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South Florida vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-61
41-20 33-41
Position#40
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#20
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Florida v Utah State
04 Dec 2025
SOUT74
UTAH61
18 Dec 2019
SOUT74
UTAH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-67
102
67
+35
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
33-49
28-38
40-35
47-33
55-34
40-44
55-55
49-23
51-27
56-41
52-48
45-44
50-59
33-36
33-42
40-50
44-34
29-33
39-50
168.4Avg total
86.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.482.5173.9+8.950%
Season at home (5)86.673.8160.4+12.860%
Season away (3)99.397.0196.3+2.333%
Last 10 (10)86.781.7168.4+5.040%
Last 5 (5)86.888.8175.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.279.7149.8-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.974.8147.6-1.938%
vs Weaker (7)94.077.9171.9+16.171%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A15/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
34-29
30-49
42-34
27-39
20-33
53-27
57-27
45-36
35-41
41-41
42-32
34-20
41-31
40-40
56-35
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
149.5Avg total
81.1Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.967.3156.1+21.6100%
Season at home (5)86.467.2153.6+19.2100%
Season away (2)95.067.5162.5+27.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.168.4149.5+12.780%
Last 5 (5)86.468.0154.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.278.3150.6-6.150%
vs Weaker (18)84.666.2150.8+18.394%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +7.9+7.9
South FloridaUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H13/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H28/11
NCAA
77.9Avg total
40.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.172.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.234.169.4+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)37.938.776.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.777.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.540.872.3-9.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.435.168.5-1.831%-
vs Weaker (7)45.035.780.7+9.371%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
39.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.771.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)35.736.672.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.573.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.072.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.736.671.2-1.950%-
vs Weaker (18)40.531.872.3+8.767%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
2
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Utah State v South Florida88-67
19/12/19South Florida v Utah State74-76 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HColorado State68-83
27/11/25HWestern Kentucky97-91 OT
26/11/25HVCU Rams66-78
20/11/25AOklahoma State95-103
16/11/25AKennesaw State108-89
13/11/25HCoppin State100-50
08/11/25AGeorge Washington95-99
04/11/25HFlorida A&M102-67
13/03/25AWichita State68-73
08/03/25AMemphis68-84
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
21/11/25ATulane96-75
15/11/25HUTEP75-51
13/11/25HWeber State83-73
08/11/25HVCU Rams80-77
04/11/25HWestminster UT110-54
21/03/25AUCLA47-72
15/03/25AColorado State72-83
14/03/25HUNLV70-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game91.486.699.3
Allowed / game82.573.897.0
Point differential+8.9+12.8+2.3
Avg total173.9160.4196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.986.495.0
Allowed / game67.367.267.5
Point differential+21.6+19.2+27.5
Avg total156.1153.6162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa87188%86.567.4+19.1
2 North Texas97278%71.965.1+6.8
3 Tulane86275%76.076.4-0.4
4 UAB96367%83.370.7+12.7
5 Florida Atlantic85362%78.171.8+6.4
6 Wichita State95456%78.867.1+11.7
7 South Florida84450%91.482.5+8.9
8 UTSA Roadrunners84450%74.867.9+6.9
9 Temple84450%76.476.2+0.1
10 Charlotte94544%72.070.9+1.1
11 Memphis73443%75.774.6+1.1
12 Rice104640%75.773.2+2.5
13 East Carolina83538%67.877.5-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State770100%88.967.3+21.6
2 Wyoming86275%85.169.8+15.4
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 New Mexico86275%80.268.8+11.5
5 Fresno State96367%77.368.3+9.0
6 Nevada96367%77.273.7+3.6
7 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
8 Grand Canyon85362%73.666.5+7.1
9 San Diego State74357%80.977.3+3.6
10 San Jose State83538%72.071.8+0.2
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force103730%67.274.8-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida413374
Utah State204161
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