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Samara vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-74
16-24 22-16 16-16 18-18
Position#11
Record8-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#12
Record1-37
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game90.5
RussiaVTB United League· Palace of Sport
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Samara v Astana
26 Mar 2025
SAM72
AST74
19 Oct 2024
SAM91
AST57
13 Mar 2024
SAM84
AST63
24 Jan 2024
SAM66
AST78
15 Feb 2023
SAM89
AST75
27 Oct 2022
SAM93
AST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#8
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-102
44
102
-58
H05/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H09/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H12/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H02/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
A05/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
60-99
60
99
-39
A08/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
46-100
46
100
-54
A12/03
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
64-120
64
120
-56
H16/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A23/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
14-25
16-21
27-11
13-32
9-27
10-26
12-17
19-23
23-22
14-14
18-27
9-23
21-20
17-18
18-24
28-28
17-19
14-25
15-18
14-32
18-25
12-30
13-28
17-26
10-18
20-27
13-28
9-34
16-27
12-20
9-19
25-28
18-33
10-29
11-30
17-20
9-21
8-21
11-23
157.5Avg total
61.5Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)70.586.2156.7-15.721%
Season at home (20)73.287.2160.4-14.025%
Season away (18)67.585.1152.6-17.617%
Last 10 (10)61.596.0157.5-34.510%
Last 5 (5)54.4103.8158.2-49.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)67.289.5156.8-22.214%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.067.0141.0+7.050%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#9
L
61-87
61
87
-26
H01/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
58-99
58
99
-41
A06/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
H09/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A13/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A01/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H04/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
H08/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
73-106
73
106
-33
A11/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A15/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H21/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
10-19
24-20
14-25
13-26
16-31
17-23
12-19
24-27
14-28
15-19
17-25
11-37
18-27
20-28
28-26
19-17
15-28
14-21
15-20
16-26
22-20
20-17
22-17
21-29
20-27
14-23
11-27
18-21
11-21
24-32
20-32
15-27
13-19
12-17
25-29
15-20
10-24
15-26
16-18
163.6Avg total
67.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)63.490.5153.9-27.13%
Season at home (19)61.186.1147.2-25.05%
Season away (19)65.694.9160.5-29.30%
Last 10 (10)67.196.5163.6-29.40%
Last 5 (5)68.495.2163.6-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)63.389.9153.2-26.73%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -8.8-8.8Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: -9.8-9.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -5.8-5.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -8.8-8.8Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q3Q3: -9.8-9.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -5.8-5.8
SamaraAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H01/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
22-59
22
59
-37
H05/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H02/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A05/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
25-61
25
61
-36
A12/03
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H16/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/03
VTB United League
83.9Avg total
33.5Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.644.480.1-8.817%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.946.984.8-8.912%-
Last 30 away (14)33.041.674.6-8.621%-
Last 10 (10)33.550.483.9-16.90%-
Last 5 (5)30.652.883.4-22.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)35.245.480.6-10.214%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.531.072.5+10.550%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#9
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H01/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H09/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A13/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H08/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A15/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H21/03
VTB United League
81.1Avg total
31.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.645.975.5-16.37%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.744.474.1-14.713%-
Last 30 away (15)29.547.476.9-17.90%-
Last 10 (10)31.449.781.1-18.30%-
Last 5 (5)32.246.879.0-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)29.645.975.5-16.37%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.5
45.1%
-33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
-10.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Samara wins
4
Astana wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Astana v Samara75-67
28/11/24Astana v Samara59-81
19/10/24Samara v Astana91-57
14/04/24Astana v Samara94-92 OT
13/03/24Samara v Astana84-63
24/01/24Samara v Astana66-78
27/11/23Astana v Samara83-66
13/03/23Astana v Samara73-92
15/02/23Samara v Astana89-75
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ANizhny Novgorod45-85
16/03/25HUnics Kazan64-120
12/03/25ALokomotiv Kuban46-100
08/03/25AMBA Moscow60-99
05/03/25AZenit Petersburg57-115
02/03/25HSaratov74-90
12/02/25HUralmash Ekaterinburg65-85
09/02/25HEnisey74-86
05/02/25HCSKA Moscow44-102
01/02/25HParma Perm86-78
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HSaratov56-88
15/03/25AEnisey65-92
11/03/25AParma Perm73-106
08/03/25HUralmash Ekaterinburg66-106
04/03/25HNizhny Novgorod82-84 OT
01/03/25AZenit Petersburg63-86
13/02/25ACSKA Moscow77-118
09/02/25HLokomotiv Kuban70-99
06/02/25AUralmash Ekaterinburg58-99
01/02/25HMBA Moscow61-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game70.573.267.5
Allowed / game86.287.285.1
Point differential-15.7-13.9-17.6
Avg total156.7160.4152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%15%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL3%
HomeLLLLL5%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %3%5%0%
Points / game63.461.165.6
Allowed / game90.586.194.9
Point differential-27.1-25.0-29.3
Avg total153.9147.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg3934587%87.972.2+15.7
2 CSKA Moscow3833587%91.871.7+20.1
3 Unics Kazan4033782%88.072.2+15.8
4 Lokomotiv Kuban38271171%89.078.2+10.8
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg38201853%78.977.2+1.7
6 Nizhny Novgorod38172145%78.580.3-1.8
7 Parma Perm38162242%77.182.3-5.2
8 Saratov39162341%76.679.2-2.5
9 MBA Moscow38132534%74.180.6-6.5
10 Enisey40132732%74.480.5-6.1
11 Samara3883021%70.586.2-15.7
12 Astana381373%63.490.5-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara1622161872
Astana2416161874
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