PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Sadd vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-79
9-21 18-22 17-15 21-21
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.4
Al Sadd
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#4
Record9-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game81.9
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Sadd v Al Ahli
05 Nov 2026
AL S v AL A
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
AL S65
AL A79
07 Dec 2024
AL S87
AL A78
28 Nov 2023
AL S63
AL A78
26 Apr 2023
AL S90
AL A87
28 Nov 2021
AL S78
AL A82
05 Jan 2021
AL S92
AL A75
15 Dec 2020
AL S93
AL A88
07 Dec 2019
AL S61
AL A102
26 Jan 2019
AL S83
AL A70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Sadd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 86
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 86
H08/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 86
A11/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 86
H20/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 86
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
102avg 86
A31/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 86
H03/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
97-94
97
94
+3
95avg 86
H07/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
105-88
105
88
+17
108avg 86
A10/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
112-94
112
94
+18
no box
A14/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
15-19
19-18
24-26
10-15
30-17
26-21
27-24
28-18
13-24
29-13
32-24
25-14
25-23
12-31
21-25
19-17
25-19
27-16
27-25
28-22
23-22
24-24
26-23
23-25
24-19
20-38
23-23
29-24
18-16
25-25
25-29
32-28
23-19
22-23
28-18
29-39
26-12
32-21
25-22
183.3Avg total
95.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.887.4181.2+6.471%
Season at home (7)89.786.6176.3+3.157%
Season away (7)97.988.3186.1+9.686%
Last 10 (10)95.388.0183.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)101.094.4195.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.890.2168.0-12.411%
vs Similar ◀ (5)101.491.8193.2+9.6100%
vs Weaker (16)95.483.6178.9+11.888%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
112-73
112
73
+39
110avg 80
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 80
H31/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 80
H03/01
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
51avg 80
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 80
A12/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H15/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-9
13-15
23-17
31-12
13-30
37-6
31-25
19-20
21-10
24-18
14-22
33-22
25-12
19-21
21-28
24-22
28-21
23-13
24-19
10-25
11-17
16-5
21-16
12-33
15-16
22-19
17-13
21-22
11-24
20-13
23-19
26-27
35-27
26-23
22-23
21-15
17-22
21-16
19-12
159.1Avg total
84.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.681.9172.5+8.864%
Season at home (7)88.379.7168.0+8.671%
Season away (7)93.084.0177.0+9.057%
Last 10 (10)84.075.1159.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)77.277.4154.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.976.2147.1-5.429%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (12)95.079.1174.1+15.992%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
Al SaddAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H20/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A10/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A14/01
QBL
87.0Avg total
45.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.2+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.980.3+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)46.343.990.1+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.187.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)51.045.296.2+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.443.983.3-4.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.642.089.6+5.680%-
vs Weaker (16)45.239.884.9+5.469%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H31/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/01
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A12/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Premier League
81.2Avg total
40.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.478.4+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.535.675.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.381.6-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.881.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.681.4-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.838.572.3-4.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (12)48.138.386.4+9.8100%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.3
58.8%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.2
36.8%
33.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.8%
73.4%16.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.929.0
58.1%
54.5%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
73.4%12.9
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Sadd
WWWLWWLWWL
Al Ahli
WWLLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+9.2
Net rating
+18.5
116.5
Offensive rating
115.6
107.3
Defensive rating
97.1
57.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.8%
3-point %
32.5%
68.0%
Assist %
48.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 115.6Defence107.3 · 97.1Shooting57.2% · 55.0%3-point %36.8% · 32.5%Ball care16.2% · 13.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 35.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Al Sadd   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Sadd wins
4
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd80-90
07/04/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-96
18/01/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-108
07/12/24Al Sadd v Al Ahli87-78
06/01/24Al Ahli v Al Sadd87-74
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AQatar Sports112-94
10/01/26AAl Shamal105-88
07/01/26HAl Wakrah97-94
03/01/26HAl-Rayyan90-105
31/12/25AAl Khor101-91
25/12/25HAl Gharafa98-77
20/12/25HAl-Rayyan83-93
11/12/25AAl Gharafa102-79
08/12/25HAl Khor93-77
06/11/25HAl Shamal72-82
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HAl Muharraq78-65
12/01/26AAl Gharafa109-100
10/01/26AAl Hala75-78
08/01/26AAl Arabi66-81
03/01/26AAl Manama58-63
03/01/26HAl Khor99-75
31/12/25HQatar Sports98-83
28/12/25ANuwaidrad78-70
27/12/25AAl Shamal112-73
24/12/25HAl Najma67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Sadd
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game93.889.797.9
Allowed / game87.486.688.3
Point differential+6.4+3.1+9.6
Avg total181.2176.3186.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%43%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game90.688.393.0
Allowed / game81.979.784.0
Point differential+8.8+8.6+9.0
Avg total172.5168.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1413193%97.581.6+15.9
2 Al Arabi1311285%95.584.1+11.5
3 Al Sadd1410471%93.887.4+6.4
4 Al Ahli149564%90.681.9+8.8
5 Al Wakrah147750%83.186.6-3.5
6 Al Shamal145936%85.489.6-4.2
7 Al Gharafa1441029%90.197.7-7.6
8 Qatar Sports1421214%85.698.1-12.6
9 Al Khor131128%79.794.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Sadd918172165
Al Ahli2122152179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.