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Al-Riyadi vs Al-Ahli Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:45
Final 97-85
31-23 21-15 21-24 24-23
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game78.5
Al-Riyadi 🏆
vs
Al-Ahli Dubai
Position#2
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeWASLWASL - Semi-finals· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Riyadi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Ahli Dubai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RiyadiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Riyadi
Date
Competition
Amman United
#12
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 83
A12/04
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 83
H13/04
WASL
Tadamon Hrajel
#11
W
110-78
110
78
+32
no box
A16/04
Division 1
Al Markazia
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H22/04
Division 1
Mayrouba
#10
W
117-65
117
65
+52
no box
A25/04
Division 1
Hoops
#6
W
103-72
103
72
+31
no box
H02/05
Division 1
NSA
#12
W
102-75
102
75
+27
no box
A06/05
Division 1
Astana
#13
W
93-58
93
58
+35
95avg 83
H10/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
W
101-71
101
71
+30
96avg 83
A12/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
W
97-87
97
87
+10
98avg 83
H14/05
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-16
21-18
23-20
23-27
27-14
24-19
18-18
23-14
23-20
33-14
31-30
22-29
27-14
29-18
26-28
29-18
25-14
24-15
39-18
27-23
27-17
24-13
25-19
26-20
28-11
24-17
24-27
23-15
20-14
26-12
24-17
26-24
29-24
23-14
23-9
19-16
21-18
28-31
29-22
174.2Avg total
100.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.078.5175.5+18.5100%
Season at home (6)99.083.5182.5+15.5100%
Season away (5)94.672.6167.2+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.373.9174.2+26.4100%
Last 5 (5)99.272.6171.8+26.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.383.7155.0-12.333%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)101.478.7180.1+22.896%
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
L
71-75
71
75
-4
63avg 80
H02/12
WASL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
96-56
96
56
+40
103avg 80
A17/12
WASL
Al Ahli
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 80
H13/01
WASL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 80
A20/01
WASL
Al Manama
#6
W
104-91
104
91
+13
104avg 80
H10/03
WASL
Al Manama
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 80
A17/03
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
82avg 80
H08/04
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 80
A15/04
WASL
Al Qadsia
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 80
A13/05
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 80
H15/05
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-23
17-16
19-19
29-10
24-18
18-11
25-17
16-21
22-18
31-23
22-26
21-17
22-26
19-19
28-21
32-24
28-23
22-23
22-21
22-24
24-19
24-20
18-18
23-27
25-22
23-22
19-17
25-18
17-22
26-19
22-24
12-21
26-12
21-31
17-15
29-19
22-30
23-16
19-22
170.0Avg total
88.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.379.1166.4+8.283%
Season at home (6)88.782.3171.0+6.383%
Season away (6)86.075.8161.8+10.283%
Last 10 (10)88.981.1170.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)87.483.6171.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.382.4159.8-5.122%
vs Similar (8)82.888.0170.8-5.250%
vs Weaker (13)91.277.2168.4+14.185%
This opponent (Al-Riyadi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Al-RiyadiAl-Ahli Dubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RiyadiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amman United
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/04
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H13/04
WASL
Tadamon Hrajel
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A16/04
Division 1
Al Markazia
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H22/04
Division 1
Mayrouba
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A25/04
Division 1
Hoops
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H02/05
Division 1
NSA
#12
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A06/05
Division 1
Astana
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A12/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/05
WASL
84.5Avg total
48.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.640.088.6+8.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.188.8+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)49.638.888.4+10.986%-
Last 10 (10)48.536.084.5+12.5100%-
Last 5 (5)49.236.485.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.338.771.0-6.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)50.440.290.6+10.289%-
This opponent (Al-Ahli Dubai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-Ahli DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H02/12
WASL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A17/12
WASL
Al Ahli
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/01
WASL
Kuwait SC
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/01
WASL
Al Manama
#6
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H10/03
WASL
Al Manama
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A17/03
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H08/04
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A15/04
WASL
Al Qadsia
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/05
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H15/05
WASL
86.5Avg total
45.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.344.990.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.738.980.6+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.186.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.887.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.941.980.8-3.022%-
vs Similar (8)42.045.487.4-3.425%-
vs Weaker (13)47.339.386.6+8.092%-
This opponent (Al-Riyadi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Riyaditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Riyadi: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.926.9
62.7%
51.6%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.912.4
78.0%
70.6%12.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Ahli Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Ahli Dubai: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.3
54.4%
51.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
70.6%13.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Riyadi
WWWWWWWWWW
Al-Ahli Dubai
WLWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+25.6
Net rating
+10.8
125.6
Offensive rating
111.2
100.0
Defensive rating
100.4
59.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
11.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
33.7%
69.0%
Assist %
67.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence125.6 · 111.2Defence100.0 · 100.4Shooting59.5% · 53.0%3-point %36.1% · 33.7%Ball care11.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Al-Riyadi   ■ Al-Ahli Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al-Riyadi wins
0
Al-Ahli Dubai wins
DateGameScore
28/05/11Al-Ahli Dubai v Al-Riyadi90-109
Al-Riyadilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HAl Ittihad97-87
12/05/25ASagesse Beirut101-71
10/05/25HAstana93-58
06/05/25ANSA102-75
02/05/25HHoops103-72
25/04/25AMayrouba117-65
22/04/25HAl Markazia104-89
16/04/25ATadamon Hrajel110-78
13/04/25HTabiat92-78
12/04/25AAmman United84-66
Al-Ahli Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25HTabiat93-87
13/05/25AAl Qadsia76-79
15/04/25AAl Ittihad90-83
08/04/25HAl Ittihad90-88
17/03/25AAl Manama88-81
10/03/25HAl Manama104-91
20/01/25AKuwait SC90-83
13/01/25HAl Ahli91-88
17/12/24AAl Bashaer96-56
02/12/24HKuwait SC71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Riyadi
WASL 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.099.094.6
Allowed / game78.583.572.6
Point differential+18.5+15.5+22.0
Avg total175.5182.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+91%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%17%0%
Al-Ahli Dubai
WASL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game87.388.786.0
Allowed / game79.182.375.8
Point differential+8.2+6.3+10.2
Avg total166.4171.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Riyadi11110100%97.078.5+18.5
2 Al-Ahli Dubai1210283%87.379.1+8.2
3 Kuwait SC85362%74.563.6+10.9
4 Tabiat106460%86.784.9+1.8
5 Al Qadsia127558%80.580.9-0.4
6 Al Manama126650%79.481.2-1.8
7 Sagesse Beirut115645%85.986.5-0.5
8 Al Ittihad167944%78.179.5-1.4
9 Al Ahli93633%78.875.8+3.0
10 Al Arabi62433%78.383.7-5.3
11 Al Difaa Al Jawi82625%87.489.4-2.0
12 Amman United82625%77.687.6-10.0
13 Astana3030%74.795.0-20.3
14 Al Bashaer6060%48.079.8-31.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Riyadi3121212497
Al-Ahli Dubai2315242385
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