PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Cleveland State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Projected 82-72
Projected total 154.0
Scheduled
Position#113
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game67.8
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
USA
Vs
82%
18%
■ ALAB 82%■ CLEV 18%
Pythia win probability
Cleveland State
USA
Position#246
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game88.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Alabama A&M Bulldogs host Cleveland State on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Bulldogs at 82% due to their 3-1 record, 81.2 points per game and 67.8 allowed, and a flawless 3-0 home slate of 92.7 points scored and 62.3 allowed. Cleveland State sits 2-2 overall, 75.2 points scored and 88.0 allowed, and has struggled on the road, 0-2 with 64.5 points scored and 103.0 allowed. The Bulldogs have won three of their last five games, including a 103-47 home win over MUW Owls, while Cleveland State has won two of five, highlighted by a 103-79 home victory over Michigan Dearborn Wolves. In the sole previous meeting, Cleveland State defeated Alabama A&M 86-59 on 25 November 2023. Pythia projects an 82-72 score, 154 total points, and gives the Bulldogs a 76% chance to cover the -3.0 line, while the over on 151.0 has a 57% probability; the game carries a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama A&M Bulldogs win
82.3%fair 1.22
Best odds1.69
Implied57.0%
Edge+25.3pp
Cleveland State win
17.7%fair 5.64
Best odds2.25
Implied43.0%
Edge-25.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 15:19 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alabama A&M BulldogsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A12/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H13/03
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#427
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H03/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#503
W
103-47
103
47
+56
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#249
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
46-41
44-50
44-39
39-21
38-42
30-43
55-45
27-31
39-35
21-36
34-38
46-22
44-35
46-23
57-24
27-37
20-47
44-32
26-38
153.5Avg total
79.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.267.8149.0+13.575%
Season at home (3)92.762.3155.0+30.3100%
Season away (1)47.084.0131.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)79.174.4153.5+4.750%
Last 5 (5)76.069.0145.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.386.3149.7-23.033%
vs Similar (16)74.176.8150.9-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)73.963.8137.7+10.189%
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#227
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A18/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H03/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#145
L
50-111
50
111
-61
A04/11
NCAA
Michigan Dearborn Wolves
#391
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#249
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-52
44-54
40-43
46-49
24-42
46-39
39-39
25-44
45-36
56-57
32-37
29-53
18-56
32-55
47-40
56-39
37-44
42-51
31-36
38-31
166.2Avg total
76.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.288.0163.2-12.850%
Season at home (2)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)64.5103.0167.5-38.50%
Last 10 (10)76.589.7166.2-13.230%
Last 5 (5)72.488.4160.8-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.588.0162.5-13.523%
vs Similar (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)96.052.0148.0+44.0100%
This opponent (Alabama A&M Bulldogs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
68.7%
@ 2.30+20.3pp
Under 146
31.3%
@ 1.84-20.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.30
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.71
Bet365
1.55
Over/Under 151 · main line
Over 151
56.8%
@ 3.10+9.2pp
Under 151
43.2%
@ 1.86-9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.10
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.69
Bet365
1.33
Over/Under 156
Over 156
44.4%
Under 156
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alabama A&M Bulldogs total 73
Over 73
83.1%
@ 1.85+33.1pp
Under 73
16.9%
@ 1.85-33.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Alabama A&M Bulldogs total 77 · main line
Over 77
70.8%
@ 1.85+20.8pp
Under 77
29.2%
@ 1.85-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Alabama A&M Bulldogs total 81
Over 81
55.2%
Under 81
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland State total 67
Over 67
68.0%
Under 67
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland State total 71 · main line
Over 71
52.3%
@ 1.85+2.3pp
Under 71
47.7%
@ 1.85-2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Cleveland State total 75
Over 75
36.3%
Under 75
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -5.5
ALAB -5.5
67.9%
@ 2.27+27.1pp
CLEV +5.5
32.1%
@ 1.57-27.1pp
Best 5 market prices
ALAB
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
CLEV
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -2.5 · main line
ALAB -2.5
77.1%
@ 1.90+26.5pp
CLEV +2.5
22.9%
@ 1.95-26.5pp
Best 5 market prices
ALAB
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.81
CLEV
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs +0.5
ALAB +0.5
82.3%
CLEV -0.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
ALAB
No market prices yet.
