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Alabama vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 104-93
46-39 58-54
Position#48
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game80.9
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#40
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
103-96
103
96
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-55
97
55
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
43-30
53-44
50-52
41-43
39-44
41-42
49-44
42-45
43-50
51-36
64-40
49-29
56-43
45-30
45-54
56-17
41-38
41-39
34-57
174.0Avg total
93.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.180.9174.0+12.270%
Season at home (8)92.278.4170.6+13.962%
Season away (2)96.591.0187.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.180.9174.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)96.476.6173.0+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.693.8177.4-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)93.883.8177.7+10.077%
vs Weaker (9)97.273.7170.9+23.6100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-67
102
67
+35
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-33
55-34
40-44
55-55
49-23
51-27
56-41
52-48
45-44
50-59
33-36
33-42
40-50
44-34
29-33
39-50
41-20
33-41
46-43
35-32
168.2Avg total
88.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.679.6168.2+9.060%
Season at home (7)84.072.1156.1+11.971%
Season away (3)99.397.0196.3+2.333%
Last 10 (10)88.679.6168.2+9.060%
Last 5 (5)77.277.6154.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.279.7149.8-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.273.8146.9-0.644%
vs Weaker (7)93.079.7172.7+13.371%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
AlabamaSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H07/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/12
NCAA
82.4Avg total
46.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.782.3+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.834.979.7+9.974%-
Last 30 away (11)44.542.586.9+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)46.735.782.4+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.430.278.6+18.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.543.083.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.238.583.7+6.685%-
vs Weaker (9)47.731.779.3+16.089%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/12
NCAA
79.3Avg total
42.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.373.0+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.834.470.2+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)37.938.776.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.636.779.3+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.540.872.3-9.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.134.468.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker (7)44.638.182.7+6.471%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
0
South Florida wins
No previous meetings.
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HArizona75-96
07/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-55
04/12/25HClemson90-84
27/11/25HMaryland105-72
26/11/25HUNLV115-76
25/11/25HGonzaga85-95
20/11/25AIllinois90-86
14/11/25HPurdue80-87
08/11/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)103-96
04/11/25HNorth Dakota91-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HCharleston81-75
05/12/25HUtah State74-61
28/11/25HColorado State68-83
27/11/25HWestern Kentucky97-91 OT
26/11/25HVCU Rams66-78
20/11/25AOklahoma State95-103
16/11/25AKennesaw State108-89
13/11/25HCoppin State100-50
08/11/25AGeorge Washington95-99
04/11/25HFlorida A&M102-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%62%100%
Points / game93.192.296.5
Allowed / game80.978.491.0
Point differential+12.2+13.9+5.5
Avg total174.0170.6187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game88.684.099.3
Allowed / game79.672.197.0
Point differential+9.0+11.9+2.3
Avg total168.2156.1196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt11110100%93.772.6+21.1
2 Georgia109190%98.370.6+27.7
3 LSU109190%88.570.6+17.9
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas119282%89.973.2+16.7
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Tennessee118373%81.165.6+15.5
8 Oklahoma118373%85.174.4+10.7
9 Auburn118373%86.576.8+9.6
10 Alabama107370%93.180.9+12.2
11 Texas128467%87.471.3+16.1
12 Kentucky117464%84.366.4+17.9
13 Florida117464%83.871.2+12.6
14 South Carolina117464%78.468.2+10.2
15 Mississippi St.117464%80.977.1+3.8
16 Ole Miss106460%74.967.9+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1110191%90.069.7+20.3
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 North Texas118373%69.164.4+4.7
4 UAB128467%84.272.3+11.8
5 Tulane128467%74.276.4-2.2
6 South Florida106460%88.679.6+9.0
7 Wichita State127558%77.167.2+9.8
8 Temple116555%79.873.1+6.7
9 Rice126650%77.371.2+6.1
10 East Carolina125742%68.474.3-5.9
11 UTSA Roadrunners104640%71.772.8-1.1
12 Memphis104640%75.176.9-1.8
13 Charlotte114736%69.871.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama4658104
South Florida395493
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