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Alabama State vs Grambling St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 87-84 (OT)
37-29 35-43 15-12
Position#281
Record12-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#141
Record17-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alabama State v Grambling St.
05 Mar 2026
ALAB63
GRAM65
14 Mar 2025
ALAB64
GRAM62
08 Feb 2025
ALAB67
GRAM77
09 Mar 2024
ALAB87
GRAM84
04 Feb 2023
ALAB60
GRAM73
05 Mar 2022
ALAB78
GRAM75
02 Jan 2021
ALAB49
GRAM66
07 Mar 2020
ALAB58
GRAM70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grambling St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H17/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H20/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A02/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
30-48
18-22
44-31
24-36
44-38
30-33
32-40
39-41
35-39
31-26
30-20
32-26
33-47
36-47
36-25
30-29
23-29
21-31
36-34
134.5Avg total
65.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.669.4138.0-0.840%
Season at home (12)70.862.2133.1+8.658%
Season away (18)67.174.1141.2-7.028%
Last 10 (10)65.469.1134.5-3.720%
Last 5 (5)64.066.4130.4-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.884.0151.8-16.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.973.7139.6-7.89%
vs Weaker (12)67.659.6127.2+8.075%
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H02/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
41-33
27-26
51-41
36-24
38-44
23-29
27-31
38-28
28-35
37-33
46-41
23-37
40-20
42-32
33-36
35-29
34-31
33-28
41-45
135.4Avg total
70.2Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)67.369.7137.0-2.457%
Season at home (14)71.666.9138.4+4.764%
Season away (16)63.572.2135.7-8.750%
Last 10 (10)70.265.2135.4+5.090%
Last 5 (5)72.866.4139.2+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)60.179.5139.6-19.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.065.1131.1+0.958%
vs Weaker (8)78.164.4142.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.2+2.2
Alabama StateGrambling St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
L
18-22
18
22
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H08/03
NCAA
62.1Avg total
29.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.865.0-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.531.161.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)31.735.667.3-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)29.932.262.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.861.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.740.870.5-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.735.065.7-4.327%-
vs Weaker (12)30.929.360.2+1.667%-
This opponent (Grambling St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grambling St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A03/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A24/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H02/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/03
NCAA
61.8Avg total
32.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.733.062.7-3.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.130.862.9+1.364%-
Last 30 away (16)27.634.962.6-7.338%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.561.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.865.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)25.141.566.6-16.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)29.228.657.8+0.758%-
vs Weaker (8)36.129.065.1+7.1100%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alabama State wins
7
Grambling St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HSouthern Univ.57-65
02/03/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs53-58
27/02/24ABethune-Cookman84-90 OT
24/02/24AFlorida A&M65-73
20/02/24HMiss. Valley St.61-46
17/02/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff74-80
12/02/24ASouthern Univ.62-73
10/02/24AGrambling St.68-74
06/02/24HFlorida A&M62-53
03/02/24HBethune-Cookman68-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs74-73
05/03/24HBethune-Cookman69-60
02/03/24HFlorida A&M75-68
24/02/24ASouthern Univ.63-57
20/02/24APrairie View A&M83-74
17/02/24ATexas Southern66-63
13/02/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs50-60
10/02/24HAlabama State74-68
06/02/24AAlcorn State78-67
03/02/24AJackson State70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %40%58%28%
Points / game68.670.867.1
Allowed / game69.462.274.1
Point differential-0.8+8.6-7.0
Avg total138.0133.1141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Grambling St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game67.371.663.5
Allowed / game69.766.972.2
Point differential-2.4+4.7-8.7
Avg total137.0138.4135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.30181260%72.068.6+3.4
2 Grambling St.30171357%67.369.7-2.4
3 Bethune-Cookman31161552%73.272.8+0.3
4 Jackson State30141647%71.376.3-5.0
5 Texas Southern28131546%69.370.9-1.5
6 Alcorn State31141745%72.277.5-5.3
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff31131842%80.181.8-1.7
8 Alabama State30121840%68.669.4-0.8
9 Prairie View A&M30102033%69.975.8-5.9
10 Alabama A&M Bulldogs31102132%70.176.4-6.4
11 Florida A&M2862221%67.777.2-9.5
12 Miss. Valley St.311303%55.577.7-22.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Alabama State37351587
Grambling St.29431284
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