CLEV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -5.8-5.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -5.8-5.8
Alabama A&M BulldogsCleveland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Alabama A&M BulldogsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H13/03
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#427
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H03/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#503
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#249
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H13/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72
Last 30 (30)34.432.366.7+2.047%33%
Last 30 at home (17)34.931.166.0+3.853%29%
Last 30 away (13)33.733.967.6-0.238%38%
Last 10 (10)35.433.969.3+1.540%40%
Last 5 (5)36.830.066.8+6.860%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.034.767.7-1.733%33%
vs Similar (16)34.336.270.5-1.938%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.326.959.2+5.456%11%
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#227
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#145
L
18-56
18
56
-38
A04/11
NCAA
Michigan Dearborn Wolves
#391
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#249
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H13/11
NCAA
77.6Avg total
35.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72
Last 30 (30)36.139.375.4-3.237%63%
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.174.9+0.847%60%
Last 30 away (15)34.341.675.9-7.327%67%
Last 10 (10)35.142.577.6-7.420%70%
Last 5 (5)33.042.675.6-9.620%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.741.274.9-7.518%64%
vs Similar (5)39.237.476.6+1.880%60%
vs Weaker (1)45.022.067.0+23.0100%0%
This opponent (Alabama A&M Bulldogs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
ALAB win
no forecast
@ 1.71
CLEV win
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -1.5 · main line
ALAB -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
CLEV +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 72 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Alabama A&M Bulldogs 1st half total 34.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Cleveland State 1st half total 33.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: ALAB + total 69.5
ALAB & over
no forecast
@ 3.60
ALAB & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half: Draw + total 69.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: CLEV + total 69.5
CLEV & over
no forecast
@ 4.50
CLEV & under
no forecast
@ 4.00
1st half Over/Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.52
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -2.5
ALAB -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
CLEV +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -0.5
ALAB -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
CLEV +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half Over/Under 69
Over
no forecast
@ 1.96
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs -3.5
ALAB -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
CLEV +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Alabama A&M Bulldogs +0.5
ALAB +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
CLEV -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
ALAB
no forecast
@ 1.80
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
CLEV
no forecast
@ 2.22

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ALAB win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
CLEV win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALAB leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CLEV leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Alabama A&M Bulldogs over 75.575.0%2.38
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.27		---+36.4pp
Alabama A&M Bulldogs -473.7%2.04
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathon Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98		-+29.7pp
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (regulation)80.2%1.68
Betano
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67		--+25.9pp
Alabama A&M Bulldogs win82.3%1.65
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
BetVictor
1.65		+25.3pp
Over 14473.0%1.97
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.98
SBO
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.90		+25.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 91 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama A&M Bulldogs wins
1
Cleveland State wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Cleveland State v Alabama A&M Bulldogs86-59
Alabama A&M Bulldogslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HWest Florida Argonauts85-83 OT
10/11/26ADePaul47-84
07/11/26HMUW Owls103-47
03/11/26HOakwood Ambassadors90-57
13/03/26HPrairie View A&M55-74
12/03/26ATexas Southern85-74 OT
06/03/26HSouthern Univ.85-88
04/03/26HGrambling St.77-63
28/02/26HAlabama State88-89
21/02/26ABethune-Cookman76-85
Cleveland Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HWest Florida Argonauts69-67
10/11/26ABowling Green79-95
07/11/26HMichigan Dearborn Wolves103-79
04/11/26AMissouri50-111
05/03/26AWright State61-90
03/03/26HIU Indy101-93
28/02/26ARobert Morris64-83
26/02/26HNorthern Kentucky70-81
22/02/26HIPFW86-92
18/02/26AYoungstown State82-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama A&M Bulldogs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game81.292.747.0
Allowed / game67.862.384.0
Point differential+13.5+30.3-37.0
Avg total149.0155.0131.0
Over 15125%33%0%
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
Cleveland State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.286.064.5
Allowed / game88.073.0103.0
Point differential-12.8+13.0-38.5
Avg total163.2159.0167.5
Over 15175%50%100%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
3 Prairie View A&M52340%75.482.0-6.6
4 Jackson State52340%68.483.0-14.6
5 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Texas Southern41325%76.593.0-16.5
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.4040%63.085.5-22.5
10 Alcorn State4040%66.890.0-23.2
11 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff4040%52.898.8-46.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.