Al Sadd host Al Shamal on 12 November 2026 in the QBL, and the Pythia model names Al Sadd the clear favourite, assigning them a 78% chance of winning largely because of their 3-1 record, 87.5 points per game and only 71.5 points allowed, placing them second in the league. Al Sadd have won three of four games overall, with a balanced 1-1 home record and a 4-1 record in the last five outings, including a 90-69 win over Al-Rayyan away and a 102-79 victory over Al Khor away, while they suffered a 56-73 home loss to Al Arabi on 1 November. Al Shamal are 3-3 overall, scoring 81.3 points and conceding 76.5, with a 1-2 road record and a 3-2 record in their last five games, highlighted by a 92-55 home win over Al Khor on 29 October and losses to Al-Rayyan and Al Arabi. Their head-to-head record stands at 6-4 in favour of Al Sadd, who last beat Al Shamal 105-88 on 10 January 2026. Pythia projects a 88-79 score, a 166.6 total, and a 41% chance that Al Sadd will cover the -11.0 line, while the over on the 164.0 total has a 56% probability; the game has a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 87.5 | 71.5 | 159.0 | +16.0 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 69.0 | 148.0 | +10.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 96.0 | 74.0 | 170.0 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.8 | 75.8 | 155.6 | +4.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 71.8 | 157.8 | +14.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 77.9 | 91.0 | 168.9 | -13.1 | 11% |
| vs Similar (6) | 86.5 | 81.0 | 167.5 | +5.5 | 83% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 94.8 | 80.2 | 175.0 | +14.6 | 87% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 81.3 | 76.5 | 157.8 | +4.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.3 | 69.3 | 152.7 | +14.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 79.3 | 83.7 | 163.0 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.1 | 79.5 | 162.6 | +3.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.2 | 76.6 | 161.8 | +8.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 77.4 | 90.8 | 168.2 | -13.5 | 9% |
| vs Similar (8) | 81.9 | 81.0 | 162.9 | +0.9 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 97.3 | 85.3 | 182.5 | +12.0 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.8 | 40.8 | 83.7 | +2.0 | 63% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.8 | 39.2 | 78.0 | -0.3 | 54% | 46% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.9 | 42.1 | 88.0 | +3.8 | 71% | 82% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.7 | 38.8 | 77.5 | -0.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 36.4 | 78.0 | +5.2 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 40.2 | 43.2 | 83.4 | -3.0 | 44% | 67% |
| vs Similar (6) | 43.0 | 42.2 | 85.2 | +0.8 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 44.3 | 38.9 | 83.2 | +5.5 | 73% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.8 | 43.4 | 85.2 | -1.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.2 | 43.2 | 85.4 | -1.0 | 36% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.5 | 43.5 | 85.0 | -2.0 | 31% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.9 | 42.1 | 84.0 | -0.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.6 | 42.4 | 87.0 | +2.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 39.3 | 44.7 | 84.0 | -5.5 | 18% | 64% |
| vs Similar (8) | 39.4 | 42.0 | 81.4 | -2.6 | 25% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 46.2 | 43.0 | 89.2 | +3.2 | 55% | 73% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd -3 | 70.8% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Al Sadd -2.5 | 71.7% | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Al Sadd -1.5 | 75.3% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Al Sadd (regulation) | 75.2% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Al Sadd over 81.5 | 72.7% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Al Sadd over 80.5 | 75.8% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Al Sadd over 79.5 | 78.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Al Sadd win | 77.6% | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.31 | +7.3pp | Won |
| Al Shamal +14.5 | 70.2% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Al Shamal over 72.5 | 73.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Al Shamal under 84.5 | 70.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 18.7 | 51.6% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.0 | 9.7 | 30.5% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.9 | 14.7 | 68.0% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 23.6 | 51.6% | 47.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 8.6 | 30.5% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.0 | 13.6 | 68.0% | 13.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 88-105 |
| 06/11/25 | Al Sadd v Al Shamal | 72-82 |
| 08/03/25 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 108-112 |
| 31/12/24 | Al Sadd v Al Shamal | 101-99 OT |
| 26/12/23 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 74-77 |
| 14/11/23 | Al Sadd v Al Shamal | 60-59 |
| 25/05/23 | Al Sadd v Al Shamal | 68-70 |
| 23/05/23 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 72-80 |
| 20/05/23 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 84-82 |
| 18/05/23 | Al Shamal v Al Sadd | 94-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 87.5 | 79.0 | 96.0 |
| Allowed / game | 71.5 | 69.0 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | +16.0 | +10.0 | +22.0 |
| Avg total | 159.0 | 148.0 | 170.0 |
| Over 163.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 50% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 83.3 | 79.3 |
| Allowed / game | 76.5 | 69.3 | 83.7 |
| Point differential | +4.8 | +14.0 | -4.3 |
| Avg total | 157.8 | 152.7 | 163.0 |
| Over 163.75 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 93.2 | 80.2 | +13.0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.5 | 71.5 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.0 | 80.2 | +4.8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 89.4 | 89.8 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.3 | 76.5 | +4.8 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 83.8 | -3.5 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.2 | 78.2 | -4.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 84.0 | 94.2 | -10.2 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 73.5 | 90.2 | -16.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 122 | |
| 9 | 14 | 23 | 28 | 74 |
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