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Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 113-103
24-12 31-17 35-35 23-39
Position#3
Record7-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game67.6
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Nasr
Saudi Arabia
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game76.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 8· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Nasr
20 Dec 2024
AL A113
AL N103
23 Dec 2023
AL A73
AL N89
28 Jan 2023
AL A69
AL N73
29 Oct 2021
AL A78
AL N86
12 Mar 2021
AL A68
AL N73
27 Oct 2018
AL A74
AL N66
19 Apr 2018
AL A80
AL N86
17 Apr 2018
AL A81
AL N88
01 Mar 2018
AL A93
AL N90
03 Mar 2017
AL A49
AL N55
12 Mar 2016
AL A78
AL N71
21 Apr 2015
AL A79
AL N66
26 Dec 2014
AL A67
AL N63
27 Dec 2012
AL A74
AL N44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
H02/12
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
99-74
99
74
+25
92avg 78
H02/12
Premier League
Al Bashaer
#14
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
A03/12
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 78
A06/12
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 78
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 78
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 78
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
96-65
96
65
+31
88avg 78
H16/12
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 78
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H16/12
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-21
9-17
19-5
23-23
26-13
29-19
21-19
16-13
28-17
21-14
25-8
33-22
22-21
15-18
17-19
26-18
6-21
22-22
24-26
22-16
20-16
23-14
32-22
23-16
24-15
21-20
17-29
20-11
26-16
23-11
27-27
18-21
18-19
23-25
15-18
16-12
17-17
23-17
7-31
156.0Avg total
83.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.767.6159.3+24.1100%
Season at home (4)98.865.5164.2+33.2100%
Season away (3)82.370.3152.7+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.372.7156.0+10.670%
Last 5 (5)83.074.6157.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.386.2163.5-8.920%
vs Similar (8)83.280.8164.0+2.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.863.4151.2+24.492%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
39avg 73
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
45avg 73
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
59-64
59
64
-5
44avg 73
A22/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
33avg 73
A18/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
96-61
96
61
+35
97avg 73
H25/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
85avg 73
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 73
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
122-84
122
84
+38
111avg 73
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
102-75
102
75
+27
92avg 73
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
68avg 73
H16/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
10-15
15-20
19-18
17-21
14-21
19-15
16-33
18-16
16-18
12-12
13-18
24-15
36-24
21-15
24-20
26-18
16-12
29-7
25-24
27-21
22-9
21-29
22-23
17-19
12-29
21-13
12-21
29-16
34-29
18-14
41-25
27-17
27-15
27-16
21-27
18-20
26-18
13-17
15-17
160.7Avg total
84.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.776.3171.0+18.486%
Season at home (4)93.573.5167.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)96.380.0176.3+16.367%
Last 10 (10)84.676.1160.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)92.479.8172.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.080.5156.5-4.525%
vs Similar (6)71.078.0149.0-7.033%
vs Weaker (20)94.073.7167.8+20.395%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
Al AhliAl Nasr
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/12
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H02/12
Premier League
Al Bashaer
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A03/12
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/12
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H16/12
WASL
76.6Avg total
42.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.380.6+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.437.082.4+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)41.137.778.8+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.676.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.872.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.942.682.5-2.750%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.178.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.633.180.7+14.592%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A18/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H25/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
63-45
63
45
+18
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Premier League
80.3Avg total
43.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.480.8+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.434.176.5+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)44.540.785.1+3.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.380.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.686.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.239.879.0-0.525%-
vs Similar (6)34.538.873.3-4.317%-
vs Weaker (20)47.036.583.5+10.585%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.5
55.9%
50.2%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.8
31.8%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.5
65.2%
67.8%13.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.523.4
46.3%
50.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.5
24.1%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
67.8%12.9
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLWWWLWWWW
Al Nasr
WWWLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#4
+18.7
Net rating
+8.6
107.5
Offensive rating
96.8
88.8
Defensive rating
88.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
42.8%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
24.1%
53.6%
Assist %
42.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 96.8Defence88.8 · 88.2Shooting53.3% · 42.8%3-point %31.8% · 24.1%Ball care16.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Nasr
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Nasr wins
DateGameScore
15/03/24Al Nasr v Al Ahli58-73
23/12/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr73-89
28/01/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr69-73
18/11/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli71-79
21/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli93-90
29/10/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr78-86
12/03/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr68-73
01/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ahli83-73
11/01/19Al Nasr v Al Ahli80-81
27/10/18Al Ahli v Al Nasr74-66
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HKuwait SC63-77
16/12/24HAl-Rayyan74-83
16/12/24HOhod96-65
13/12/24AAlUla85-80
12/12/24HAl Wakrah97-68
07/12/24AAl Sadd78-87
06/12/24AAl Salam87-80
03/12/24AAl Bashaer90-52
02/12/24HAl-Fateh99-74
02/12/24HAl Khor64-61
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HAl Khaleej84-76 OT
13/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa102-75
06/12/24AOhod122-84
02/12/24AAl Ittihad62-82
28/10/24HAl-Fateh92-82
25/10/24HAl Khowildiah96-61
18/10/24AAl Salam105-74
22/03/24AAl-Hilal59-64
18/03/24AAl Ittihad66-90
15/03/24HAl Ahli58-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.798.882.3
Allowed / game67.665.570.3
Point differential+24.1+33.2+12.0
Avg total159.3164.2152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game94.793.596.3
Allowed / game76.373.580.0
Point differential+18.4+20.0+16.3
Avg total171.0167.0176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli770100%91.767.6+24.1
2 Al Ittihad770100%83.368.1+15.1
3 Al Nasr76186%94.776.3+18.4
4 AlUla86275%97.069.6+27.4
5 Al Safa of Safwa73443%69.082.9-13.9
6 Al Salam83538%79.079.9-0.9
7 Al Khaleej72529%66.979.1-12.3
8 Al-Fateh82625%77.283.0-5.8
9 Ohod71614%75.6103.4-27.9
10 Al Khowildiah8080%65.289.2-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli24313523113
Al Nasr12173539103
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