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Al-Riyadi vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:45
Final 93-58
23-15 20-14 26-12 24-17
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWASL· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al-Riyadi v Astana
10 May 2025
AL-R93
AST58
26 May 2024
AL-R101
AST69
17 Jun 2023
AL-R90
AST94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Riyadi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RiyadiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Riyadi
Date
Competition
Sagesse Beirut
#3
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
H05/04
Division 1
Al Difaa Al Jawi
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
96avg 79
A08/04
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 79
H09/04
WASL
Amman United
#12
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 79
A12/04
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 79
H13/04
WASL
Tadamon Hrajel
#11
W
110-78
110
78
+32
no box
A16/04
Division 1
Al Markazia
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H22/04
Division 1
Mayrouba
#10
W
117-65
117
65
+52
no box
A25/04
Division 1
Hoops
#6
W
103-72
103
72
+31
no box
H02/05
Division 1
NSA
#12
W
102-75
102
75
+27
no box
A06/05
Division 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
24-26
22-20
23-14
28-24
21-17
28-21
17-17
27-23
23-17
27-23
23-22
19-12
21-16
21-18
23-20
23-27
27-14
24-19
18-18
23-14
23-20
33-14
31-30
22-29
27-14
29-18
26-28
29-18
25-14
24-15
39-18
27-23
27-17
24-13
25-19
26-20
28-11
24-17
24-27
178.4Avg total
100.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.081.0178.0+16.0100%
Season at home (4)101.089.0190.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.577.9178.4+22.6100%
Last 5 (5)107.275.8183.0+31.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.383.7155.0-12.333%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)100.879.5180.3+21.396%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
H08/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
73-106
73
106
-33
no box
A11/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
65-92
65
92
-27
no box
A15/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
56-88
56
88
-32
no box
H21/03
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
no box
A30/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A02/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
56-87
56
87
-31
no box
H05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
no box
H08/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
no box
H12/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
20-27
14-23
11-27
18-21
11-21
24-32
20-32
15-27
13-19
12-17
25-29
15-20
10-24
15-26
16-18
24-16
16-22
16-16
18-18
17-21
12-17
10-19
22-18
24-24
16-18
21-31
21-29
21-20
11-26
10-22
14-19
19-26
16-38
19-20
11-21
16-20
24-23
9-32
18-26
159.9Avg total
66.5Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.593.4159.9-26.910%
Last 5 (5)66.294.0160.2-27.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)63.591.0154.5-27.67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Al-Riyadi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -8.6-8.6Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -8.6-8.6Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
Al-RiyadiAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RiyadiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sagesse Beirut
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H05/04
Division 1
Al Difaa Al Jawi
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/04
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H09/04
WASL
Amman United
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/04
WASL
Tabiat
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H13/04
WASL
Tadamon Hrajel
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A16/04
Division 1
Al Markazia
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H22/04
Division 1
Mayrouba
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A25/04
Division 1
Hoops
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H02/05
Division 1
NSA
#12
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A06/05
Division 1
86.7Avg total
48.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.839.588.3+9.380%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.540.689.1+7.976%-
Last 30 away (13)49.238.187.3+11.285%-
Last 10 (10)48.638.186.7+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.436.087.4+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.338.771.0-6.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)50.639.690.2+11.089%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H08/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A15/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H21/03
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
35-64
35
64
-29
H08/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/04
VTB United League
79.8Avg total
33.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.646.577.2-15.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.345.977.1-14.613%-
Last 30 away (15)30.047.277.2-17.27%-
Last 10 (10)33.945.979.8-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.681.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)30.646.577.2-15.910%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Al-Riyadi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Riyaditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Riyadi: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.6
56.1%
51.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
70.6%11.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.5
45.1%
51.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
70.6%10.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Riyadi
WWWWWWWWWW
Astana
LLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#13
+10.8
Net rating
-30.7
115.6
Offensive rating
86.3
104.9
Defensive rating
117.0
55.0%
Effective FG%
45.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
24.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.6%
3-point %
30.4%
71.6%
Assist %
62.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 86.3Defence104.9 · 117.0Shooting55.0% · 45.3%3-point %35.6% · 30.4%Ball care13.8% · 24.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 10%
■ Al-Riyadi   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al-Riyadi wins
1
Astana wins
DateGameScore
26/05/24Al-Riyadi v Astana101-69
17/06/23Al-Riyadi v Astana90-94
Al-Riyadilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25ANSA102-75
02/05/25HHoops103-72
25/04/25AMayrouba117-65
22/04/25HAl Markazia104-89
16/04/25ATadamon Hrajel110-78
13/04/25HTabiat92-78
12/04/25AAmman United84-66
09/04/25HSagesse Beirut100-85
08/04/25AAl Difaa Al Jawi94-79
05/04/25HSagesse Beirut99-92 OT
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HZenit Petersburg67-101
08/04/25HUnics Kazan65-105
05/04/25HParma Perm56-87
02/04/25ALokomotiv Kuban82-102
30/03/25AMBA Moscow61-75
26/03/25ASamara74-72
21/03/25HSaratov56-88
15/03/25AEnisey65-92
11/03/25AParma Perm73-106
08/03/25HUralmash Ekaterinburg66-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Riyadi
WASL 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.0101.093.0
Allowed / game81.089.073.0
Point differential+16.0+12.0+20.0
Avg total178.0190.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%25%0%
Astana
WASL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Riyadi880100%97.081.0+16.0
2 Al-Ahli Dubai109190%87.978.3+9.6
3 Kuwait SC85362%74.563.6+10.9
4 Tabiat85362%83.583.9-0.4
5 Al Qadsia106460%80.278.3+1.9
6 Al Manama126650%79.481.2-1.8
7 Al Ittihad136746%78.176.9+1.2
8 Sagesse Beirut83538%82.886.4-3.6
9 Al Ahli93633%78.875.8+3.0
10 Al Arabi62433%78.383.7-5.3
11 Al Difaa Al Jawi82625%87.489.4-2.0
12 Amman United82625%77.687.6-10.0
13 Al Bashaer6060%48.079.8-31.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Riyadi2320262493
Astana1514121758
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