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Al Khaleej vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-88
17-24 20-24 19-11 17-29
Position#6
Record5-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Al Nasr 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game82.7
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 16· Ministry of Sports Hall Nayef
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Khaleej v Al Nasr
03 Mar 2025
AL K73
AL N88
10 Nov 2023
AL K76
AL N95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Khaleej winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Nasr winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al KhaleejSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKhaleej
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#7
L
66-72
66
72
-6
49avg 60
H13/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
63avg 60
A16/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
76avg 60
H20/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 60
A27/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 60
H30/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
63-101
63
101
-38
50avg 60
A03/01
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
55-85
55
85
-30
34avg 60
A24/01
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
67-50
67
50
+17
64avg 60
H27/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
64avg 60
H31/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 60
A03/02
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
18-21
16-11
16-20
20-18
18-26
17-13
17-15
21-21
14-14
20-13
31-32
18-21
18-18
19-15
13-22
18-14
20-22
12-16
15-30
21-21
14-26
16-31
12-23
12-24
16-22
14-19
13-20
21-11
24-13
7-12
15-14
27-13
15-18
13-20
15-19
21-13
14-17
15-19
21-19
147.4Avg total
69.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.078.5146.5-10.533%
Season at home (7)67.175.1142.3-8.029%
Season away (8)68.881.5150.2-12.838%
Last 10 (10)69.478.0147.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)66.677.2143.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.188.6159.7-17.612%
vs Similar (7)79.382.9162.1-3.643%
vs Weaker (7)79.668.0147.6+11.671%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
102-75
102
75
+27
92avg 72
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
68avg 72
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
103-113
103
113
-10
85avg 72
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
96-128
96
128
-32
78avg 72
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
87avg 72
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 72
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 72
A24/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
56avg 72
H27/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
108-70
108
70
+38
105avg 72
H31/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
110-78
110
78
+32
105avg 72
A03/02
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
27-15
27-16
21-27
18-20
26-18
13-17
15-17
12-24
17-31
35-35
39-23
11-21
20-32
30-33
35-42
32-17
19-20
23-8
18-26
21-27
21-25
21-14
21-11
20-22
19-15
20-20
16-20
28-16
21-25
9-27
15-25
30-19
26-17
33-13
19-21
27-22
17-20
28-17
38-19
178.5Avg total
92.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.682.7176.3+10.967%
Season at home (7)92.475.4167.9+17.086%
Season away (8)94.689.1183.8+5.550%
Last 10 (10)92.785.8178.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)90.079.0169.0+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.293.8178.0-9.717%
vs Similar (5)69.679.4149.0-9.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.675.3169.9+19.389%
This opponent (Al Khaleej) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Al KhaleejAl Nasr
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al KhaleejLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H20/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A03/01
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A24/01
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H27/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/01
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A03/02
Premier League
73.9Avg total
36.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.579.4-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.976.4+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.345.182.4-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.373.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.244.478.6-10.119%-
vs Similar (7)41.741.783.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (7)42.434.777.1+7.743%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H31/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
Premier League
86.2Avg total
43.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.082.2+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.234.378.5+9.986%-
Last 30 away (16)42.343.185.4-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.386.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.687.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.843.882.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (5)35.037.672.6-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.737.884.5+8.984%-
This opponent (Al Khaleej) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Khaleejtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Khaleej: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.0
46.0%
50.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.4
25.0%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.311.6
63.4%
67.8%11.6
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.622.8
47.9%
50.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
30.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws27.619.9
72.1%
67.8%19.9
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Khaleej
WLWLLLLWLL
Al Nasr
WWLLWWLLWW
#6
League position
#4
-5.5
Net rating
+7.8
90.3
Offensive rating
108.3
95.8
Defensive rating
100.5
42.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
25.0%
3-point %
34.0%
43.6%
Assist %
45.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 108.3Defence95.8 · 100.5Shooting42.8% · 49.0%3-point %25.0% · 34.0%Ball care19.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 33.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Al Khaleej   ■ Al Nasr
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Khaleej wins
3
Al Nasr wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Al Nasr v Al Khaleej84-76 OT
02/02/24Al Nasr v Al Khaleej86-77
10/11/23Al Khaleej v Al Nasr76-95
04/01/13Al Nasr v Al Khaleej62-95
Al Khaleejlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25AAl Salam71-68
31/01/25HAl-Fateh77-82 OT
27/01/25HAl Khowildiah67-50
24/01/25AAlUla55-85
03/01/25AAl Ittihad63-101
30/12/24HAl Ahli65-82
27/12/24AOhod68-76
20/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa86-80
16/12/24AAl Nasr76-84 OT
13/12/24HAl Salam66-72
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25AAl Safa of Safwa110-78
31/01/25HOhod108-70
27/01/25HAl Ittihad73-93
24/01/25AAl-Fateh75-77
03/01/25AAl Khowildiah84-77
30/12/24HAl Salam92-71
27/12/24AAlUla96-128
20/12/24AAl Ahli103-113
16/12/24HAl Khaleej84-76 OT
13/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa102-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Khaleej
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game68.067.168.8
Allowed / game78.575.181.5
Point differential-10.5-8.0-12.8
Avg total146.5142.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game93.692.494.6
Allowed / game82.775.489.1
Point differential+10.9+17.0+5.5
Avg total176.3167.9183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad15150100%89.265.7+23.5
2 AlUla1513287%101.873.5+28.3
3 Al Ahli1513287%93.772.5+21.2
4 Al Nasr1510567%93.682.7+10.9
5 Al-Fateh156940%77.384.1-6.9
6 Al Salam1551033%76.782.3-5.7
7 Al Khaleej1551033%68.078.5-10.5
8 Al Safa of Safwa1541127%72.987.4-14.5
9 Ohod1531220%74.599.6-25.1
10 Al Khowildiah151147%66.487.5-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Khaleej1720191773
Al Nasr2424112988
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