL I76
AL-H71
07 Dec 2013
AL I97
AL-H70
27 Dec 2012
AL I44
AL-H54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ittihad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Hilal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Naft Al Janoob
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
79avg 79
H16/11
WASL
Al Wehda
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
75avg 79
H17/11
Premier League
Samaheej
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
no box
H22/11
Premier League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
70-121
70
121
-51
51avg 79
A29/11
WASL
Al Najma
#6
W
116-101
116
101
+15
no box
H05/12
Premier League
ISSA Town
#10
W
115-90
115
90
+25
no box
A09/12
Premier League
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 79
H14/12
WASL
Ohod
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 79
A15/12
Premier League
Bahrain U18
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
H16/12
Premier League
Bahrain Club
#9
W
119-61
119
61
+58
no box
A22/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-17
23-17
18-19
25-12
13-22
26-27
22-24
35-19
34-26
23-21
20-19
20-28
18-32
15-34
17-27
24-31
37-16
25-25
30-29
33-15
30-17
27-28
25-30
15-25
15-22
23-24
19-10
26-28
21-28
21-11
21-24
30-20
28-19
21-23
28-28
35-15
31-11
21-21
32-14
184.2Avg total
96.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.478.8170.1+12.688%
Season at home (4)91.276.2167.5+15.0100%
Season away (4)91.581.2172.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)96.587.7184.2+8.870%
Last 5 (5)100.482.6183.0+17.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.0101.0172.0-30.00%
vs Similar (10)92.093.4185.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (18)97.879.8177.6+18.189%
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Hilal
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A24/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
113-69
113
69
+44
110avg 94
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
107-60
107
60
+47
61avg 94
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
104-46
104
46
+58
109avg 94
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
81-71
81
71
+10
73avg 94
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
103-65
103
65
+38
103avg 94
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
112-82
112
82
+30
no box
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
108-71
108
71
+37
106avg 94
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
A16/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
9-22
25-27
16-21
17-21
22-23
14-19
23-25
29-17
35-21
22-18
27-13
23-13
35-14
29-20
20-13
27-6
28-21
22-5
27-14
23-22
19-8
13-28
26-13
27-16
24-17
32-15
20-17
24-11
37-23
26-27
25-21
23-14
38-10
24-30
23-17
26-28
15-26
21-17
33-24
172.2Avg total
98.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)104.570.6175.1+33.9100%
Season at home (5)107.062.2169.2+44.8100%
Season away (3)100.384.7185.0+15.7100%
Last 10 (10)98.373.9172.2+24.480%
Last 5 (5)102.478.0180.4+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)81.983.7165.6-1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.974.9169.8+20.082%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +6.2+6.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.7+7.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +6.2+6.2
Al IttihadAl-Hilal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Naft Al Janoob
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/11
WASL
Al Wehda
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H17/11
Premier League
Samaheej
#8
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H22/11
Premier League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A29/11
WASL
Al Najma
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H05/12
Premier League
ISSA Town
#10
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A09/12
Premier League
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H14/12
WASL
Ohod
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
Premier League
Bahrain U18
#11
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H16/12
Premier League
Bahrain Club
#9
W
66-26
66
26
+40
A22/12
Premier League
93.0Avg total
50.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)48.143.691.6+4.559%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.543.291.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (14)47.643.991.5+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)50.842.293.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)52.840.092.8+12.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.053.587.5-19.50%-
vs Similar (10)51.151.6102.7-0.540%-
vs Weaker (17)47.937.685.6+10.376%-
This opponent (Al-Hilal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-HilalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/04
WASL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/05
WASL
Al Taawon
#12
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H20/10
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H23/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H27/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A10/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
61-24
61
24
+37
H17/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A16/12
Premier League
85.1Avg total
50.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.738.084.7+8.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.335.884.1+12.483%-
Last 30 away (12)44.341.285.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)50.234.985.1+15.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.235.086.2+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.337.485.7+11.073%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.4
51.4%
53.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
68.3%13.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Hilaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Hilal: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.128.7
69.8%
53.6%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.1
39.2%
32.3%36.4
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
71.9%
68.3%9.9
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ittihad
WWLLWWLWWW
Al-Hilal
WWWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#1
+7.2
Net rating
+47.8
105.8
Offensive rating
129.6
98.7
Defensive rating
81.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
65.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.4%
3-point %
39.2%
57.3%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 129.6Defence98.7 · 81.8Shooting52.1% · 65.0%3-point %35.4% · 39.2%Ball care18.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Al Ittihad   ■ Al-Hilal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Ittihad wins
5
Al-Hilal wins
DateGameScore
24/01/23Al-Hilal v Al Ittihad62-79
10/10/22Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal86-74
14/03/22Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal82-99
10/12/21Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal86-70
19/03/21Al-Hilal v Al Ittihad81-69 OT
08/01/21Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal73-75
06/03/20Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal66-68
05/03/20Al-Hilal v Al Ittihad75-63
30/12/19Al-Hilal v Al Ittihad94-103
07/10/19Al Ittihad v Al-Hilal78-74
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ABahrain Club119-61
16/12/23HBahrain U18107-90
15/12/23AOhod89-91
14/12/23HSagesse Beirut72-81
09/12/23AISSA Town115-90
05/12/23HAl Najma116-101
29/11/23AShahrdari Gorgan70-121
22/11/23HSamaheej112-85
17/11/23HAl Wehda86-85
16/11/23HNaft Al Janoob79-72
Al-Hilallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AAl-Fateh108-101 OT
17/11/23HAl Salam108-71
10/11/23AAl Safa of Safwa112-82
06/11/23HAl Khaleej103-65
03/11/23AOhod81-71
27/10/23HAl Wehda104-46
23/10/23HDbae107-60
20/10/23HAl Taawon113-69
08/05/23HAl-Ahli Dubai76-88
24/04/23AAl Manama71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ittihad
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game91.491.291.5
Allowed / game78.876.281.2
Point differential+12.6+15.0+10.2
Avg total170.1167.5172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Hilal
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.5107.0100.3
Allowed / game70.662.284.7
Point differential+33.9+44.8+15.7
Avg total175.1169.2185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal880100%104.570.6+33.9
2 Al Nasr990100%89.469.8+19.7
3 Al Ittihad87188%91.478.8+12.6
4 Al Wehda96367%90.280.1+10.1
5 Al Ahli96367%84.878.9+5.9
6 Ohod95456%80.078.1+1.9
7 Al-Fateh94544%92.484.7+7.8
8 Al Khaleej93633%77.777.6+0.1
9 Al Safa of Safwa93633%78.785.6-6.9
10 Al Salam92722%70.481.8-11.3
11 Al Taawon9090%63.193.6-30.4
12 Dbae9090%62.8100.9-38.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ittihad2423152688
Al-Hilal2323211481
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